Looking for suggestions on how best to manage my gold/silver
stocks which have vaulted higher in the last year and a half.
Sitting on huge gains. These have been long term plays I've
been in 5-10 years. Other than a handful of Matt's macro
plays which I've been in a few months, the remainder of my
positions are short term trades (1-10 days or less). Trade in
and out of those based on candlestick patterns and support
levels.
Feeling like we have to be approaching a short term top (at
least that's what the candlestick patterns seem to imply) since
we've come so far so fast. Don't want to be greedy but don't want
to miss another 25% move. With short term trades I'm usually
all in or all out. For the gold/silver with monster gains, is
it better to take half off the table with a hard stop on the
balance, or put a 5% trailing stop on entire positions? Or is
there a better way to participate in the remaining rally without
being all in or all out? Happy to reduce my overall exposure
and relax for several months, with an idea of getting back in again
down the road...even if it turns out I've missed some gains.
Being retired I'm thinking a little less risk makes sense.
Good position to be in but difficult to navigate. Suspect
others are in the same situation. Thoughts?
Posted by Soldtoosoon on 22nd of Jan 2026 at 09:06 pm
Richie, I'm in the exact same boat that you're in! My
plan has been and continues to be, to sell a little bit into
strength on the stocks that are showing negative divergence.
Thus far, maybe only 10-15% of the stock in the miner space
have shown negative divergence. The strength of this move is
awesome and beyond my wildest expectations. Yet some of these
stocks are showing no weakness at all on daily, or weekly. So
I'm riding those. HL is one of the strong ones.
I think strategy depends on if you think silver/gold are
resetting to a new normal and the prices are going to be in the
$100-200 range for silver and maybe $5,000-6,000 range for gold
(they both could go higher than that). If you believe in
that, then the mining shares right now are undervalued and could
double and triple (or more) from their current prices. I have been
playing call options for the last year, selling them and taking
profit, and moving farther out in time with higher strike prices.
I've been fortunate to "ride the wave". Now I'm moving
most of my posiitons from the metals to the stocks since at these
metal prices the stocks prices are low in terms of ratio of metal
to stock price. I'm just setting some stops on regular
positions, and moving my options in the stocks out to late 2026 in
case we see some corrections along the way. We'll see if this
is a good play, but I'm still very bullish on the metals stocks,
they are going to be printing money if metal prices stay where they
are or go higher.
<< For the gold/silver with monster gains, is it better to
take half off the table with a hard stop on the balance, or put a
5% trailing stop on entire positions? Or is there a better
way to participate in the remaining rally without being all in or
all out? >>
Richie, here are my 2 cents.
First of all, standard disclaimer: a lot depends on your
time frame and long-term view of gold/metals/etc. If you
expect them to be worth twice as much or more in 5 years, you can
sell a smaller portion and try to buy back incrementally on dips,
as long as you don't need the money for several years. If you
think they might only go up 10 or 20% over the next few years, then
selling half or more now might make sense. Why risk a 50%
drop in hopes of a 15% gain? IMO, it is important to weigh
what you hope to gain by holding vs. what you are willing to
lose.
For years, I was an all or nothing trader - buy full position at
one point and sell it all for a gain or loss at a second point.
That doesn't work out too well in most cases. Pros buy
incrementally and sell incrementally. For the rest of use,
DCA (dollar cost averaging) is a good way to acquire a position
over time without having to time the market. I prefer using
Technical Analysis to look for good entries with a fairly tight
stop, and then sell incrementally on the way up. In a perfect
world, I add on pullbacks to key support levels.
Selling half IMO makes a lot more sense than selling everything
at one point. For long-term positions, I often think in
thirds. Sell 1/3 when a stock gets way above the 20ma, or
sell that 1/3 with a tight stop (perhaps a daily bar-by-bar
trailing stop). The general idea is to sell 1/3 on a strong
move up and keep 2/3 with a break-even stop or better, moving it up
as the chart dictates. If I really like a stock long-term and
it moves a lot, I may sell 1/5 at a time and look to buy back
cheaper.
None of this is investment advice. Just some ideas to
consider.
Congrats on what sounds like massive gains! Lock in
enough to be happy, and hold enough to be happy.
Maybe look to sell 1/3 of most positions into strength.
Maybe use a modest (not tight) stop on another 1/3 and a
loose stop on the final 1/3.
Most of my precious metal holdings are long-term. I sold
too much into the October peak and bought back too little on
the drop. I was planning to lean heavily into silver stocks
on my rebuys, but wanted to make sure I had plenty of dry powder in
case there was a prolonged drop, which was to be expected after a
blow-off top. I didn't expect SLV to bottom within 10 trading
days, so I missed the bottom and failed to buy the breakout to new
highs in December. I have bought some pullbacks and
consolidations since then, and have taken small profits on the way
up.
CDE was up over 12% today, so I sold some. AG was up 9%,
so I sold some. NGD was up over 12%, so I sold some.
When I see a big move, I usually look to take at least a
little off the top, even if I plan to hold the position for years.
I can always buy back later if the chart gives me the
opportunity.
Again, your personal situation should dictate how much to hold
for the long-term and how much to sell based on short-term moves.
The moves have been crazy. There were many times to
take profits over the past year, but if you sold and didn't
buy back, you would have left a huge amount on the table. As
they say, "Don't let perfection be the enemy of the good."
Or, as I say, "Good enough is." Once again, sell enough
to be happy now (or use a tight stop) and keep enough to be happy
later. If you sell 1/3 now and everything doubles over the
next five years, you will probably be happy later.
It all depends on your situation, personal psychology, etc.
But stocks can go nuts far beyond your expectations, so keep
at least some skin in the game.
Looking for suggestions on how
Posted by RichieD on 22nd of Jan 2026 at 06:28 pm
Looking for suggestions on how best to manage my gold/silver stocks which have vaulted higher in the last year and a half. Sitting on huge gains. These have been long term plays I've been in 5-10 years. Other than a handful of Matt's macro plays which I've been in a few months, the remainder of my positions are short term trades (1-10 days or less). Trade in and out of those based on candlestick patterns and support levels.
Feeling like we have to be approaching a short term top (at least that's what the candlestick patterns seem to imply) since we've come so far so fast. Don't want to be greedy but don't want to miss another 25% move. With short term trades I'm usually all in or all out. For the gold/silver with monster gains, is it better to take half off the table with a hard stop on the balance, or put a 5% trailing stop on entire positions? Or is there a better way to participate in the remaining rally without being all in or all out? Happy to reduce my overall exposure and relax for several months, with an idea of getting back in again down the road...even if it turns out I've missed some gains. Being retired I'm thinking a little less risk makes sense.
Good position to be in but difficult to navigate. Suspect others are in the same situation. Thoughts?
Richie, I'm in the exact
Posted by Soldtoosoon on 22nd of Jan 2026 at 09:06 pm
Richie, I'm in the exact same boat that you're in! My plan has been and continues to be, to sell a little bit into strength on the stocks that are showing negative divergence. Thus far, maybe only 10-15% of the stock in the miner space have shown negative divergence. The strength of this move is awesome and beyond my wildest expectations. Yet some of these stocks are showing no weakness at all on daily, or weekly. So I'm riding those. HL is one of the strong ones.
I think strategy depends on
Posted by blayden on 22nd of Jan 2026 at 09:36 pm
I think strategy depends on if you think silver/gold are resetting to a new normal and the prices are going to be in the $100-200 range for silver and maybe $5,000-6,000 range for gold (they both could go higher than that). If you believe in that, then the mining shares right now are undervalued and could double and triple (or more) from their current prices. I have been playing call options for the last year, selling them and taking profit, and moving farther out in time with higher strike prices. I've been fortunate to "ride the wave". Now I'm moving most of my posiitons from the metals to the stocks since at these metal prices the stocks prices are low in terms of ratio of metal to stock price. I'm just setting some stops on regular positions, and moving my options in the stocks out to late 2026 in case we see some corrections along the way. We'll see if this is a good play, but I'm still very bullish on the metals stocks, they are going to be printing money if metal prices stay where they are or go higher.
<< For the gold/silver with
Posted by bpt_ken on 22nd of Jan 2026 at 07:25 pm
<< For the gold/silver with monster gains, is it better to take half off the table with a hard stop on the balance, or put a 5% trailing stop on entire positions? Or is there a better way to participate in the remaining rally without being all in or all out? >>
Richie, here are my 2 cents.
First of all, standard disclaimer: a lot depends on your time frame and long-term view of gold/metals/etc. If you expect them to be worth twice as much or more in 5 years, you can sell a smaller portion and try to buy back incrementally on dips, as long as you don't need the money for several years. If you think they might only go up 10 or 20% over the next few years, then selling half or more now might make sense. Why risk a 50% drop in hopes of a 15% gain? IMO, it is important to weigh what you hope to gain by holding vs. what you are willing to lose.
For years, I was an all or nothing trader - buy full position at one point and sell it all for a gain or loss at a second point. That doesn't work out too well in most cases. Pros buy incrementally and sell incrementally. For the rest of use, DCA (dollar cost averaging) is a good way to acquire a position over time without having to time the market. I prefer using Technical Analysis to look for good entries with a fairly tight stop, and then sell incrementally on the way up. In a perfect world, I add on pullbacks to key support levels.
Selling half IMO makes a lot more sense than selling everything at one point. For long-term positions, I often think in thirds. Sell 1/3 when a stock gets way above the 20ma, or sell that 1/3 with a tight stop (perhaps a daily bar-by-bar trailing stop). The general idea is to sell 1/3 on a strong move up and keep 2/3 with a break-even stop or better, moving it up as the chart dictates. If I really like a stock long-term and it moves a lot, I may sell 1/5 at a time and look to buy back cheaper.
None of this is investment advice. Just some ideas to consider.
Congrats on what sounds like massive gains! Lock in enough to be happy, and hold enough to be happy.
Maybe look to sell 1/3 of most positions into strength. Maybe use a modest (not tight) stop on another 1/3 and a loose stop on the final 1/3.
Most of my precious metal holdings are long-term. I sold too much into the October peak and bought back too little on the drop. I was planning to lean heavily into silver stocks on my rebuys, but wanted to make sure I had plenty of dry powder in case there was a prolonged drop, which was to be expected after a blow-off top. I didn't expect SLV to bottom within 10 trading days, so I missed the bottom and failed to buy the breakout to new highs in December. I have bought some pullbacks and consolidations since then, and have taken small profits on the way up.
CDE was up over 12% today, so I sold some. AG was up 9%, so I sold some. NGD was up over 12%, so I sold some. When I see a big move, I usually look to take at least a little off the top, even if I plan to hold the position for years. I can always buy back later if the chart gives me the opportunity.
Again, your personal situation should dictate how much to hold for the long-term and how much to sell based on short-term moves. The moves have been crazy. There were many times to take profits over the past year, but if you sold and didn't buy back, you would have left a huge amount on the table. As they say, "Don't let perfection be the enemy of the good." Or, as I say, "Good enough is." Once again, sell enough to be happy now (or use a tight stop) and keep enough to be happy later. If you sell 1/3 now and everything doubles over the next five years, you will probably be happy later.
It all depends on your situation, personal psychology, etc. But stocks can go nuts far beyond your expectations, so keep at least some skin in the game.
Just my 2 cents.
I hope this helps.
Once again, congrats! Enjoy!
Saw a video, guy talking
Posted by holmes on 22nd of Jan 2026 at 08:39 pm
Saw a video, guy talking about parabolic moves saying the last 5% of the move provides 50% of the total gain. For what its worth.