good example of all the systems doing their own thing, and hope
they can off set each other like when the RSI 40 went long way too
early on MES futures, the other mean reversion systems more than
made up for that 1st early entry by taking longs much lower prices
and near the bottom that all made really nice trades.
now the hi mid low system is scaling in short and the 1st and
2nd entries are taking a bit of heat, however the systems that are
still long are more net long with 10 contracts long vs the -3 short
on the hi mid low for a net long position of 7 contracts (10 long
from RSI 40 and and RSI oversold, and -3 from hi mid low 10 - 3 =
7)
LOL yes and no - sometimes systems make people more
emotional.
and in particular mean reversion systems because of their nature
of buying into market selloffs that feel completely unnatural and
scary to folks who's brain is telling them to do the
opposite.
the KISS systems, while they can take similar draw downs or even
higher ones at times, people seem to get less emotional
because of their nature, they are not buying into a downtrend and
they have initial stops, so people tend not to get that emotional
with them, even if they take a 5% or 10% drawdown, whereas when
mean reversion systems take a similar drawdown people get very
emotional and worried as shit
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I think Matt said there
SPY and MES mean reversion systems I may take off a couple contracts
Posted by pebs on 8th of Apr 2026 at 10:07 am
I think Matt said there was going to be a 3rd entry for the short trade on the Hi Mid Lo.
MES trade, not SPY.
Posted by frtaylor on 8th of Apr 2026 at 10:36 am
MES trade, not SPY.
yes no new mean reversion
Posted by matt on 8th of Apr 2026 at 12:15 pm
yes no new mean reversion system trades on SPY yet, only MES futures.
SPY Mean Reversion Systems open trades;
- RSI Oversold 2nd and 3rd entry
- QE 3.2 1st and 2nd entry
yes it's written right in
Posted by matt on 8th of Apr 2026 at 10:19 am
yes it's written right in that post below
good example of all the systems doing their own thing, and hope they can off set each other like when the RSI 40 went long way too early on MES futures, the other mean reversion systems more than made up for that 1st early entry by taking longs much lower prices and near the bottom that all made really nice trades.
now the hi mid low system is scaling in short and the 1st and 2nd entries are taking a bit of heat, however the systems that are still long are more net long with 10 contracts long vs the -3 short on the hi mid low for a net long position of 7 contracts (10 long from RSI 40 and and RSI oversold, and -3 from hi mid low 10 - 3 = 7)
I love the systems Matt.
Posted by pebs on 8th of Apr 2026 at 10:23 am
I love the systems Matt. They take the emotion right out of it.
LOL yes and no -
Posted by matt on 8th of Apr 2026 at 10:30 am
LOL yes and no - sometimes systems make people more emotional.
and in particular mean reversion systems because of their nature of buying into market selloffs that feel completely unnatural and scary to folks who's brain is telling them to do the opposite.
the KISS systems, while they can take similar draw downs or even higher ones at times, people seem to get less emotional because of their nature, they are not buying into a downtrend and they have initial stops, so people tend not to get that emotional with them, even if they take a 5% or 10% drawdown, whereas when mean reversion systems take a similar drawdown people get very emotional and worried as shit