I have two versions of the Trend systems, one triggered, one did
not. The one that didn't triggered has better stats a PF of 14 vs
7.8 so I decided to stick with the one that didn't trigger that has
higher stats
as I stated I have two versions of the SPY Trend mean reversion,
one went long one did not, see image. I could have issued an
alert on the version that triggered, but I figured why not be
conservative for now. The one that triggered has a profit
factor of 7.8 with 84.75% winning trades and 223 total trades.
The one that didn't trigger has a profit factor of 14, with
89% winning trades, and 190 total trades. The one that
triggered makes about 10% more over the lifetime since 1995.
Maybe I could have issued a 1/2 long etc, but again I have enough
things to track and didn't want to make it more
complicated
SPY Mean reversion systems - Trend will trigger 1st entry today
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 02:46 pm
I'll confirm around the close
Matt, did this trigger?
Posted by meve on 20th of Jan 2026 at 04:12 pm
Matt, did this trigger?
I have two versions of
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 04:44 pm
I have two versions of the Trend systems, one triggered, one did not. The one that didn't triggered has better stats a PF of 14 vs 7.8 so I decided to stick with the one that didn't trigger that has higher stats
and no second entry on the ES mean reversion
as I stated I have
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 07:25 pm
as I stated I have two versions of the SPY Trend mean reversion, one went long one did not, see image. I could have issued an alert on the version that triggered, but I figured why not be conservative for now. The one that triggered has a profit factor of 7.8 with 84.75% winning trades and 223 total trades. The one that didn't trigger has a profit factor of 14, with 89% winning trades, and 190 total trades. The one that triggered makes about 10% more over the lifetime since 1995. Maybe I could have issued a 1/2 long etc, but again I have enough things to track and didn't want to make it more complicated
meaning LONG SPY? or LONG
Posted by sandiegosam on 20th of Jan 2026 at 02:47 pm
meaning LONG SPY? or LONG SPXU?
would be SPY 1st entry,
Posted by matt on 20th of Jan 2026 at 03:00 pm
would be SPY 1st entry, SSO 2nd entry, UPRO 3rd etc