Posted by chartboy on 23rd of Sep 2011 at 03:51 pm
I think you may be missing the point..there is no such
thing as "THE" pivot low....every chart has a "SERIES" of
pivot lows. An experienced Fibonacci chartist is always going to
be using these significant series of pivots to build their
charts and to properly identify "Fib clusters".
As the "smart money" traders that are doing this will by
definition, in instances like this, have a series of Fib pivots
just a fraction of a percent above the "obvious" pivots used by
most amatuer traders....In instances like this, (GLD), where the
market is already very over extended...the smart money
guys will always be watching for Fib reversals right above
those that the amateurs are using. Not only does that allow them a
backstop, (from all of the orders placed by the amaturer Fib
watchers just below), if they go long on a reversal
pattern into the zone that then the security sees a slightly lower
low....but they also catch many of the reversals that
anyone waiting for the obvious Fib zones to be hit, (at
lower prices), will miss as the price reverses from the "smart
money" buying before it even falls to the "obvious" Fib levels
identified off the single deepest low on the chart.
Chartboy, thanks for that - this is the kind of info that really
helps a trader like me, who fancies himself as "not quite a
greenhorn anymore", but certainly not as wily as the real pro's.
Any pointers/links for further eading on this topic would be
great.
Matt, Steve, yet another example of why this is such a superb
website, service and trading community spirit!
Posted by chartboy on 23rd of Sep 2011 at 04:08 pm
Definitely...get a copy of "Derrick S. Hobb's book - Fibonacci
trading for the active trader".
While I believe the book may be out of print and as a
result the price has risen a bit... If you are serious
about learning about using Fibonacci's the book is probably one of
the top resources out there.
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The low in 2010 was
GLD
Posted by angelo851 on 23rd of Sep 2011 at 03:37 pm
The low in 2010 was in February at 102? Why is that not the pivot low?
I think you may be missing the
Posted by chartboy on 23rd of Sep 2011 at 03:51 pm
I think you may be missing the point..there is no such thing as "THE" pivot low....every chart has a "SERIES" of pivot lows. An experienced Fibonacci chartist is always going to be using these significant series of pivots to build their charts and to properly identify "Fib clusters".
As the "smart money" traders that are doing this will by definition, in instances like this, have a series of Fib pivots just a fraction of a percent above the "obvious" pivots used by most amatuer traders....In instances like this, (GLD), where the market is already very over extended...the smart money guys will always be watching for Fib reversals right above those that the amateurs are using. Not only does that allow them a backstop, (from all of the orders placed by the amaturer Fib watchers just below), if they go long on a reversal pattern into the zone that then the security sees a slightly lower low....but they also catch many of the reversals that anyone waiting for the obvious Fib zones to be hit, (at lower prices), will miss as the price reverses from the "smart money" buying before it even falls to the "obvious" Fib levels identified off the single deepest low on the chart.
Chartboy, thanks for that -
Posted by isplat on 23rd of Sep 2011 at 04:05 pm
Chartboy, thanks for that - this is the kind of info that really helps a trader like me, who fancies himself as "not quite a greenhorn anymore", but certainly not as wily as the real pro's. Any pointers/links for further eading on this topic would be great.
Matt, Steve, yet another example of why this is such a superb website, service and trading community spirit!
Thanks to all, and have a safe, restful weekend.
Definitely...get a copy of "Derrick
Posted by chartboy on 23rd of Sep 2011 at 04:08 pm
Definitely...get a copy of "Derrick S. Hobb's book - Fibonacci trading for the active trader".
While I believe the book may be out of print and as a result the price has risen a bit... If you are serious about learning about using Fibonacci's the book is probably one of the top resources out there.