I trade everything around the $ES. My trading plan for $ES
is all trend based. I sold one $ES contract on 2/20 with a
break of the trend on the Daily. And I am not trying to brag
about the trade, I just want to show you that when the conditions
are ripe and the leverage you have with $ES futures. Then I
use the SPY system with an another account. This working
position allows me to take some loses on the SPY system trades.
Now if the market bounces Monday, I will be profitable on the
last SPY option trade in the SPY system, and I will close out my
$ES position. This gives me the ability not to panic and let
the trades work out. This is how I hedge but always going
with the market trend with overall trading bias. The second
file is a chart of the SPY daily. This breakdown was no
surprise. You had huge bearish divergences on RSI, MACD,
spinning top and a break from a megaphone top. This set up
was the same the break in 2008. The market was already
deteriorating and the Coronavirus was the match that lit the fire.
$ES Daily wave chart. This is not trading advice but just
my personal count. The market is dynamic so I just use these
types of rough guides if you will. Have to use tight stops in
this type of environment, I use a 5 day EMA for now). I am
looking for a ABC double bottom short term. A test of Fridays
low would be good and productive. Now things do not always
play out as thought so resistance lines will be critical to watch
and see if rejected or break through or false break. Now if
we retest I will have more confidence in getting a good rally for
March. Then see where it stalls. My bias for now is
bearish until proven otherwise. So I will look to be more
aggressive on the downside. Everyone is calling the top now
and wave 5 is in but until price confirms a bear market (below the
Dec 2018 lows-2317). Then I will keep trading the swings and
bias to the downside. During this coronavirus there will be
sectors hit harder than others. So I will look to short
stocks that are in Restaurant, Airlines, Retail chains, etc. on any
bounce. I think setting up a strategy today, for the next 3
months on how to best position yourself for successful wins.
Again this is just my own personal view. My core
position will always be with SPY system.
APRN (Blue Apron) - Here is a speculative play. If
people get Coronavirus they will need to stay home and be
quarantined, so this type of service may benefit greatly by
delivering meals to the home. Just my two
cents.
$ES 120m near term target. That's what I have for B wave
up tgt for now (price action always take precedent) Then
possibly one more push down (Wave C) before an intermediate bottom
(3/3-3/6) window. If this plays out. Also too note -
If you took that sell signal on 2/19@17:00, you would be sitting
pretty right now. I think trading the 120m with this high
volatility could notch out some nice trades on the buy and sell
side. reducing big draw downs.
At this point we are closer to a bottom than a top. So
much bearish talk, news, etc.. We are near or at a significant
bottom. Nothing is linear in the markets. Just
about all the snowflakes have cashed out.
I think we are all in your camp. i have have had a bearish
bias since 2/14 and I put on some shorts/puts. I closed way
too early and now sitting on losses. Not typical for me.
i steered away from my trading plan. I do not even
have the virus and it is kicking my arse.
This was one of my worst day performances is years.
Took a lot of body blows today, hopefully I can recover next
week. Closed my shorts/puts too early and entered
Long/Calls too early. Have to review my trading plan
again, Need some Scotch now (has to be
cheap).
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
I trade everything around the
Posted by ssaffer on 1st of Mar 2020 at 12:55 am
I trade everything around the $ES. My trading plan for $ES is all trend based. I sold one $ES contract on 2/20 with a break of the trend on the Daily. And I am not trying to brag about the trade, I just want to show you that when the conditions are ripe and the leverage you have with $ES futures. Then I use the SPY system with an another account. This working position allows me to take some loses on the SPY system trades. Now if the market bounces Monday, I will be profitable on the last SPY option trade in the SPY system, and I will close out my $ES position. This gives me the ability not to panic and let the trades work out. This is how I hedge but always going with the market trend with overall trading bias. The second file is a chart of the SPY daily. This breakdown was no surprise. You had huge bearish divergences on RSI, MACD, spinning top and a break from a megaphone top. This set up was the same the break in 2008. The market was already deteriorating and the Coronavirus was the match that lit the fire.
$ES Daily wave chart. This
Posted by ssaffer on 29th of Feb 2020 at 05:07 pm
$ES Daily wave chart. This is not trading advice but just my personal count. The market is dynamic so I just use these types of rough guides if you will. Have to use tight stops in this type of environment, I use a 5 day EMA for now). I am looking for a ABC double bottom short term. A test of Fridays low would be good and productive. Now things do not always play out as thought so resistance lines will be critical to watch and see if rejected or break through or false break. Now if we retest I will have more confidence in getting a good rally for March. Then see where it stalls. My bias for now is bearish until proven otherwise. So I will look to be more aggressive on the downside. Everyone is calling the top now and wave 5 is in but until price confirms a bear market (below the Dec 2018 lows-2317). Then I will keep trading the swings and bias to the downside. During this coronavirus there will be sectors hit harder than others. So I will look to short stocks that are in Restaurant, Airlines, Retail chains, etc. on any bounce. I think setting up a strategy today, for the next 3 months on how to best position yourself for successful wins. Again this is just my own personal view. My core position will always be with SPY system.
Jaws of death playing out.
These are usually pretty accurate...if we break through
Posted by ssaffer on 29th of Feb 2020 at 12:18 pm
Jaws of death playing out. That's a good program if it you had that going into February.
APRN (Blue Apron) - Here
Posted by ssaffer on 28th of Feb 2020 at 09:28 pm
APRN (Blue Apron) - Here is a speculative play. If people get Coronavirus they will need to stay home and be quarantined, so this type of service may benefit greatly by delivering meals to the home. Just my two cents.
I think we call this
GDX Gold Stocks ETF. Weekly Close. {Elliott Wave 5} setting ...
Posted by ssaffer on 28th of Feb 2020 at 09:25 pm
I think we call this margin calls.
$ES 120m near term target.
Posted by ssaffer on 28th of Feb 2020 at 09:11 pm
$ES 120m near term target. That's what I have for B wave up tgt for now (price action always take precedent) Then possibly one more push down (Wave C) before an intermediate bottom (3/3-3/6) window. If this plays out. Also too note - If you took that sell signal on 2/19@17:00, you would be sitting pretty right now. I think trading the 120m with this high volatility could notch out some nice trades on the buy and sell side. reducing big draw downs.
At this point we are
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 09:48 pm
At this point we are closer to a bottom than a top. So much bearish talk, news, etc.. We are near or at a significant bottom. Nothing is linear in the markets. Just about all the snowflakes have cashed out.
When the SP500 goes to
QQQ Nasdaq ETF. {Update} The {Wave 5} top is set.We ...
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 07:50 pm
When the SP500 goes to zero, we will have a good entry.
This market needs the paddles
maybe the market will bounce tomorrow I'm short ...
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 05:27 pm
This market needs the paddles and start shocking it out of cardiac arrest.
I think we are all
i hate being right especially without the profits to back ...
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 05:20 pm
I think we are all in your camp. i have have had a bearish bias since 2/14 and I put on some shorts/puts. I closed way too early and now sitting on losses. Not typical for me. i steered away from my trading plan. I do not even have the virus and it is kicking my arse.
Whats 20 when we just
SPY down 2 pts AH
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 05:13 pm
Whats 20 when we just slid 160 in two hours.
Thats it?
SPY down 2 pts AH
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 05:07 pm
Thats it?
This was one of my
I just capitulated. Must be the bottom. LOL
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 04:32 pm
This was one of my worst day performances is years. Took a lot of body blows today, hopefully I can recover next week. Closed my shorts/puts too early and entered Long/Calls too early. Have to review my trading plan again, Need some Scotch now (has to be cheap).
Man. Never experienced such ugliness.
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 04:03 pm
Man. Never experienced such ugliness.
Just added PAYC to the
I am a buyer at the close: MAY Calls OTM ...
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 03:23 pm
Just added PAYC to the group.
NIce!!!! They are a smart
GOOD NEWS …. https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/israeli-scientists-say-they-will-have-coronavirus-vaccine-few-weeks
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 03:22 pm
NIce!!!! They are a smart bunch and Science is there wheelhouse.
I am a buyer at
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 03:12 pm
I am a buyer at the close: MAY Calls OTM on AAPL, AMZN, HD, BBY, NKE, TSCO and ADBE. Let er rip!!!
I hear you. I just
I am not sure I have the stomach to take ...
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 02:51 pm
I hear you. I just bought some April 17th 337 SPY Calls@0.40 Low risk.
From my vantage point, It
Should the energy complex bounce DRIP is one to fade ...
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 02:44 pm
From my vantage point, It looks OIL is finished a final wave "V" and looking for a nice entry next week.
VIR - insane move in
Posted by ssaffer on 27th of Feb 2020 at 01:54 pm
VIR - insane move in a couple of days.