SLV Silver daily 2011 - iShares Silver Trust - Chart LinkSilver Parabolic high in 2011, after the peak price eventually made a lower high at the 61.8% Fib

    $GOLD 1980 blow off weekly - Gold - Spot (EOD) - Chart Link1980 peak for gold, eventually had an ABC retracement to the 61.8% Fib lower high

    $SILVER 1980 top - Silver - Spot (EOD) - Chart LinkThe 1980 peak on Silver didn't even manage to retrace to the 38% Fib before stalling out and beginning a long decline - but that said notice you also had a perfect ABC 3-wave reflective bounce

    What to take from all this and how will gold and silver behaving going forward:

    1. I am assuming we've seen at least an intermediate high for gold and silver that could hold for up to a year even if new all time highs are eventually made assuming the high was a wave 3 of V and not the end of those bull markets

    2. Watch for a lower higher to be formed that should be a reflective bounce - meaning not impulsive.  It could be a simple ABC or a more complex abc/abc etc - that lower high could be as high as a 61.8% retracement or lower over course.  

    3. One must take account the time this will all take - this lower high should take perhaps months - don't expect this all to be over in a week or two. 

    HOPEFULLY most of you sold your metals last week - KISS systems got out of course.  However, if I was still long the metals, my strategy now would be to not sell now, but instead sell a retracement to the lower high - and in fact astute trades could get a low risk short if they are able to time that lower high 

    What are your views about platinum, palladium, uranium, lithium, and other Matt's Macro stocks, many of which also had strong pullbacks? I hope you have time to address these here or in tonight's newsletter for help in managing these investments.

    Thanks Matt for this road

    Posted by sabinemarc on 1st of Feb 2026 at 02:59 am

    Thanks Matt for this road map 

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