Sharing the latest BaR Grid from Econ PI. The
indicators (summarized by the green and red dots) have been
trending down and into the decline quad the last few months.
Well, Friday we had the mean of coordinates and leading
indicators switch into the expansion quad, albeit very low to zero.
Not saying we are avoiding a recession, but the fact that
this chart has been so stubborn is interesting to me. Why
would the Fed pivot with strong jobs (professionals and
construction workers remain in strong demand and with increasing
wages) and growth (even weak growth)? Seems they may need to
raise more than most expect...perhaps in a few months once they
realize they didn't go far enough? Definitely different than
past cycles I've experienced.
SPX chart showing BPTs primary view. With everyone waiting
for a fail at 4,300ish, I wonder if we can an extended C.
1.61 x A is way up above 4,700, and would also set up a
double top. Certainly seems possible after a down 2022 and
the recession remaining allusive. Just something I found
interesting.
What's the best way to hedge against the major wave C downtrend
that should be coming per BPTs long term forecasting? Short
SPY/QQQ or by the 1x inverse funds? Was hoping for the santa
rally to employ some hedges against the longer term holdings.
Santa on strike! The 60 and 120 min charts from the
newsletter look to have weakened structure and a continuation of
the down trend. What's the line in the sand? A loss of
the 3764 low, or the 61% fib at 3724? Had been hoping to make
some adjustments into strength!
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2yr Note yield almost 5%.
Posted by jared95 on 15th of Aug 2023 at 04:20 pm
2yr Note yield almost 5%. Last time was 2007. Starting to get tempting. Anyone nibbling on these Notes?
TLT forming a long wick
Posted by jared95 on 2nd of Aug 2023 at 03:41 pm
TLT forming a long wick on the daily, perhaps overdone short term
Newsletter audio is really garbled...anyone
Posted by jared95 on 25th of Jul 2023 at 09:21 pm
Newsletter audio is really garbled...anyone else have this problem?
Could you do a daily
UNH crushed UnitedHealth Group Shares Fall 4.1% Premarket After CEO Flags ...
Posted by jared95 on 14th of Jun 2023 at 08:51 am
Could you do a daily chart analysis of UNH? I'd like to see where support is as this is a long term winner. Thanks!
Semi shorts...aren't they called capris?
Semi Shorts Updated
Posted by jared95 on 25th of Apr 2023 at 01:07 pm
Semi shorts...aren't they called capris?
That, and the Econ PI
$TNX
Posted by jared95 on 13th of Mar 2023 at 04:10 pm
That, and the Econ PI bar chart is back in the decline quad after a few weeks of weak expansion.
http://www.econpi.com/index.php
Will TINA be back with
Anyone still think inflation will be easy to tame?
Posted by jared95 on 13th of Mar 2023 at 07:38 am
Will TINA be back with a vengence?
Maybe the disinflation is "transitory"
US INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS ACTUAL 190K (FORECAST 195K, PREVIOUS 192K) US ...
Posted by jared95 on 2nd of Mar 2023 at 09:39 am
Maybe the disinflation is "transitory"
SPX broke the 50 SMA
Posted by jared95 on 24th of Feb 2023 at 02:44 pm
SPX broke the 50 SMA and the upward channel (having lost the STS too). It did back test the down trend line. Looks like the last line of defense.
Wow, its not like Plainfield
Walmart just announced closing 3 locations in IL due to ...
Posted by jared95 on 8th of Feb 2023 at 08:57 pm
Wow, its not like Plainfield is some tiny little out of the way town!
So if they each get
Dell to slash over 6,000 jobs amid 'uncertain market future'
Posted by jared95 on 6th of Feb 2023 at 09:48 am
So if they each get 2 part time jobs does that mean we just created 12,000 new jobs?
Sharing the latest BaR Grid
Posted by jared95 on 5th of Feb 2023 at 01:54 pm
Sharing the latest BaR Grid from Econ PI. The indicators (summarized by the green and red dots) have been trending down and into the decline quad the last few months. Well, Friday we had the mean of coordinates and leading indicators switch into the expansion quad, albeit very low to zero. Not saying we are avoiding a recession, but the fact that this chart has been so stubborn is interesting to me. Why would the Fed pivot with strong jobs (professionals and construction workers remain in strong demand and with increasing wages) and growth (even weak growth)? Seems they may need to raise more than most expect...perhaps in a few months once they realize they didn't go far enough? Definitely different than past cycles I've experienced.
http://www.econpi.com/index.php
SPX chart showing BPTs primary
Posted by jared95 on 5th of Feb 2023 at 01:42 pm
SPX chart showing BPTs primary view. With everyone waiting for a fail at 4,300ish, I wonder if we can an extended C. 1.61 x A is way up above 4,700, and would also set up a double top. Certainly seems possible after a down 2022 and the recession remaining allusive. Just something I found interesting.
ADM bear flag into the
Posted by jared95 on 12th of Jan 2023 at 08:40 pm
ADM bear flag into the 9ema on the daily
MDT - thoughts on this
Posted by jared95 on 9th of Jan 2023 at 03:27 pm
MDT - thoughts on this wedge-like pattern?
https://schrts.co/NwFtBwmd
So far ES remains in
Posted by jared95 on 6th of Jan 2023 at 08:44 am
So far ES remains in a range on this 2hr chart...
8 week T-bills priced at
Posted by jared95 on 5th of Jan 2023 at 03:27 pm
8 week T-bills priced at 4.5%...not too bad for a cash stash
It's the Florida Gators pattern...chop...chop...chop
SPX 15
Posted by jared95 on 5th of Jan 2023 at 03:26 pm
It's the Florida Gators pattern...chop...chop...chop
What's the best way to
Posted by jared95 on 30th of Dec 2022 at 12:41 pm
What's the best way to hedge against the major wave C downtrend that should be coming per BPTs long term forecasting? Short SPY/QQQ or by the 1x inverse funds? Was hoping for the santa rally to employ some hedges against the longer term holdings.
Santa on strike! The 60
Posted by jared95 on 28th of Dec 2022 at 12:17 pm
Santa on strike! The 60 and 120 min charts from the newsletter look to have weakened structure and a continuation of the down trend. What's the line in the sand? A loss of the 3764 low, or the 61% fib at 3724? Had been hoping to make some adjustments into strength!