Hey Matt, some of the breath indicators I use ($SPXA50R, AD lines) are at levels that bear market rallies and counter trend rallies in strong corrections almost never reached in the past decades. The $SPXA200R could get there soon. So are my accumulation models for NDX and some sectors. We could still see 10ish% pullbacks but my models seem to lean to your wave 1 and then wave 2 correction scenario.