RP - Wave 3 melt ups are very common in history.  Then wave 4 (abc) get people guessing (is the run over, I should get out).  Good example is Silver/Gold.  Melt up in August.  Then peaked and had blow off and slid down hard.  Now has consolidated for past couple of months.  Today might be seeing a break of that long (wave 4) consolidation.  Going on stats high probability of seeing a wave 4 type pullback over the next couple of weeks.  Once weak hands are shaken out, the next run up will happen.  Def fed money is lifting all boats (the collateral damage will be inflation in food/gas).  We are starting to see commodity prices lift off and break out of years downtrend.  We just want to be on the right side of each wave up/down. 

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