Definitely a point of debate, since the DOW is so few stocks. I
think he's just saying more historical data is better, which is
generally true for statistics, but I don't know about this
case.
first 5 days, see annotations on the image bottom left I took
those from Stocktraders Almanac. That shows if the SPX is
positive the first 5 days, which won't be the case this time
otherwise I'm dealing with medical issues today as Steve may
have alluded to, with neck and back
I want all studies on
Just found this article on the "first five days" January ...
Posted by a_l_ on 4th of Jan 2016 at 10:22 am
I want all studies on broader indices than the dow.
Me too. But for really
Posted by frtaylor on 4th of Jan 2016 at 10:32 am
Me too. But for really long term data, only the DOW goes back 100+ years.
Also not sure why data
Posted by a_l_ on 4th of Jan 2016 at 10:35 am
Also not sure why data earlier than the S&P would be as important on this study.
Definitely a point of debate,
Posted by frtaylor on 4th of Jan 2016 at 10:38 am
Definitely a point of debate, since the DOW is so few stocks. I think he's just saying more historical data is better, which is generally true for statistics, but I don't know about this case.
In any case, the study
Posted by a_l_ on 4th of Jan 2016 at 10:40 am
In any case, the study should match the instrument you trade.
The January barometer is about
Posted by steve on 4th of Jan 2016 at 10:27 am
The January barometer is about 90% but not sure about the stats on first 5 days. However, I'd focus on the more recent data since 1950.
Trading days for January. Today
Posted by EdZ on 4th of Jan 2016 at 10:38 am
Trading days for January. Today normally down and next day up.
first 5 days, see annotations
Posted by matt on 4th of Jan 2016 at 10:32 am
first 5 days, see annotations on the image bottom left I took those from Stocktraders Almanac. That shows if the SPX is positive the first 5 days, which won't be the case this time
otherwise I'm dealing with medical issues today as Steve may have alluded to, with neck and back
Sorry you're having back/neck problems!
Posted by frtaylor on 4th of Jan 2016 at 10:34 am
Sorry you're having back/neck problems! God, do I ever hate back pain!