The way Steve and I described the recent market action from late
last week into today was like doing electrical work and getting the
wires backwards - like for the Nasdaq the NAMO - you only see it
close below its lower bands 3 times in a row after a correction,
not a new highs. It was screaming negative breadth - not healthy -
then today we saw a push in the morning and big intra day
reversal.
intra day as I said earlier I can count a zig zag decline today,
the bullish view short term would be an abc - as I stated
below, maybe be bounce tomorrow, and futures are actually up some
tonight despite the horrible close on the cash indexes. I lean
tomorrow to be a bounce day - but these breadth issues and other
things really concern me - maybe we get some sort of correction
after this week say the first couple weeks in Dec can be weak
sometimes historically. Longer term these are larger issues that
need to be resolved. I discuss this in the weekend
letter.
coming into today in the bad of my mind everyone thinks that
this week is always an up week, you know when everyone expects
something, maybe it doesn't happen that way.
I think if we chop around the next couple days, then next week
could be interesting
NAMO
Posted by matt on 22nd of Nov 2021 at 06:47 pm
$COMPQ - Chart Link 4 days below its lower BB's LOL, also has the NYMO
$NAMO - Chart Link the line chart
Matt - I am bit
Posted by arun on 22nd of Nov 2021 at 07:33 pm
Matt - I am bit confused here. All I see is this seems to be a short term bottom based on the bands. Am I missing anything here
The way Steve and I
Posted by matt on 22nd of Nov 2021 at 07:38 pm
The way Steve and I described the recent market action from late last week into today was like doing electrical work and getting the wires backwards - like for the Nasdaq the NAMO - you only see it close below its lower bands 3 times in a row after a correction, not a new highs. It was screaming negative breadth - not healthy - then today we saw a push in the morning and big intra day reversal.
intra day as I said earlier I can count a zig zag decline today, the bullish view short term would be an abc - as I stated below, maybe be bounce tomorrow, and futures are actually up some tonight despite the horrible close on the cash indexes. I lean tomorrow to be a bounce day - but these breadth issues and other things really concern me - maybe we get some sort of correction after this week say the first couple weeks in Dec can be weak sometimes historically. Longer term these are larger issues that need to be resolved. I discuss this in the weekend letter.
coming into today in the bad of my mind everyone thinks that this week is always an up week, you know when everyone expects something, maybe it doesn't happen that way.
I think if we chop around the next couple days, then next week could be interesting
Ok so overall leaning bearish
Posted by arun on 22nd of Nov 2021 at 10:43 pm
Ok so overall leaning bearish short to Intermediate term though anything can change with short or no notice . Thanks for your response
Maybe slightly bullish ultra-short-term.
Posted by kevindeng0727 on 22nd of Nov 2021 at 11:05 pm
Maybe slightly bullish ultra-short-term.