Posted by steve101 on 23rd of Oct 2025 at 11:57 am
Watch the video. This guy is part of the most successful
commodity fund, and his firm does outstanding research. The Gold to
Crude Oil ratio is SEVEN standard deviations outside the normal
range. I took a stab at some long term wave counts on some of
the most beat up energy equities. The drillers tend to move first.
I am in all of these. These are some of the most beat up ones. A
rising crude price and lower interest rates is the envirnment to
drive these higher.
And I have labelled the weekly chart showing a potential (1),
(2), with wave (3) at the very beginning and still needing to break
above the weekly downtrend line, but looking like it really wants
to do it.
Thanks for the charts and link; excellent interview. Reminds me
of 2007 when a handful of traders were screaming there's a
housing/mortgage/financial crisis brewing and no one was
listening.
Watch the video. This guy
Posted by steve101 on 23rd of Oct 2025 at 11:57 am
Watch the video. This guy is part of the most successful commodity fund, and his firm does outstanding research. The Gold to Crude Oil ratio is SEVEN standard deviations outside the normal range. I took a stab at some long term wave counts on some of the most beat up energy equities. The drillers tend to move first. I am in all of these. These are some of the most beat up ones. A rising crude price and lower interest rates is the envirnment to drive these higher.
https://youtu.be/gAxV4xrXaXU?si=-BOmDmXYfSo0auRk
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=BORR&a=2015287896&p=W&yr=15&mn=10&dy=0&id=p25277018033
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=BORR&a=2035961394&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p74472466963
Holding above the April low, but below the channel:
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=CIVI&a=2092058917&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p21643721244
One of the strongest ones since it broke out of that triangle in August:
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=HP&a=2035966364&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p66964893502
You can see the potential (1), (2) pattern, now in early stages of wave (3) that suggests it could take out that 48.59 high.
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=HP&a=2085967162&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307
SImilar potential (1), (2), bottoming pattern that suggests early stages of wave (3) that could eventually take out the 207 high.
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=NBR&a=2085968919&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=NBR&a=2085969253&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p69242861012
Sideways in the channel but the moving average ribbon is just getting into a bullish configuration.
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=PTEN&a=2092144664&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p69242861012
And I have labelled the weekly chart showing a potential (1), (2), with wave (3) at the very beginning and still needing to break above the weekly downtrend line, but looking like it really wants to do it.
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=PTEN&a=2102362426&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307
Potential (1), (2), early start of wave (3) after breaking out of the wedge pattern on the weekly chart:
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=REI&a=2098918391&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307
Nice bottoming pattern between June and August:
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=REI&a=2102365316&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p25441192953
Nice easy to annotate clean chart. Multi year falling wedge pattern. Two breakpoints shown. Same (1), (2), early stage of wave (3) potential here.
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=RES&a=2098942016&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=RES&a=2102423099&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p25441192953
Sure looks juicy right here. Double bottom. Bullish (1), (2), i, 2 potential kickoff today of wave the start of 3 of (3).
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=KOS&a=2102597055&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307
RIG driller daily:
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=RIG&a=2035959149&p=D&yr=1&mn=8&dy=0&id=p66415129031
RIG weekly potentially in early stages of wave (3).
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=RIG&a=2102707505&p=W&yr=6&mn=10&dy=0&id=p18751034307
WTI daily looks good.
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=WTI&a=2092145200&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p69242861012
Coming off a 9 year cycle low in April.
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=WTI&a=2092146682&p=W&yr=10&mn=10&dy=0&id=p57769263886
As long as SM stays above 19.17 this count is valid.
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=SM&a=2102713305&p=W&yr=10&mn=10&dy=0&id=p57769263886
Thanks for the charts and
Posted by RichieD on 23rd of Oct 2025 at 03:15 pm
Thanks for the charts and link; excellent interview. Reminds me of 2007 when a handful of traders were screaming there's a housing/mortgage/financial crisis brewing and no one was listening.
I as actually part of
Posted by matt on 23rd of Oct 2025 at 03:20 pm
I as actually part of the analysts talking about the housing bubble back and and warning back in late 2006 and 2007