09/22/2022-My Trading/Investing notes: There is

    Posted by fundamentalvalues on 22nd of Sep 2022 at 09:25 am

    09/22/2022-My Trading/Investing notes: There is often a lot of discussion around the negative consequences of rising rates in terms of assets like stocks and bonds depreciating. I think it is worth recognizing the long term positives of getting a lot of world debt cancelled. Sometimes the only way to train new behavior is to cause enough pain for long enough for new habits to be established. Once this all works through (no idea on the timing, will simply follow prices), we will be upon a lower risk opportunity to build tremendous wealth and the wind will be at our back instead of in our face as it is currently. 

    I'm looking forward to a capitulation in order that I can buy significant assets for a major move, similar to what we had with the recent 20%er June to August. It will likely be even better. I'm talking down the line here, though this has been my specialty over the years, buying and selling the major moves in the market. I've done this simply by obeying a few indicators and prices. No stressing out over the day to day news. It is an illusion of knowledge anyway. I think where that can be helpful is determining when sentiment has gotten stretched when used with the other indicators/prices. It is normally a big waste of time though and designed to create emotional turmoil which then in turn creates bad decisions. 

    Everyone does it differently, though I've learned to stick with what I'm good at and never break my mandate. Specialize and execute. Resist the other temptations that will try and take me off my course, this includes assets I'm not confident in, overdoing it on news, charts, speculations, and trying to be someone else. 

    Fundamentalvalues, I look forward to

    Posted by mundy on 22nd of Sep 2022 at 05:40 pm

    Fundamentalvalues, I look forward to your posts on trading strategy. Your approach to trading mirrors mine. Back in 2015 Matt sold me and a few others the ES system which so many of us use. In the first year I did very well but not as well as in 2016 and 2017 where I  managed 50% and more on my trading accounts. The only problem was boredom/greed. Not enough trades, so what did I do, i thought I would be able to walk on water and started trading Forex with robots and also started trading the SPY/ES on 5 min bars. Wind the clock forward to January this year when I once again took stock and found that my profits were being made only using the SPY/ES system and also trading End Of Day bars on a basket of ETF's.

    Have been riding this bear market with great success thanks to Matt/Steve who warned us early in the year. I placed a large number of options trades on SPY/QQQ (and their leveraged partners). I prefer vertical spreads and was fortunate to get many trades with a 10:1 ratio which are now making the cash registers sing!

    Please keep posting and good luck with your trading!   

    Thanks Mundy, Sounds like some

    Posted by fundamentalvalues on 22nd of Sep 2022 at 08:23 pm

    Thanks Mundy, Sounds like some really great insight you've gained while working on your strategy. I'm glad to hear your having a good year! 

    I appreciate you sharing with me and hearing me. I find sharing my plan notes keeps me focused and executing consistently. I relate to less often being more. As is often pointed out here, the reason is because the money is made during certain times of the year. Paying attention on market closes for me and setting a few alerts earns the right to buy and sell in the best conditions when they present themselves. 

    It's a great service to get the system notifications. Easy to follow, only trade when notified, and go back to enjoying life. Matt and Steve do a great job.

    Today my wife and I did a tour of the Braves baseball park (Truist Park). I got to sit in the dugout, almost called the bullpen haha 

    I'm not a daytrader so no need to sit and watch all the ticks. The one resource I have to manage best is time. Time is most valuable and limited. I appreciate you! 

    Can you explain 10 to

    Posted by watcdy on 22nd of Sep 2022 at 07:56 pm

    Can you explain 10 to 1 ratio


    Hi Watcdy,  Early in the year

    Posted by mundy on 23rd of Sep 2022 at 01:32 am

    Hi Watcdy, 

    Early in the year both Matt and Steve did a great job of warning us that the market was going to tank big time. In April I looked at a number of leverageD positions on both SPY and especially on QQQ. The market at the time was at +-4300/4400 and I placed November/December spreads at around 3600/3700. These cost say $200 to place and the upside was capped at $2000 which is the 10 to 1 ratio. The highest ratios were obviously for the leveraged positions such as SPXU, SQQQ, TQQQ, SPXL, SH and SDS.  

    Hope that helps.

    Hi Mundy Do you mind

    Posted by arun on 22nd of Sep 2022 at 06:57 pm

    Hi Mundy Do you mind sharing how you strategize your spreads. Right now I have one account dedicated to systems and I just blindly follow them. But I always like to learn new ideas with options / spreads.
    Thanks in advance!!

    Arun, I have prepared a

    Posted by mundy on 23rd of Sep 2022 at 01:20 am

    Arun, I have prepared a spreadsheet which I use for all the signals. My e-mail address is mundy@iafrica.com if you are interested. 

    Explaining all the strategies would be too long for this thread. We can have a skype/teamviewer session if you are interested.

    I will email . Thank

    Posted by arun on 23rd of Sep 2022 at 06:41 am

    I will email . Thank you 

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