regarding Elliot Wave, what I've highlighted is a very
simplistic by powerful an useful way to use it. With Elliot Wave
it's easy to go down the rabbit hole and try to label all these
crazy counts and micro counts etc and that gets overly complex and
actually hinders trading.
my method is to keep it very simple:
1. In up trending environments look for 3-wave abc pullbacks as
buying opportunities- same for shorts on downtrends, short
abc bounces. coils can form instead and if they do they are 5
waves but overlapping) but most of the time you see abcs
2. most folks know what the traditional 5 wave impulse looks
like. Wave 4's can't overlap top of wave 1 in an uptrend or
bottom of wave 1 in a downtrend, It's pretty obvious just looking
at a chart when you are in an impulse.
coils have 5 waves. and 5 waves up or down that are
overlapping are corrective not impulsive
also - true 5 waves always have MACD divergence, if no
divergence most likely it's a wave 3 instead
so when looking at a stock that has had a correction, if
all you see is a bunch of up and down waves overlapping each other,
even if price has been stair stepping lower, that's clearly NOT an
impulsive trending move down, it's ultimately corrective and
bullish, not starting a major downtrend - so you know that it will
eventually resolve up
simply viewing EW like this in a very simplistic way is good
enough for most people to use it very effectively vs having to
study all the dozens of wave counts and rules that can take months
and years to really get good at - with this simplistic approach you
can use it right away with your trading
Yep, your recent comments on
NICE move on META on that news
Posted by timebandit on 10th of Jul 2026 at 09:44 am
Yep, your recent comments on META very helpful
regarding Elliot Wave, what I've
Posted by matt on 10th of Jul 2026 at 09:52 am
regarding Elliot Wave, what I've highlighted is a very simplistic by powerful an useful way to use it. With Elliot Wave it's easy to go down the rabbit hole and try to label all these crazy counts and micro counts etc and that gets overly complex and actually hinders trading.
my method is to keep it very simple:
1. In up trending environments look for 3-wave abc pullbacks as buying opportunities- same for shorts on downtrends, short abc bounces. coils can form instead and if they do they are 5 waves but overlapping) but most of the time you see abcs
2. most folks know what the traditional 5 wave impulse looks like. Wave 4's can't overlap top of wave 1 in an uptrend or bottom of wave 1 in a downtrend, It's pretty obvious just looking at a chart when you are in an impulse.
coils have 5 waves. and 5 waves up or down that are overlapping are corrective not impulsive
also - true 5 waves always have MACD divergence, if no divergence most likely it's a wave 3 instead
so when looking at a stock that has had a correction, if all you see is a bunch of up and down waves overlapping each other, even if price has been stair stepping lower, that's clearly NOT an impulsive trending move down, it's ultimately corrective and bullish, not starting a major downtrend - so you know that it will eventually resolve up
simply viewing EW like this in a very simplistic way is good enough for most people to use it very effectively vs having to study all the dozens of wave counts and rules that can take months and years to really get good at - with this simplistic approach you can use it right away with your trading
great post. amen
Posted by petermusic on 10th of Jul 2026 at 10:15 am
great post. amen