regarding that big picture chart analysis - just remember those
secular bull runs have 3 - 5 cyclical bear markets - look at
the one in the 50's, you had a 2 year long bear market from 1956 -
1958. To me you have to continue trading your plan and get your
trade signals off MUCH MUCH smaller time frames. that 90 year chart
is more academic - yes if there's a big correction you could
generally guess that it's a buy opportunity but for me I'll get my
actual triggers off daily charts, I'm not going to stay in index
funds and ETF's simply because the secular bull market hints that
it may go on for another 12 years - I'm not willing to hold through
1 - 2 year small bear markets
Absolutley. As well as those nasty 20-30 % quick drops
like we'll probably get in the fall when they raise rates early.
What do you think about the summer doldrums and sell in May ?
Still hold EQ in 401k over summer ?
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regarding that big picture chart
Video on Secular cycles and some fun projections
Posted by matt on 8th of Jun 2021 at 01:17 pm
regarding that big picture chart analysis - just remember those secular bull runs have 3 - 5 cyclical bear markets - look at the one in the 50's, you had a 2 year long bear market from 1956 - 1958. To me you have to continue trading your plan and get your trade signals off MUCH MUCH smaller time frames. that 90 year chart is more academic - yes if there's a big correction you could generally guess that it's a buy opportunity but for me I'll get my actual triggers off daily charts, I'm not going to stay in index funds and ETF's simply because the secular bull market hints that it may go on for another 12 years - I'm not willing to hold through 1 - 2 year small bear markets
Absolutley. As well as those
Posted by fredsaid on 8th of Jun 2021 at 01:35 pm
Absolutley. As well as those nasty 20-30 % quick drops like we'll probably get in the fall when they raise rates early. What do you think about the summer doldrums and sell in May ? Still hold EQ in 401k over summer ?