the Trend/Pullback is closing out for both SPY and MES futures.
obviously the KISS R2M for SPY and QQQ are holding
that said I have a new sub system that I added, called 'bear
long bull' it uses the logic of the bear long system (which only
takes trades above the 200 day MA, however I had tested that same
logic on a reverse - use the same logic but only allow trades above
say the 100 day MA or 80 MA, and the stats are good that system is
long so I may elect to hold some SPY still not decided yet, I'm in
the middle of reopening stuff
- the Trend/Pullback closed out on both SPY and MES futures (see
left charts)
- the KISS R2M longs are still active of course with hard stops
at their STS (SPY stop is 646.24) and QQQ (stop is 580.59) but
should move up soon
- Bear Long Bull is still long on both SPY and MES futures -thus
I'm going to go ahead and keep the current SPY and MES trades open
as these other systems are open Remember, I'm in the middle
of changes to these systems (I just recently added the new 'Bull
Bear Long' system and I'm in the middle of transitioning the ES
systems to a custom close bar from the old daily versions.
so quite simply going to stay in the current longs from the mean
reversion trades since other systems are are still open and
long
no this is the 'bear long bull' not bear long. Read the email.
The bear long trades can only occur below the 200 Ma and when
the 200 MA slope as a negative slope to it. The system that
is long is the 'bear long bull' which is an odd name, sounds like a
contradiction in terms LOL, but I named it that because I took the
logic of the bear long system and flipped it i.e. instead of only
producing trades below the 200 day MA, this system can only do
trade above the 80 day MA. There's a indicator I use for the
bear long called DVO that has to be oversold, so I'm using that
same indicator here.
Newsletter
Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!
SPY and MES mean reversion trades - gonna need a few min here guys will update once ready
Posted by matt on 19th of Dec 2025 at 04:04 pm
the Trend/Pullback is closing out for both SPY and MES futures.
obviously the KISS R2M for SPY and QQQ are holding
that said I have a new sub system that I added, called 'bear long bull' it uses the logic of the bear long system (which only takes trades above the 200 day MA, however I had tested that same logic on a reverse - use the same logic but only allow trades above say the 100 day MA or 80 MA, and the stats are good that system is long so I may elect to hold some SPY still not decided yet, I'm in the middle of reopening stuff
mean reversion systems - the Trend/Pullback
Posted by matt on 19th of Dec 2025 at 04:42 pm
mean reversion systems
- the Trend/Pullback closed out on both SPY and MES futures (see left charts)
- the KISS R2M longs are still active of course with hard stops at their STS (SPY stop is 646.24) and QQQ (stop is 580.59) but should move up soon
- Bear Long Bull is still long on both SPY and MES futures -thus I'm going to go ahead and keep the current SPY and MES trades open as these other systems are open Remember, I'm in the middle of changes to these systems (I just recently added the new 'Bull Bear Long' system and I'm in the middle of transitioning the ES systems to a custom close bar from the old daily versions.
so quite simply going to stay in the current longs from the mean reversion trades since other systems are are still open and long
anyway nice trades congrats if you are in these
Matt - Is a bear
Posted by mitchell on 20th of Dec 2025 at 09:33 am
Matt - Is a bear long system being long an indication top is in and this is just a bounce on way to lower lows?
no this is the 'bear
Posted by matt on 20th of Dec 2025 at 06:46 pm
no this is the 'bear long bull' not bear long. Read the email. The bear long trades can only occur below the 200 Ma and when the 200 MA slope as a negative slope to it. The system that is long is the 'bear long bull' which is an odd name, sounds like a contradiction in terms LOL, but I named it that because I took the logic of the bear long system and flipped it i.e. instead of only producing trades below the 200 day MA, this system can only do trade above the 80 day MA. There's a indicator I use for the bear long called DVO that has to be oversold, so I'm using that same indicator here.