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Posted by icecoldjones on 9th of Feb 2026 at 05:02 pm
Hey, I don't know Rik's email to message him directly but it
looks like nothing has updated on the KISS high performance tables
since Friday. All the STS's are 2/6 and so are the closing
prices.
yes on a strong market sell off everything eventually gets
pulled back - energy is quite extended so could use that pullback
soon anyway BUT there's no divergences, therefore I favor higher
lows and buying opportunities on a pullback in energy stocks
Agree ... I;m not selling my energy plays ... I may trade
around a bit from core positions, But I would rather trade ERY as a
hedge as I'm also looking to buy pullbacks in many names
...
I asked Brave's AI about copper shortages, as I've seen
something about that recently. Some of you probably follow this
closely and are already aware, but since I didn't know, I decided
to AI about supply predictions for the next 2-3 years. Goldman also
has an article on copper prices.
(Brave AI)
Experts predict a structural copper shortage is imminent,
with market deficits expected to emerge as early as
2026.
S&P Globalwarns that the global copper supply
gap is widening, with a
"substantial shortfall"projected to reach
10 million metric tons by 2040, driven by surging
demand from electrification, AI, data centers, and defense
spending. Even with recycled copper doubling to 10 million mt
by 2040, supply will fall short.
J.P. Morganforecasts a
160,000-ton refined copper deficit in 2026,
marking a structural shift from past surpluses. The
International Copper Study Group (ICSG) confirms this turning
point, projecting a
150,000-ton deficit in 2026—the first since years
of modest surpluses.
BloombergNEFand other analysts note that
copper demand for the energy transition could triple by
2045, and without new mines or gains in recycling, the
deficit could reach 19 million tonnes by
2050.
Supply constraints are already visible:
disruptions in Chile, Indonesia, and Peru, slow
permitting, and a weak pipeline of new mines are tightening the
market. The average
17-year lead time from discovery to
productionlimits the ability to respond quickly to demand
spikes.
While some analysts expect
prices to peak in 2026before declining slightly in
2027 (per Goldman Sachs), the consensus remains
bullish—with
J.P. Morgan projecting $11,000/mt, Citi $12,000/mt, and
some analysts forecasting $15,000/mt—highlighting the
severity of the structural imbalance.
In short,
yes—experts are warning of a real, structural copper
shortage beginning in the next two to three years, driven
by long-term demand growth outpacing supply expansion.
FCX looks interesting here. There was no MACD divergence
on the high, and the pullback is on lighter volume and looks
corrective. The MA's are still all pointed up.
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SPXU daily
Posted by holmes on 9th of Feb 2026 at 06:37 pm
slight bounce off demand zone today. Appears to be a day or two away from bottom. Catalyst might be a bad jobs report on Wednesday.
Below the stop?
Posted by latenightkeys on 9th of Feb 2026 at 10:44 pm
Wasn't the stop at 47.67? Did it not stop out today?
SPXU did stop out, none
Posted by icecoldjones on 10th of Feb 2026 at 09:23 am
SPXU did stop out, none of the tables updated on 2/9. The close prices still show from 2/6
I can count 5waves down
Posted by mitchell on 9th of Feb 2026 at 07:09 pm
I can count 5waves down on VIX 30min chart so some volatility due soon.
HIgh Perf KISS Tables
Posted by icecoldjones on 9th of Feb 2026 at 05:02 pm
Hey, I don't know Rik's email to message him directly but it looks like nothing has updated on the KISS high performance tables since Friday. All the STS's are 2/6 and so are the closing prices.
Right, no alerts today, which
Posted by mastermind on 9th of Feb 2026 at 05:18 pm
Right, no alerts today, which would be very unusual.
Any news on the HP
Posted by adpet76 on 10th of Feb 2026 at 06:24 am
Any news on the HP system?
icecold, the email is support@breakpointtrades.com
Posted by EricK on 9th of Feb 2026 at 05:05 pm
icecold, the email is support@breakpointtrades.com but normally I don't run that process. let me check with Matt/James.
High Perf Systems Not Updating
Posted by eagleowl on 9th of Feb 2026 at 04:58 pm
Noticed the high performance systems not updating for todays prices. ie SPXU, SSO, UPRO etc
GDX 10m ... watching this
Posted by mla127 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 04:22 pm
GDX 10m ... watching this to reload more NUGT ...
Should have been more aggressive
Posted by mla127 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 04:19 pm
Should have been more aggressive in buying the dip on the PM and base metal miners.... this looks higher ..... with or without the metals ... lol
PM miner coiling coming up
Posted by Soldtoosoon on 9th of Feb 2026 at 11:47 pm
PM miner coiling coming up
VALE (Like RIO) big base
Posted by mla127 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 04:15 pm
VALE (Like RIO) big base metal miner ... Can't stop ... won't stop
VALE ... not sure I
Posted by mla127 on 12th of Feb 2026 at 01:09 pm
VALE ... not sure I like the reversal up here ... tightening up stops
VERY nice, I'll steel that
Posted by matt on 9th of Feb 2026 at 04:17 pm
VERY nice, I'll steel that idea for the newsletter
VAL big pop on this energy name today
Posted by matt on 9th of Feb 2026 at 04:10 pm
VAL - Valaris Ltd. - Chart Link
VAL popped because its getting
Posted by steve101 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 07:43 pm
VAL popped because its getting bought out by RIG: https://finance.yahoo.com/video/transocean-buy-valaris-5-8-192212219.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly9maW52aXouY29tLw&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAALwsU35QX5H7Gib00rjRLEJyeRM5d_N7CqEOKMXvP8rcOUa9C_254rLLdb3Z8TGX5HlHXDaBW53qET7YIe-zHx1hCiWFcuQeaYQ3DHimMfh7HWU-x52V0tzqvMw9f916LdbMZ9WdUZirSeS6CTyvwHnTooY6Hydp_2Rt4m8cjAA8
I've owned RIG since May. https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=RIG&a=2035959149&p=D&yr=1&mn=8&dy=0&id=p66415129031
XOM remember guys ex dividend date is Thur
Posted by matt on 9th of Feb 2026 at 04:02 pm
Energy XOM Weekly - Chart Link been a hell of swing since December
GDX / GLD Ratio hourly
Posted by mla127 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 03:57 pm
GDX / GLD Ratio hourly ... let's roll
NTR ... Too bad I
Posted by mla127 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 03:53 pm
NTR ... Too bad I didn't see it last Friday... this was a no brainer to buy with tight stop ...
USO Daily
Posted by mla127 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 03:39 pm
USO Daily
USO Daily
Posted by mla127 on 11th of Feb 2026 at 09:39 am
USO Daily
USO ... that's quite a
Posted by mla127 on 12th of Feb 2026 at 11:26 am
USO ... that's quite a reversal here ... XLE is holding up pretty well into this so far
USO
Posted by mla127 on 13th of Feb 2026 at 12:51 pm
USO
Has pulled back twice from
Posted by timebandit on 13th of Feb 2026 at 12:55 pm
Has pulled back twice from that supply zone. Maybe third time a charm
XLE up 22.3% this year
Posted by matt on 12th of Feb 2026 at 11:27 am
XLE up 22.3% this year - SPY up +0.26%
EEM up 11.1% this year, SPY up+0.26%
those were my top Matt's Macro picks for 2026 back in December, CLEARLY trouncing the market
that being said ... if
Posted by mla127 on 12th of Feb 2026 at 11:29 am
that being said ... if this sell off accelerate they will get dumped as well .. adding some ERY to soften the blows here ...
yes on a strong market
Posted by matt on 12th of Feb 2026 at 11:42 am
yes on a strong market sell off everything eventually gets pulled back - energy is quite extended so could use that pullback soon anyway BUT there's no divergences, therefore I favor higher lows and buying opportunities on a pullback in energy stocks
Agree ... I;m not selling
Posted by mla127 on 12th of Feb 2026 at 11:44 am
Agree ... I;m not selling my energy plays ... I may trade around a bit from core positions, But I would rather trade ERY as a hedge as I'm also looking to buy pullbacks in many names ...
GDX 10m ... pedal to
Posted by mla127 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 03:37 pm
GDX 10m ... pedal to the metal ... lol ...
Future copper shortages
Posted by frtaylor on 9th of Feb 2026 at 03:26 pm
I asked Brave's AI about copper shortages, as I've seen something about that recently. Some of you probably follow this closely and are already aware, but since I didn't know, I decided to AI about supply predictions for the next 2-3 years. Goldman also has an article on copper prices.
Goldman Article
(Brave AI)
Experts predict a structural copper shortage is imminent, with market deficits expected to emerge as early as 2026.
S&P Globalwarns that the global copper supply gap is widening, with a "substantial shortfall"projected to reach 10 million metric tons by 2040, driven by surging demand from electrification, AI, data centers, and defense spending. Even with recycled copper doubling to 10 million mt by 2040, supply will fall short.
J.P. Morganforecasts a 160,000-ton refined copper deficit in 2026, marking a structural shift from past surpluses. The International Copper Study Group (ICSG) confirms this turning point, projecting a 150,000-ton deficit in 2026—the first since years of modest surpluses.
BloombergNEFand other analysts note that copper demand for the energy transition could triple by 2045, and without new mines or gains in recycling, the deficit could reach 19 million tonnes by 2050.
Supply constraints are already visible: disruptions in Chile, Indonesia, and Peru, slow permitting, and a weak pipeline of new mines are tightening the market. The average 17-year lead time from discovery to productionlimits the ability to respond quickly to demand spikes.
While some analysts expect prices to peak in 2026before declining slightly in 2027 (per Goldman Sachs), the consensus remains bullish—with J.P. Morgan projecting $11,000/mt, Citi $12,000/mt, and some analysts forecasting $15,000/mt—highlighting the severity of the structural imbalance.
In short, yes—experts are warning of a real, structural copper shortage beginning in the next two to three years, driven by long-term demand growth outpacing supply expansion.
FCX looks interesting here. There
Posted by frtaylor on 9th of Feb 2026 at 03:12 pm
FCX looks interesting here. There was no MACD divergence on the high, and the pullback is on lighter volume and looks corrective. The MA's are still all pointed up.
AMKR--have position, Reports after bell.
Posted by shellson2 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 02:53 pm
AMKR--have position, Reports after bell.
Hit 52wk high
Posted by shellson2 on 11th of Feb 2026 at 03:19 pm
Hit 52wk high
ty!
Posted by morton7 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 03:01 pm
ty!
They are part of my
Posted by shellson2 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 03:00 pm
They are part of my chip testing/outsourcing group I favor in '26 and beyond. Should benefit, like so many, from increased capex going on. We'll see.
CV
Posted by mla127 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 02:03 pm
CV
GEV Breakout
Posted by kalkgrun on 9th of Feb 2026 at 01:56 pm
Base target $817 Bull $1207
XPRO
Posted by miliski2000 on 9th of Feb 2026 at 01:45 pm
Something to consider
MLPX
Posted by quartermaster on 9th of Feb 2026 at 01:17 pm
9 Feb 2026 was ex date for Dividend. 74cents payable on the 12 of FEB.
PLTR rebounded off demand
Posted by matt on 9th of Feb 2026 at 01:08 pm
PLTR - Chart Link
PLTR... DCB(Dead cat bounce). For
Posted by auni on 9th of Feb 2026 at 03:46 pm
PLTR... DCB(Dead cat bounce). For me, wait, hold Maverick.