Matt/Steve, Can you advise where

    Posted by cozz101 on 12th of Mar 2020 at 09:52 am

    Matt/Steve, Can you advise where we are at on the long term Paint Dry System? I'm assuming very close to a sell?

    Looking for same...Matt, can you

    Posted by mrjasongill on 18th of Mar 2020 at 01:46 pm

    Looking for same...Matt, can you provide and update?

    https://breakpointtrades.com/sp-500-large-cap/

    again I've talked about that

    Posted by matt on 18th of Mar 2020 at 02:06 pm

    again I've talked about that many times and have comments listed there that monthly charts are too slow to respond to moves like this, even most weekly charts. I stated that I prefer the daily DVT swing stuff, which we wave a web page for, see it in the pull down menu under systems.

    I'm gonna be removing all that monthly stuff, in the past when bear markets rolled over vs 40% declines in a month they were fine.  

    Now one thing I am doing to do is keep a weekly system but add the DVT stops to it, here's an example. So for those who want to look at something weekly that's a good option, but those will have hard stops just like the daily DVT SPX.  

    regarding the old monthly crap - that indicator is obviously red, it will exit on the coming bear market rally. 

    but again for me and I think most of you: I don't want want to sit through 10% or 20% corrections even normally. the DVT stops will at most stop one at 3% on average from the highs, maybe 5% maximum.  Even under normal conditions the last 95 years, the monthly charts still kept you in on 10% and sometimes 20% corrections (think of 2011 when the market fell 20%, it stayed long, that's painful even though obviously long term it worked out.

    I think all of us and the general public now are going to be risk averse and I think the Edwards D Jones type brokers that just buy and hold and keep their clients invested in entire bear markets with no exit plans will be going the way of the Dodo bird.  The nice thing about the DVT, will keep one in all major uptrends, and avoid all corrections. The worst that can happen is that it gets you out of a pullback and you end up buying back in at slightly higher prices

    again here's the link to the daily and 120 min DVT.  I'll be adding a weekly in there as well. Here's the weekly 401K with the DVT as an example of what we'll be using in the future for that stuff. The last chart shows the daily which I've been suggesting to most people over that old weekly and monthly stuff

    https://breakpointtrades.com/current_dvts/

    again I know this is a very tough time, I try to look at some positive in everything. the positive I think is that this DVT technology is the holy grail for offering protection for these daily and even weekly systems. And monthly systems I don't think have any place in this type of much faster moving market than in the past. The DVT exit on the weekly this time would have been an amazing 3215, wow. can't go back to the past in the Delorean but can use it going forward

    I'm all for a new

    Posted by 24kau on 18th of Mar 2020 at 03:39 pm

    I'm all for a new system to try and recover losses.  Are you going to send buy/sell notifications like the SPY system with stops and subsequent stop increases?  What is being traded?  SSO for this system?  Is there only usually one trade at a time or could there be multiple entries?

    I've already said I would

    Posted by matt on 18th of Mar 2020 at 03:55 pm

    I've already said I would update you guys with plans for that and a video etc, maybe even a webinar with discussions 

    1. I added logic to that Trend/Pullback system that provides a much earlier exit, that is actually profitable and provides protection

    2. looks like a sub system is going long the Bear Exhaust or Bear long, however I can't confirm that as my TS is crashed and I can't send orders out for it while it is down, I'm trying to get it back up.

    I agree Matt, this looks

    Posted by chapgolf on 18th of Mar 2020 at 02:13 pm

    I agree Matt, this looks like a much safer system.  I am going to cut loose my UPRO spy system position today as I am concerned it may just implode.  Keeping SPY and SSO for now.  I expect the options will expire worthless but who knows?  

    There will be a bounce

    Posted by cape_rover on 18th of Mar 2020 at 03:50 pm

    There will be a bounce at some time - not to all time highs but there will be bounce to hopefully get some of your option money back.

    100% agree.  Markets aren't linear

    Posted by ssaffer on 18th of Mar 2020 at 03:52 pm

    100% agree.  Markets aren't linear ( except for this past month which is an outlier).  

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