Have been buying positions 6 months out. Fortunately for me the
tide has turned and both CCJ and URA have moved from max loss for
the June expiry to max profit! Phew! But the trades in Dec and Jan
are looking very very good. Went with wide spreads on the basis of
these monthly and weekly charts!! It was tough though in the
beginning of June!
Diginomad I am amazed you missed the 29th of January 2018. The
market turned down from 2871 off an evening star pattern which
Steve and Matt made very clear in their newsletters. Soon
thereafter we had a trend long signal. Suffice to say, I got
slaughtered. Then we hit a massive wick low of 2529 on the 5th of
Feb. So how far did it go. On the 12th March 2018 we saw the
retracement fail at the 78.6% Fib of2808. Needless to say, this
changed my trading completely and instead of 20-30 contracts
overnight I now only trade 3-4 on a signal or on any of my other
systems. I also make use of quite a few of the macro contracts.
Lesson learned, Sleep overnight dont sweat over every trade.
Future contracts for MNQ, MES, MYM and M2K are due to switch on
Friday 9th June. Why is there always such a big difference in price
between the close of the present contract vs the new contract.
Presently over 40 points?
Hi Pattellee, There are a few chaps here who are serious option
traders but my sixpense worth is that I will be buying 0.9 deltas
with 2 weeks to expiry. That way the 2-3 day period expected will
show the highest return. Also the 2 weeks would be safe from too
much theta(time) decay. However if later testing shows longer
average periods for the trades we may have to go out a bit further
in time. Obviously the best thing to do is sell calls (sell
signals) or puts when buy signals are given with one week of time
to run or even 4 weeks to gain more premium. This could be a
problem unless you have quite a large trading account. I am working
on my trading plan for all these considerations and would be happy
to share with you when done.
Most impressive Matt, this will keep me going for so much longer
LOL. Looking forward to getting signals on these systems too. Any
idea of how many of them have future contracts?
The only problem I have with this improved system is that there
are only 76 trades in 20 years just short of 4 per annum. No
chance of me being around at the end of 20 years LOL.
But no doubt that the higher the profit factor the fewer
signals. I do have enough systems to trade to live with that.
Matt thanks for this detail. I have been trading the VIX system
quite religiously over the past 8 years and have found that the PF
is not great compared to the other systems you have developed.
Which indicator or other trigger could be added to improve these
stats.
I am no good at uploading files but I have plotted the fibs on
the NQ Futures weekly chart in Tradingview. Presently we are slap
bang on the 61.8% Fib line of 14367. With such a strong move up it
is even possible that we could see the 78.6% Fib at 15423 reached
before the wheels come off.
Hi Matt, what a wonderful talent you have! As you know I am
mostly interested in the E-minis and E- Macros. Do you run your
bots on Tradestation? Are you on the cloud or do you only get
signals and act on those? What is your system that the daily
bots are trading on MES and MNQ.
Junkie, DigiNomad. You guys are sharing some very good option
trades but I must warn the newby's that unless they have been
trading options for some time and have good experience doing so
that these are high risk option trades. However I have posted the
trade on my TOS paper trading account and will follow the trade as
you guys post. Good Luck Junkie.
Thank you for this posting Matt. So now I am sure you have
already looked at a number of indicators/moving averages to add to
the basic concept with the view of cutting out the more bearish
trades (no trades if below 50ema?, etc.etc). I am quite excited
about this one. You should be able to get that profit factor up
quite a bit and trading futures with the system could give good
returns!
Hi Mugsy, I trade on Tradestation and use the MESM23 etc
tickers. using the MGC and MBT tickers is where I am struggling. I
have seen some sites such as COMEX showing monthly GC's but
when I try to open hte chart in Tradestation very few of those
populate. Presnetly I have MGCM23 (June)which is working well. I do
believe it expires at the end of May. So I have been using a bit of
hit and miss with the GC and MBT contracts. Would like a schedule
which shows the best contract names to use.
Need some help on the futures contract names for GC and MBT.
Also when to roll over. Quite happy with ES, NQ, YM and RTY
contracts I have been trading for years now but get caught by gold
and bitcoin.
I have used Tradestation since 2014 and have found them to be
acceptable. A bit clunky at times as Matt would say but I do not
trade too many contracts anymore and find fills on buy and sell to
be quite good.
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Have been buying positions 6
nice move on URA the last few weeks
Posted by mundy on 12th of Jun 2023 at 07:03 pm
Have been buying positions 6 months out. Fortunately for me the tide has turned and both CCJ and URA have moved from max loss for the June expiry to max profit! Phew! But the trades in Dec and Jan are looking very very good. Went with wide spreads on the basis of these monthly and weekly charts!! It was tough though in the beginning of June!
Diginomad I am amazed you
SPX 61.8% Fib hit, Aug 2022 highs is 4325
Posted by mundy on 9th of Jun 2023 at 11:46 pm
Diginomad I am amazed you missed the 29th of January 2018. The market turned down from 2871 off an evening star pattern which Steve and Matt made very clear in their newsletters. Soon thereafter we had a trend long signal. Suffice to say, I got slaughtered. Then we hit a massive wick low of 2529 on the 5th of Feb. So how far did it go. On the 12th March 2018 we saw the retracement fail at the 78.6% Fib of2808. Needless to say, this changed my trading completely and instead of 20-30 contracts overnight I now only trade 3-4 on a signal or on any of my other systems. I also make use of quite a few of the macro contracts. Lesson learned, Sleep overnight dont sweat over every trade.
Actually Matt, the kudos should
Future contracts for MNQ, MES, MYM and M2K are due ...
Posted by mundy on 8th of Jun 2023 at 11:45 pm
Actually Matt, the kudos should be for Tradingview. They show a contract switch date on the charts. Nice feature!
Future contracts for MNQ, MES,
Posted by mundy on 8th of Jun 2023 at 06:33 pm
Future contracts for MNQ, MES, MYM and M2K are due to switch on Friday 9th June. Why is there always such a big difference in price between the close of the present contract vs the new contract. Presently over 40 points?
Hi Pattellee, There are a
Those of you wanting more reversion to mean systems trades - the volatility systems will add a ton
Posted by mundy on 5th of Jun 2023 at 08:48 pm
Hi Pattellee, There are a few chaps here who are serious option traders but my sixpense worth is that I will be buying 0.9 deltas with 2 weeks to expiry. That way the 2-3 day period expected will show the highest return. Also the 2 weeks would be safe from too much theta(time) decay. However if later testing shows longer average periods for the trades we may have to go out a bit further in time. Obviously the best thing to do is sell calls (sell signals) or puts when buy signals are given with one week of time to run or even 4 weeks to gain more premium. This could be a problem unless you have quite a large trading account. I am working on my trading plan for all these considerations and would be happy to share with you when done.
We call it a senior
Wow no newsletter
Posted by mundy on 5th of Jun 2023 at 01:35 am
We call it a senior moment Matt It happens to us septuagenarians rather often.!
Most impressive Matt, this will
Those of you wanting more reversion to mean systems trades - the volatility systems will add a ton
Posted by mundy on 4th of Jun 2023 at 11:22 pm
Most impressive Matt, this will keep me going for so much longer LOL. Looking forward to getting signals on these systems too. Any idea of how many of them have future contracts?
The only problem I have
Posted by mundy on 2nd of Jun 2023 at 11:28 pm
The only problem I have with this improved system is that there are only 76 trades in 20 years just short of 4 per annum. No chance of me being around at the end of 20 years LOL.
But no doubt that the higher the profit factor the fewer signals. I do have enough systems to trade to live with that.
Thanks Matt, You posted on the
$VVIX moving up today despite thestrength in the markets, well ...
Posted by mundy on 2nd of Jun 2023 at 11:19 pm
Thanks Matt,
You posted on the 13th of April 2023 at 4:43 pm for anyone who is interested. Great system indeed.! One I follow now!
Matt thanks for this detail.
$VVIX moving up today despite thestrength in the markets, well ...
Posted by mundy on 2nd of Jun 2023 at 06:49 pm
Matt thanks for this detail. I have been trading the VIX system quite religiously over the past 8 years and have found that the PF is not great compared to the other systems you have developed. Which indicator or other trigger could be added to improve these stats.
Thanks Steve. Any possibility of
4/17 ES Levels June Contract (ESM25)
Posted by mundy on 28th of May 2023 at 05:46 pm
Thanks Steve. Any possibility of NQ levels too, especially during week-end review?
i should have read through
I am no good at uploading files but I have ...
Posted by mundy on 26th of May 2023 at 06:11 pm
i should have read through all the postings. I do see that RMoore100, Simplemillion and Steve have also posted on NQ.
I am no good at
Posted by mundy on 26th of May 2023 at 05:42 pm
I am no good at uploading files but I have plotted the fibs on the NQ Futures weekly chart in Tradingview. Presently we are slap bang on the 61.8% Fib line of 14367. With such a strong move up it is even possible that we could see the 78.6% Fib at 15423 reached before the wheels come off.
Hi Matt, what a wonderful
Fridays are good day for me to work on system development
Posted by mundy on 19th of May 2023 at 05:57 pm
Hi Matt, what a wonderful talent you have! As you know I am mostly interested in the E-minis and E- Macros. Do you run your bots on Tradestation? Are you on the cloud or do you only get signals and act on those? What is your system that the daily bots are trading on MES and MNQ.
Junkie, DigiNomad. You guys are
DigiNomad, I bought $SPX Jul 21 4400/4425 Bear CS on ...
Posted by mundy on 17th of May 2023 at 09:16 pm
Junkie, DigiNomad. You guys are sharing some very good option trades but I must warn the newby's that unless they have been trading options for some time and have good experience doing so that these are high risk option trades. However I have posted the trade on my TOS paper trading account and will follow the trade as you guys post. Good Luck Junkie.
Thank you for this posting
I confirmed the OPEX stats from that graph!
Posted by mundy on 17th of May 2023 at 09:12 pm
Thank you for this posting Matt. So now I am sure you have already looked at a number of indicators/moving averages to add to the basic concept with the view of cutting out the more bearish trades (no trades if below 50ema?, etc.etc). I am quite excited about this one. You should be able to get that profit factor up quite a bit and trading futures with the system could give good returns!
Hi Mugsy, I trade on
Need some help on the futures contract names for GC ...
Posted by mundy on 10th of May 2023 at 06:51 pm
Hi Mugsy, I trade on Tradestation and use the MESM23 etc tickers. using the MGC and MBT tickers is where I am struggling. I have seen some sites such as COMEX showing monthly GC's but when I try to open hte chart in Tradestation very few of those populate. Presnetly I have MGCM23 (June)which is working well. I do believe it expires at the end of May. So I have been using a bit of hit and miss with the GC and MBT contracts. Would like a schedule which shows the best contract names to use.
About time this puppy started
URA monthly still has that huge coil forming
Posted by mundy on 10th of May 2023 at 06:45 pm
About time this puppy started moving again. I have a number of long option trades I have been carrying through the pullback.
Need some help on the
Posted by mundy on 10th of May 2023 at 05:32 pm
Need some help on the futures contract names for GC and MBT. Also when to roll over. Quite happy with ES, NQ, YM and RTY contracts I have been trading for years now but get caught by gold and bitcoin.
I have used Tradestation since
Would appreciate any recommendations from the community for a platform ...
Posted by mundy on 24th of Apr 2023 at 08:34 pm
I have used Tradestation since 2014 and have found them to be acceptable. A bit clunky at times as Matt would say but I do not trade too many contracts anymore and find fills on buy and sell to be quite good.