Dow short-term overbought levels

    Posted by sbaxman111 on 29th of Jun 2016 at 12:15 pm

    The Dow's 61.8% retrace from the 18,011.07 high to the 17,063.08 low is at 17,648.94. The current reading is at 17,645 as of 12:12 pm. Its' 60 min RSI-2 is at 99.40%, its RSI-4 is at 93.15%, and its 60 min ADX 2 is at 96.64.

    Not hard to think that at least a short-term pullback might be in the cards at these levels.

    thinking of selling a SPY

    Posted by frtaylor on 29th of Jun 2016 at 12:29 pm

    thinking of selling a SPY vertical spread (which I can do in my IRA), but not til I see some MACD and/or RSI 5 divergence on a 30min or hr chart. Currently nothing even on a 15 min.

    you could do that, or

    Posted by matt on 29th of Jun 2016 at 12:30 pm

    you could do that, or you could always close out 1/2 the position instead of the full position with a tight stop in place like at 50% of today's candle if you still wanted to ride it higher vs doing the options

    True. Maybe watch for a

    Posted by frtaylor on 29th of Jun 2016 at 12:32 pm

    True. Maybe watch for a shooting star or doji to get taken out to the down side for 1/2 the SPY.

    yes doji etc would be

    Posted by matt on 29th of Jun 2016 at 12:35 pm

    yes doji etc would be idea, also monitor 60 min and 2 hr charts for divergence or wedge like patterns

    just noticing, VIX is nearing

    Posted by frtaylor on 29th of Jun 2016 at 12:39 pm

    just noticing, VIX is nearing its 20 ma. An August 25 call is $115. Hmm.

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