They say there are no old bold traders, perhaps true.
When I was younger, I loved the idea of "being short" along with
Tim Knight....the short positions moved fast when you were right.
But swimming upstream as your MO is not smart. I've
posted this chart trendlines a few times....but with the final
wedge, I took an ES short, it's 50 times leverage, about
$330,000 notional position, quite a lot.
I am predicting a "substantial" move down in SPY, I mean 3 or 4
%, and will drag many tickers with it. Repeated attempts to
get through the former trendline is not a sign that it has weakened
the line, but a sign that it is a strong line.
Very seldom do 6 fire off at the same time, usually its one or
two, and usually just 1 or 2 entries, sometimes 3.
Number 2 and 3 are "painful entries" as you are already in a
losing position from number 1. So think about it
differently.
Lots of fear mongering last few days about how emerging markets
are getting crushed....when the chart says....bullish, and the
talking head are promoting fear....well 2 stars line up.
Options are "fun" but if you have enough assets that you don't
have to pay for leverage....then why pay for leverage? I
would like to sell options, LOL, for "income" but don't have the
time to put into that right now.
Matt, I took the contrarian approach and went long into the
weekend, although I did not take the long Thursday. I
bought the /ES June....is that smart because of upcoming rollover
third Friday of March?
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
I would stay away from that beast, looks super manipulated
RRG
Posted by steveo on 5th of May 2026 at 03:31 am
Trading ES futures in Oahu....Short
Posted by steveo on 28th of Apr 2026 at 02:24 am
They say there are no old bold traders, perhaps true. When I was younger, I loved the idea of "being short" along with Tim Knight....the short positions moved fast when you were right. But swimming upstream as your MO is not smart. I've posted this chart trendlines a few times....but with the final wedge, I took an ES short, it's 50 times leverage, about $330,000 notional position, quite a lot.
Comments?
I am predicting a "substantial"
Posted by steveo on 24th of Apr 2026 at 10:52 pm
I am predicting a "substantial" move down in SPY, I mean 3 or 4 %, and will drag many tickers with it. Repeated attempts to get through the former trendline is not a sign that it has weakened the line, but a sign that it is a strong line.
XLU beaten down lately, but
Posted by steveo on 23rd of Apr 2026 at 10:06 pm
XLU beaten down lately, but now a perfect backtest of the old channel. I have some profit from a much earlier buy, time to set a tight stop methinks?
Any comments?
Matt always say to extend out the former trendlines.....
Futures not down as much as I would have expected
Posted by steveo on 20th of Apr 2026 at 02:54 am
Fukushima was exactly like that
Amazing how the charts set up the you get the news item
Posted by steveo on 19th of Apr 2026 at 05:10 pm
Sheesh!
HIMS fantastic move!
Posted by steveo on 15th of Apr 2026 at 10:10 pm
I intended to buy that and then got busy on business!
LOL Modified Cup and Handle
KOD
Posted by steveo on 9th of Apr 2026 at 02:16 am
LOL Modified Cup and Handle with a Artemis 2 finale
Very seldom do 6 fire
Mean reversion systems
Posted by steveo on 1st of Apr 2026 at 01:11 am
Very seldom do 6 fire off at the same time, usually its one or two, and usually just 1 or 2 entries, sometimes 3. Number 2 and 3 are "painful entries" as you are already in a losing position from number 1. So think about it differently.
179 a few years back,
NKE reports tonight
Posted by steveo on 1st of Apr 2026 at 01:09 am
179 a few years back, now 52. Amazing what even organizations will do to support a belief system
Although a drop to the
I drew this channel quite a while back, and postulated that the market "needed" a 10% drop to flush out the stops (liquidity grab)
Posted by steveo on 30th of Mar 2026 at 03:34 pm
Although a drop to the 38 Fib which also equals the prior highs, is in the cards too.
I drew this channel quite a while back, and postulated that the market "needed" a 10% drop to flush out the stops (liquidity grab)
Posted by steveo on 30th of Mar 2026 at 01:39 pm
So this may be the near term bottom
EFA looks ABC corrected down,
Posted by steveo on 25th of Mar 2026 at 05:24 pm
EFA looks ABC corrected down, and that clean bounce off the 200 looks very supportive, comments?
Lots of fear mongering last
Posted by steveo on 25th of Mar 2026 at 05:13 pm
Lots of fear mongering last few days about how emerging markets are getting crushed....when the chart says....bullish, and the talking head are promoting fear....well 2 stars line up.
It really is that way,
Amazing how the charts seem to predict the news sometimes.
Posted by steveo on 25th of Mar 2026 at 05:09 pm
It really is that way, LOL, is the "collective conscience" picking all the little clues and properly analyzing it?
Options are "fun" but if
Curious what stock trading platforms people here use...Matt? Rik? anybody/everybody?
Posted by steveo on 17th of Mar 2026 at 03:09 pm
Options are "fun" but if you have enough assets that you don't have to pay for leverage....then why pay for leverage? I would like to sell options, LOL, for "income" but don't have the time to put into that right now.
ES Futures looks kind of bull flag to me, but its only weekend futures
Posted by steveo on 16th of Mar 2026 at 02:56 am
My June (M) ES long is looking good, I will close it out near the down channel top.
Yes I love the indicator
You can now 'Favorite' a post and have it saved
Posted by steveo on 16th of Mar 2026 at 02:29 am
Yes I love the indicator type charts.
Matt, I took the contrarian
MU, etc.
Posted by steveo on 13th of Mar 2026 at 04:47 pm
Matt, I took the contrarian approach and went long into the weekend, although I did not take the long Thursday. I bought the /ES June....is that smart because of upcoming rollover third Friday of March?
Matt, where can I find
Monday March 9th, 2026 Newsletter
Posted by steveo on 9th of Mar 2026 at 09:55 pm
Matt, where can I find your dividend spreadsheet