The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.

XLE...nice ramp EOD...

Posted by mitchell on 23rd of Dec 2024 at 03:54 pm

XLE...nice ramp EOD...

Based on pre-mkt action,  could be decent rug pull today. short-dated Puts may be interesting hedge here.

No comment in newsletter but

Thursday Newsletter

Posted by mitchell on 19th of Dec 2024 at 09:24 pm

No comment in newsletter but do you guys give significance to the new Buy Cycle dots on Daily and 1/2d charts (Chart 7)?  Seems like this would support a bottom at these levels..?

Bought some XLE EOD, at

Sectors

Posted by mitchell on 18th of Dec 2024 at 08:00 pm

Bought some XLE EOD, at least for bounce. Seems low risk here; Div date approaching. Front running the Renko buy signal. Figure it’s already had a pullback and could be uncorrelated. 

Agreed, Matt leaves that system out for good reason. Anyone who followed that system lost big time during  covid drop (as I did); that particular system is prone to early entry on big pullbacks. The revised Trend system also prone but to lesser degree.   

VIX is on verge of

Posted by mitchell on 29th of Nov 2024 at 11:44 am

VIX is on verge of filling a 4 mo. old gap to downside; after that there are a couple open gaps to upside. 

SBUX nice move up ex-div today. Old open gap around 108 which is my target over time. ~10% upside

had election worker today joke to my kids about changing their vote on their kids fun ballet if she didnt like an answer. Was quite shocked she said that but cant make this stuff up. 

Great day to sell strategic

Posted by mitchell on 31st of Oct 2024 at 11:20 am

Great day to sell strategic short-dated SPY puts; high premiums. 

I understand the reasoning but  unfortunate that all KISS systems are now an  add-on cost. I must have also not been attentive with this. I assumed high level Daily and Weekly KISS would be part of the base BPT cost  since it’s a variation of the paint dry system.  Maybe I just got use to this feature.  Will see how it goes. 

Bought spx puts before news,

818k

Posted by mitchell on 21st of Aug 2024 at 11:08 am

Bought spx puts before news, was up, down, then sold all for nice quick gain on drop. Mkt doesn’t want to correct but VIX indicates could be more pullback. 

Scaled out of all my SBUX Fri I had been holding since it bottomed low 70s. May still have some room higher but majority of gain likely in. 

Agreed, bullish on Ag. Sold

DBA

Posted by mitchell on 28th of Dec 2022 at 11:19 pm

Agreed, bullish on Ag. Sold positions earlier this yr, used profits to buy quality Midwest farmland renting back to farmer. Farmland has been on tear last few yrs (~20% last yr alone) w/ no slowdown from higher rates…mostly cash buyers.  Main concern I have is a global type debt / credit event, but 2008 had no impact on Ag…actually went up then. Low correlation to stocks, but high entry prices. 

We been using DVT so

KISS basket

Posted by mitchell on 24th of Nov 2022 at 10:36 am

We been using DVT so long it has a nice ring to it. Don’t think it matters what it stands for, it’s a stop. 

some of you looking to dilute BPT? Reality is signals adopted by many end up working less. Ive already noticed this in past on some trade triggers.

BRK strong recently; benefit big from rising I-rates. Should be decent performer. An /A holder so it’s been good. 

SBUX near target range; 10pt

SBUX Updated View

Posted by mitchell on 11th of Nov 2022 at 10:04 am

SBUX near target range; 10pt gainer 1 wk.

pop on earnings out of

SBUX Updated View

Posted by mitchell on 4th of Nov 2022 at 08:24 am

pop on earnings out of triangle. Was selling calls against position, now should run up to the higher LT upper trend line near 98. Similar setup to GILD from last wk. 

Sold GILD on $5 pop. Still good LT. 

No divergences on any timeframe, bull flag intraday all point bullish but right at LT downtrend resistance  

Newsletter

Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!