Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 07:32 pm
Ziff Davis sold one of its divisions for
$1.2 billion in cash, which was more than the
entire company was valued at before the sale. This unlocked a lot
of value and left the company with a very strong balance
sheet.
They now hold
more cash than debt, which is rare in this
sector.
The remaining businesses are high?margin and well?known
brands.
Management has room to
buy back shares, which can support the stock
price.
The company trades at a
low valuationrelative to its earnings and cash
flow.
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 05:12 pm
SPX Q1 2026 decline was largely driven by its biggest
constituents, whose outsized weightings can
disproportionately pull the Index lower. Consider this: the
top-performing stock of the quarter, SanDisk Corporation,
surged 167.7%. Yet with a weighting of just 0.14%, it
contributed only 0.09 percentage points to the Index.
Meanwhile, NVIDIA fell 6.5% but carries a roughly 7.6%
weighting—dragging the Index down by about 0.5 percentage
points, more than five times the impact of SanDisk’s gain,
but in the opposite direction. In fact, 290 stocks
outperformed the Index during the quarter. Equal-weighting
all 500 companies would have produced a positive return of
0.7%, compared to the -4.3% decline in the traditional
market-cap weighted Index.
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 10:20 am
The thesis isn’t that Palantir disappears, it’s that its ceiling
lowers. Defense and intelligence remain nearly untouchable:
air-gapped environments, classification requirements, and deep
government relationships create barriers no commercial AI vendor
can easily clear. Peter Thiel’s network and Alex Karp’s willingness
to work on weapons systems where others won’t is a genuine
differentiator. Palantir’s national security business is durable.
Its commercial ambitions are where Claude is an existential
pressure.
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 09:12 am
otherside....
Rare S&P 500 Gap Higher on Wednesday Suggests a Binary
Outcome.
BTIG Research noted that using
$SPYsince 2003, there have been five prior times when the
intraday low was at least 1.5% above the prior day's intraday high.
In other words, a 'true gap' of at least 1.5%. Of those five
prior occurrences, 4 of the 5 gaps remain unfilled today. The 2009
event filled the gap 7 days later, then rallied meaningfully from
there. Forward returns were higher every time looking out 2, 4, 8
and 12 weeks later. Median 4- and 8-week returns + 6.09% and +9.1%,
respectively.
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 09:06 am
If Trump gets full denuclearization — stockpile surrendered,
Natanz and Fordow dismantled, enrichment ended — then you could
imagine letting Iran claim some version of strait sovereignty. Ugly
for the GCC, ugly for Europe, but defensible.
But if Iran keeps enrichment, which their 10-point plan
explicitly demands, then you cannot also give them the strait. A
nuclear-capable Iran with a toll booth on 20% of the world’s oil is
not a concession. It’s capitulation. You can trade one for the
other. You can’t keep both.
As opposed to purely financial securities like stocks, the
commodity futures curve represents the balance between physical
buyers and physical sellers across time.
When the front trades above the back, holders of inventory
are being pulled to sell today rather than store for tomorrow.
Every day in backwardation, the system gets thinner. Barrels come
out of tanks, buffers shrink, spare capacity drains. The clock
isn't just ticking toward resolution. It's ticking toward
depletion. Peace on day 14 of this ceasefire starts from a worse
position than peace on day 1, even with zero additional damage. And
when inventories hit the floor, prices stop being linear. That's
when the math breaks.
But the clock only runs one direction. It can price
resolution faster. It cannot undo what’s already been destroyed.
Ras Laffan, the world’s largest LNG export facility, took
drone strikes that knocked 17% of Qatar’s export capacity offline.
Repair timeline: three to five years.
The Saudi East-West pipeline was hit hours before the deal.
Main pressurization and pumping station likely damaged. Yanbu flows
limited. That was the Plan B.
Israel struck the Xinjiang-Iran railway corridor at Kashan,
China’s terrestrial alternative for trading crude oil while
avoiding Hormuz. First direct attack on Chinese infrastructure in
the war.
Hormuz can’t just be open to some ships. It needs at least 10
million barrels per day passing through, at least 50% of pre-war
capacity. Even with every theoretical offset firing, there’s still
a 6 million barrel per day gap.
Crude got smoked. Corn barely moved. That’s the cascade in
one chart. Oil reprices on headlines. Agricultural calendars don’t.
Urea is still at $700. The USDA’s smallest planned wheat crop since
1919 doesn’t reverse because two diplomats shook hands. Farmers who
couldn’t afford fertilizer in March aren’t retroactively applying
it in April because someone in Islamabad said “ceasefire.”
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 08:45 am
1) OIL– Big time bullish signal for WTI to hold
@Hedgeye immediate-term TRADE Signal Support of $93 yesterday and
now the TRR (top-end of the Risk Range™ Signal) is all the way up
at $116.99 (i.e. a higher Cycle High for #Quad3), so I bought more
Oil and Energy Stocks (XOP) into the close yesterday after being
patient and waiting for the day’s shorter-term Signals to
confirm.
2) USD– Bought a bunch of US Dollars while
shorting more Yens (Long YCS if you can only do Long Only)
yesterday A) because USD Index was nearing the LRR (low-end of Risk
Range™ Signal), B) confirming Bullish TREND and C) we have a
pending CPI report that’s going to be a major re-acceleration of at
least +100bps month-over-month; still Short Bitcoin with a -0.83
TRADE Correlation to USD.
3) Global Equities– Pretty much what The Signals
expected with all major Equity markets showing only red never mind
any follow-through – Japan -0.7% after printing the worst #Quad3
Slowdown in Consumer Confidence since the dark days of COVID! My
largest European Short is Germany (DAX opens down -1.3%) and my
largest Country Long remains Norway (NORW) which is up another
+1.5% here to +7.5% in the last month.
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 08:30 am
APLD Missed EPS on much stronger revenues.
COF Upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
CRWV Signed long-term infrastructure agreement for $21
billion with Meta.
NEOG Beat EPS by 3 cents (0.09 vs. 0.06) on stronger
revenues; raised guidance.
NTRA Awarded 30% royalties from ArcherDx in patent dispute.
PSMT Beat EPS by 5 cents (1.62 vs. 1.57) on stronger
revenues.
SMPL Beat EPS by 5 cents (0.45 vs. 0.40) on weaker revenues;
lowered guidance.
STZ Beat EPS by 19 cents (1.90 vs. 1.71) on stronger
revenues; lowered guidance.
Posted by kingpin15 on 8th of Apr 2026 at 08:11 pm
APLD Q3 2026 earnings: HPC Revenues Ignite, But Massive
Write-Downs and SBC Crush GAAP Earnings
Applied Digital is transitioning from a construction story to
an operational one, with Revenue accelerating 139% YoY to $126.6M
as the 100 MW Polaris Forge 1 HPC facility came online. This
operational milestone flipped Adjusted EBITDA from $6.3M a year ago
to $44.1M. However, beneath the non-GAAP success lies a bloody GAAP
reality: Net Loss expanded dramatically to $100.9M. This reversal
was driven by a $59.7M write-down on the Cloud Services unit (which
failed to sell and is now being spun out via a reverse merger) and
a
$39.3M YoY spike in stock-based compensation.
While the demand backdrop is euphoric—prompting the groundbreaking
of the 300 MW Delta Forge 1 campus—
execution costs and shareholder dilution remain significant
concerns.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
Ziff Davis sold one of
ZD looks bullish
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 07:32 pm
ZD looks bullish
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 07:31 pm
https://schrts.co/wfAVgePU
overbought into what will be
SPXU
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 07:29 pm
overbought into what will be big increase in CPI
SPX
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 05:12 pm
SPX Q1 2026 decline was largely driven by its biggest constituents, whose outsized weightings can disproportionately pull the Index lower. Consider this: the top-performing stock of the quarter, SanDisk Corporation, surged 167.7%. Yet with a weighting of just 0.14%, it contributed only 0.09 percentage points to the Index. Meanwhile, NVIDIA fell 6.5% but carries a roughly 7.6% weighting—dragging the Index down by about 0.5 percentage points, more than five times the impact of SanDisk’s gain, but in the opposite direction. In fact, 290 stocks outperformed the Index during the quarter. Equal-weighting all 500 companies would have produced a positive return of 0.7%, compared to the -4.3% decline in the traditional market-cap weighted Index.
SNDK
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 02:53 pm
200 SNDK Apr26 830 Puts $44.45
big put buyers today, i heard cramer was bullish so that makes sense time to sell.
CPI in the am will
VIX is below the lower BB. If the VIX bounces ...
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 01:44 pm
CPI in the am will include march data unlike this am ppi
NFLX ripping!
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 01:25 pm
PLTR
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 10:20 am
The thesis isn’t that Palantir disappears, it’s that its ceiling lowers. Defense and intelligence remain nearly untouchable: air-gapped environments, classification requirements, and deep government relationships create barriers no commercial AI vendor can easily clear. Peter Thiel’s network and Alex Karp’s willingness to work on weapons systems where others won’t is a genuine differentiator. Palantir’s national security business is durable. Its commercial ambitions are where Claude is an existential pressure.
otherside.... Rare S&P 500 Gap Higher
the 50 200 gap
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 09:12 am
otherside....
Rare S&P 500 Gap Higher on Wednesday Suggests a Binary Outcome.
BTIG Research noted that using $SPYsince 2003, there have been five prior times when the intraday low was at least 1.5% above the prior day's intraday high.
In other words, a 'true gap' of at least 1.5%. Of those five prior occurrences, 4 of the 5 gaps remain unfilled today. The 2009 event filled the gap 7 days later, then rallied meaningfully from there. Forward returns were higher every time looking out 2, 4, 8 and 12 weeks later. Median 4- and 8-week returns + 6.09% and +9.1%, respectively.
If Trump gets full denuclearization
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 09:06 am
If Trump gets full denuclearization — stockpile surrendered, Natanz and Fordow dismantled, enrichment ended — then you could imagine letting Iran claim some version of strait sovereignty. Ugly for the GCC, ugly for Europe, but defensible.
But if Iran keeps enrichment, which their 10-point plan explicitly demands, then you cannot also give them the strait. A nuclear-capable Iran with a toll booth on 20% of the world’s oil is not a concession. It’s capitulation. You can trade one for the other. You can’t keep both.
As opposed to purely financial securities like stocks, the commodity futures curve represents the balance between physical buyers and physical sellers across time.
When the front trades above the back, holders of inventory are being pulled to sell today rather than store for tomorrow. Every day in backwardation, the system gets thinner. Barrels come out of tanks, buffers shrink, spare capacity drains. The clock isn't just ticking toward resolution. It's ticking toward depletion. Peace on day 14 of this ceasefire starts from a worse position than peace on day 1, even with zero additional damage. And when inventories hit the floor, prices stop being linear. That's when the math breaks.
But the clock only runs one direction. It can price resolution faster. It cannot undo what’s already been destroyed.
Ras Laffan, the world’s largest LNG export facility, took drone strikes that knocked 17% of Qatar’s export capacity offline. Repair timeline: three to five years.
The Saudi East-West pipeline was hit hours before the deal. Main pressurization and pumping station likely damaged. Yanbu flows limited. That was the Plan B.
Israel struck the Xinjiang-Iran railway corridor at Kashan, China’s terrestrial alternative for trading crude oil while avoiding Hormuz. First direct attack on Chinese infrastructure in the war.
Hormuz can’t just be open to some ships. It needs at least 10 million barrels per day passing through, at least 50% of pre-war capacity. Even with every theoretical offset firing, there’s still a 6 million barrel per day gap.
Crude got smoked. Corn barely moved. That’s the cascade in one chart. Oil reprices on headlines. Agricultural calendars don’t. Urea is still at $700. The USDA’s smallest planned wheat crop since 1919 doesn’t reverse because two diplomats shook hands. Farmers who couldn’t afford fertilizer in March aren’t retroactively applying it in April because someone in Islamabad said “ceasefire.”
i saw bears posting those
gap above 50 and 200
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 09:06 am
i saw bears posting those stats and bulls posting other bs.
Hedgeye top 3
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 08:45 am
1) OIL– Big time bullish signal for WTI to hold @Hedgeye immediate-term TRADE Signal Support of $93 yesterday and now the TRR (top-end of the Risk Range™ Signal) is all the way up at $116.99 (i.e. a higher Cycle High for #Quad3), so I bought more Oil and Energy Stocks (XOP) into the close yesterday after being patient and waiting for the day’s shorter-term Signals to confirm.
2) USD– Bought a bunch of US Dollars while shorting more Yens (Long YCS if you can only do Long Only) yesterday A) because USD Index was nearing the LRR (low-end of Risk Range™ Signal), B) confirming Bullish TREND and C) we have a pending CPI report that’s going to be a major re-acceleration of at least +100bps month-over-month; still Short Bitcoin with a -0.83 TRADE Correlation to USD.
3) Global Equities– Pretty much what The Signals expected with all major Equity markets showing only red never mind any follow-through – Japan -0.7% after printing the worst #Quad3 Slowdown in Consumer Confidence since the dark days of COVID! My largest European Short is Germany (DAX opens down -1.3%) and my largest Country Long remains Norway (NORW) which is up another +1.5% here to +7.5% in the last month.
stock news
Posted by kingpin15 on 9th of Apr 2026 at 08:30 am
APLD Missed EPS on much stronger revenues.
COF Upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
CRWV Signed long-term infrastructure agreement for $21 billion with Meta.
NEOG Beat EPS by 3 cents (0.09 vs. 0.06) on stronger revenues; raised guidance.
NTRA Awarded 30% royalties from ArcherDx in patent dispute.
PSMT Beat EPS by 5 cents (1.62 vs. 1.57) on stronger revenues.
SMPL Beat EPS by 5 cents (0.45 vs. 0.40) on weaker revenues; lowered guidance.
STZ Beat EPS by 19 cents (1.90 vs. 1.71) on stronger revenues; lowered guidance.
APLD Q3 2026 earnings: HPC
APLIED DIGITAL
Posted by kingpin15 on 8th of Apr 2026 at 08:11 pm
APLD Q3 2026 earnings: HPC Revenues Ignite, But Massive Write-Downs and SBC Crush GAAP Earnings
Applied Digital is transitioning from a construction story to an operational one, with Revenue accelerating 139% YoY to $126.6M as the 100 MW Polaris Forge 1 HPC facility came online. This operational milestone flipped Adjusted EBITDA from $6.3M a year ago to $44.1M. However, beneath the non-GAAP success lies a bloody GAAP reality: Net Loss expanded dramatically to $100.9M. This reversal was driven by a $59.7M write-down on the Cloud Services unit (which failed to sell and is now being spun out via a reverse merger) and a $39.3M YoY spike in stock-based compensation. While the demand backdrop is euphoric—prompting the groundbreaking of the 300 MW Delta Forge 1 campus— execution costs and shareholder dilution remain significant concerns.
WOW!!!!!!!! insane moves
INTC coiling
Posted by kingpin15 on 8th of Apr 2026 at 01:00 pm
WOW!!!!!!!! insane moves
check this one out last
PDSB Updated
Posted by kingpin15 on 8th of Apr 2026 at 12:39 pm
check this one out last 3 days on heavy vol
adjusted for dividends maybe
HYG made new all time highs - it lead the way up as you know
Posted by kingpin15 on 8th of Apr 2026 at 09:49 am
adjusted for dividends maybe
end of day 2403 contracts
TSLA continues to leak oil
Posted by kingpin15 on 7th of Apr 2026 at 06:39 pm
end of day 2403 contracts bought on TSLA for April 17th expiration, 360 Calls @ $4.8491.
I'll add TSLL ah
20% short float will do
CAR - Wow
Posted by kingpin15 on 7th of Apr 2026 at 06:35 pm
20% short float will do that
Beauty Sammy!
TSLA continues to leak oil
Posted by kingpin15 on 7th of Apr 2026 at 04:59 pm
Beauty Sammy!