Looking at a spec long

    Posted by kalkgrun on 7th of Jan 2026 at 04:11 pm

    Looking at a spec long in OMDA to diversify my health longs outside of MCK and CAH. 

    OVERWEIGHT THESIS
    PRICE TARGET: $32.00

    We’re Overweight OMDA on a tipping point for cross-selling of multiple programs, which has positive implications for durability of growth and an inflection in margins. In addition to GLP-1 care track serving to extend momentum in its longest standing segment of Prevention and Weight Health (~75% of revenue), our checks point to positive customer feedback on Hypertension (~13%) and Diabetes (~12%). Omada is effectively leveraging technology and AI to scale the platform, leading to a ~25% increase in total members per coach. This can be seen in the meaningful 1100 bps expansion in GM to 63.2% the past 2 years and gives us confidence in the company’s longer term target of 70%+.

    OMDA trying to move up

    Posted by kalkgrun on 23rd of Jan 2026 at 10:09 am

    OMDA trying to move up

    hard to count 5 waves

    Posted by matt on 23rd of Jan 2026 at 10:10 am

    hard to count 5 waves down on that, looks like more 1,2,3,4 

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