Here's a yearly candle chart going back to the early 1920's that
I made. I noted the secular bull and bear markets via the shaded
areas
3-year RSI only ever gets oversold in very deep bear markets
secular bear markets - if that happens in your lifetime you should
back up the truck with long
1932, 1974, 2002, 2008 - only 4 times in history
5-EMA is mean reversion for secular bull markets:
Now...during secular bull markets, one can buy drips back to
this 5-EMA and do very well
Nice chart! The Covid and Tariff drops are but blips on
the chart. Interesting that maybe there is Wave 1 from the
Depression, Wave 2 in the 70s bear, Wave 3 up to 2000, Wave 4 the
2000s bear and now we are in Wave 5? I guess I should be
rooting for bond yields to get to 7% so I can lock them in before
the next bear !!
S&P 500 Secular Bull/Bear Markets, 5 year EMA, RSIO
Posted by matt on 31st of May 2025 at 02:40 pm
Here's a yearly candle chart going back to the early 1920's that I made. I noted the secular bull and bear markets via the shaded areas
3-year RSI only ever gets oversold in very deep bear markets secular bear markets - if that happens in your lifetime you should back up the truck with long
1932, 1974, 2002, 2008 - only 4 times in history
5-EMA is mean reversion for secular bull markets:
Now...during secular bull markets, one can buy drips back to this 5-EMA and do very well
Nice chart! The Covid and
Posted by jared95 on 1st of Jun 2025 at 11:49 am
Nice chart! The Covid and Tariff drops are but blips on the chart. Interesting that maybe there is Wave 1 from the Depression, Wave 2 in the 70s bear, Wave 3 up to 2000, Wave 4 the 2000s bear and now we are in Wave 5? I guess I should be rooting for bond yields to get to 7% so I can lock them in before the next bear !!
Did you mean to say
Posted by chlo8888 on 31st of May 2025 at 05:35 pm
Did you mean to say the 5 year ema instead of saying the 9 year ema?