ATHs inflation adjusted. Getting more

    Posted by mschwand on 20th of May 2024 at 04:26 pm

    ATHs inflation adjusted. Getting more attention in the press recently, maybe since we're now just flirting with them. This is from Forbes, and I believe Mike Wilson was recently discussing.

    Yeah, no argument re. accurate

    Posted by mschwand on 20th of May 2024 at 08:04 pm

    Yeah, no argument re. accurate inflation data...more a comment on ATH hype, which maybe is actually bullish as people realize we’re only reclaiming December 2021 (suggests headroom for more upside?), or bearish if the hype gets sold into. My skeptical side wonders if we need a new acronym? All Time Hype…All Time Hyperbole…All Time Hypocrisy? (that last one maybe captures your data skepticism, lol?)

    The silly part about that

    Posted by DigiNomad on 20th of May 2024 at 04:47 pm

    The silly part about that is that it doesn't even look great using the inflation numbers from the gov...which most undertand are not "real"...pun intended.  They're essentially trying to tell you that the market has performed X relative to inflation which they measure as (Y minus all the shit you really need and use in real life). There's a picture of the full equation in the dictionary next to "gaslighting" if you're interested. If you look at purchasing power adjusted, it's much worse....and even that is still with Gov numbers which can't be taken too seriously.

    I've even heard Fed Governors admit during interviews that Gov inflation numbers are problematic. One I'm thinking of in particular, when the interviewer asked him "then why do we still pay attention to the Gov data?", he answered "What choice do we have?"  ...and that was a Fed Governor.

    If you really think that the market has done that well in real terms over the last 4 years, I have some ocean front property in Nevada I think you might be interested in. I'll give you a great deal. 

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