Posted by kingpin15 on 6th of Jun 2024 at 11:37 am
This is a passive train wreck. NVDA 6.7% of spy today vs 0.35%
in 2019, this is NOT a steady-as-you-go low earnings variance
company like MSFT or Apple - this is a violently cyclical beast that has routinely burnt
investors with pump "tit signings" sessions at the highs, church
choir - ghost towns at the lows.
The last 15 years what's the best AAPL ever accomplished (see
below) above the 200-day ma? And the 64%, it lasted just 24 hours.
With near monopolistic power over the largest group of
consumers ever assembled in the history of humanity, the best AAPL
could ever do was 64% > its 200 day.
The best MSFT could do is 54%, the evil of passive investing is
on stage here, and the system is broken.
NVDA overtook AAPL as the #2 weight in the S&P (now 6.7% in the SPY) on the back of the stock split and strong earnings. The stock
did so this morning and it has now a market cap of $3Tr. If NVDA
gains another 5% on MSFT, it will become the biggest weight in the
S&P. The stock currently has a weight of 6.7% in the S&P
whereas MSFT has a weight of 7% in SPY.
As we explained in our blog, if NVDA overtakes AAPL before the
June rebalance, AAPL's weight in the XLK would drop from 20% to
4.5% and NVDA's weight goes up from 4.5% to 20%. This means $10bl rotates out of AAPL into NVDA and this should
be enough to limit AAPL upside for a few days. Note that the
rebalance is based on weights as of June 14. They are
gaming the stock, trying to force State Street to rebalance.
At the same time, the stock split mob is chasing NVDA like
monkeys. Monkey see, monkey do
*Everyone knows stock split candidates often run higher post
the split announcement. Post the split, those lucky small
retail investors will be able to pay a $3000B valuation ($50B of
ebitda) vs. $300B ($7B of ebitda) in 2021.
Posted by kingpin15 on 6th of Jun 2024 at 09:40 am
looking to add NVDS (inverse)
nvda is now 88% above 200d ma.
The last 15 years what's the best AAPL ever accomplished above
the 200-day ma? And the 64%, it lasted just 24 hours The best msft could do is 54%, the evil of passive investing is
on stage here, and the system is broken.
Posted by kingpin15 on 4th of Jun 2024 at 08:49 pm
Bloomberg Eco out with a jarring report, saying monthly nonfarm
payroll prints likely overstated job growth last year by 730,000
https://x.com/FedGuy12/status/1797979207764713694
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
this guy (kitty) is a
Kitty on deck at Noon EST
Posted by kingpin15 on 7th of Jun 2024 at 12:35 pm
this guy (kitty) is a f'n DORK geez.
Costco COST more expansive than
Posted by kingpin15 on 7th of Jun 2024 at 10:59 am
Costco COST more expansive than Tesla on fwd EV / EBITDA? *at 30% above the 200-day ma, only spent 3 weeks in the last 20 yrs.
The most significant data in
USA Nonfarm Payrolls For May 272K Vs 182K Est.; 165K ...
Posted by kingpin15 on 7th of Jun 2024 at 09:05 am
The most significant data in the Jobs report is this:
Full-time workers: -625K
Part-time workers: +286K
couldnt be the covid shot
USA Nonfarm Payrolls For May 272K Vs 182K Est.; 165K ...
Posted by kingpin15 on 7th of Jun 2024 at 08:52 am
couldnt be the covid shot could it? (sarcasm)
nice look here
BITI ... might be a good short term play ;)
Posted by kingpin15 on 6th of Jun 2024 at 08:15 pm
nice look here
2/3rds position now
Is anyone trading the NVDA stock split into next week?
Posted by kingpin15 on 6th of Jun 2024 at 12:32 pm
2/3rds position now
This is a passive train
Posted by kingpin15 on 6th of Jun 2024 at 11:37 am
This is a passive train wreck. NVDA 6.7% of spy today vs 0.35% in 2019, this is NOT a steady-as-you-go low earnings variance company like MSFT or Apple - this is a violently cyclical beast that has routinely burnt investors with pump "tit signings" sessions at the highs, church choir - ghost towns at the lows.
The last 15 years what's the best AAPL ever accomplished (see below) above the 200-day ma ? And the 64%, it lasted just 24 hours.
With near monopolistic power over the largest group of consumers ever assembled in the history of humanity, the best AAPL could ever do was 64% > its 200 day.
The best MSFT could do is 54%, the evil of passive investing is on stage here, and the system is broken.
NVDA overtook AAPL as the #2 weight in the S&P ( now 6.7% in the SPY ) on the back of the stock split and strong earnings. The stock did so this morning and it has now a market cap of $3Tr. If NVDA gains another 5% on MSFT, it will become the biggest weight in the S&P. The stock currently has a weight of 6.7% in the S&P whereas MSFT has a weight of 7% in SPY.
As we explained in our blog, if NVDA overtakes AAPL before the June rebalance, AAPL's weight in the XLK would drop from 20% to 4.5% and NVDA's weight goes up from 4.5% to 20%. This means $10bl rotates out of AAPL into NVDA and this should be enough to limit AAPL upside for a few days. Note that the rebalance is based on weights as of June 14. They are gaming the stock, trying to force State Street to rebalance. At the same time, the stock split mob is chasing NVDA like monkeys. Monkey see, monkey do
*Everyone knows stock split candidates often run higher post the split announcement. Post the split, those lucky small retail investors will be able to pay a $3000B valuation ($50B of ebitda) vs. $300B ($7B of ebitda) in 2021.
Added 1/3 NVDS today
Is anyone trading the NVDA stock split into next week?
Posted by kingpin15 on 6th of Jun 2024 at 11:19 am
Added 1/3 NVDS today
looking to add NVDS (inverse) nvda
Is anyone trading the NVDA stock split into next week?
Posted by kingpin15 on 6th of Jun 2024 at 09:40 am
looking to add NVDS (inverse)
nvda is now 88% above 200d ma.
The last 15 years what's the best AAPL ever accomplished above the 200-day ma ? And the 64%, it lasted just 24 hours
The best msft could do is 54%, the evil of passive investing is on stage here, and the system is broken.
that is correct.
KISS system question. I am looking at URA which is ...
Posted by kingpin15 on 6th of Jun 2024 at 09:16 am
that is correct.
LOL will the sheep fall
AEMD big pop after hours
Posted by kingpin15 on 5th of Jun 2024 at 08:30 pm
LOL will the sheep fall for this bs again
rivn june 11 and 12
Posted by kingpin15 on 4th of Jun 2024 at 09:14 pm
rivn june 11 and 12 calls active today, nice look steve in newsletter
Bloomberg Eco out with a
Posted by kingpin15 on 4th of Jun 2024 at 08:49 pm
Bloomberg Eco out with a jarring report, saying monthly nonfarm payroll prints likely overstated job growth last year by 730,000
https://x.com/FedGuy12/status/1797979207764713694
x.com
x.com
easy $....lots $ sloshing around
Bloomberg - latest financial conditions print was the loosest measured ...
Posted by kingpin15 on 4th of Jun 2024 at 06:17 pm
easy $....lots $ sloshing around
MRNA reversal -
Posted by kingpin15 on 31st of May 2024 at 12:40 pm
MRNA reversal -
65000 AAL Sep24 10.0 Puts $0.40 yesterday monster
AAL weekly
Posted by kingpin15 on 30th of May 2024 at 01:42 pm
65000 AAL Sep24 10.0 Puts $0.40
yesterday monster aal put order
When is trial verdict? Asking
Sure hOpe that faith in the America people prevails today, ...
Posted by kingpin15 on 29th of May 2024 at 09:52 am
When is trial verdict? Asking in re DJT coil
pummeled !
Posted by kingpin15 on 28th of May 2024 at 01:52 pm
pummeled !
weekly $8 calls just lit
With GME surging, it makes sense to look at AMC ...
Posted by kingpin15 on 28th of May 2024 at 12:10 pm
weekly $8 calls just lit up.........
1000 AMC May24 31st 8.0 Calls $0.15
cvna gap looms......
cvna bloated pig slippin
Posted by kingpin15 on 23rd of May 2024 at 10:34 am
cvna gap looms......