interesting Ditch, cause just noticed the 5min rsi 14 dipped
below 70, now if the stoch 60 would just follow and dip below 80.
trend up days are so tough to short.
FYI - observations on the FED's prospective treasury purchases.
46% of purchases the next 6 months will be in maturities of 5.5 -
10 years. which is known as a 'duration' match to the majority of
issuance of mortgage backed securities. basically they will be
trying to keep mortgage rates low or even lower (IMHO targeting 3%
mortgages would be within the realm of possibility). only 4 % of
their purchases will be in the 17 - 30 years range, which will lead
to a further flattening of the yield curve to ~15 years. thus wider
spreads from 10 - 30 years on the horizon. keeping long term rates
( 10- 30 years) low will be secondary to the low rates on shorter
maturities. this infers 50% of purchases will be in maturities
under 5 years. T bill rates of .11% will continue to be the norm as
will 1.5% or lower 1 year cd rates. Inflation concerns are booted
down stream, FOMC continue to battle fears of deflation or more
logically disinflation. bottom line, without any' flight to
quality' fears, inverse bond ETF's could well outperform. IMHO.
hope you found some of this useful. Bottom line, don't fight the
FED.
Matt, could you show an updated chart 17 from last nite, trying
to figure out where I went wrong this am with entry. held it thru
the dip, and then trailed stop for nice profit, but want to see
your chart vs mine. thx
all I can do is watch in sadness as my profits evaporate. that's
the trouble with doing a trade in an IRA account, can sell until it
settles....
at least I didn't add to the
position.
nice. for me, perils of holding in cash account. gotta wait
another day, missed buy in trading account premarket by 1 cent.
oops. looking for entry level, can't decide. thoughts anyone?
AVNR upgrades by street moving tgts from 9 to 15. if only
I could believe them, I do expect short squeeze to get traction
today, holding full position until tomorrow at least.
Fixdgear, Jgoregon and others, just want to say THANKS for
reminding me about AVNR around $2.7 midweek, as always, wished I
bought more, but I'll be happy with what I have. now, if only it
would do the same levitation trick as DNDN.
fwiw, the McClellan Osc. change from last nite was 0.04. don't
recall seeing a change that small recently, small changes often
presage a big spx move either next trading day or following date.
IMHO
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
Uranium
Posted by hazbin1 on 7th of Nov 2010 at 09:50 pm
Bullish article posted in Barron's this weekend page 38.
flight to quality?
TLT at support
Posted by hazbin1 on 5th of Nov 2010 at 03:12 pm
does the mkt drop on a POMO day ? (monday)
xlf
Posted by hazbin1 on 5th of Nov 2010 at 10:34 am
guys, great calls on financials, FAS has been a great ride. thanx
spx
Strike One
Posted by hazbin1 on 4th of Nov 2010 at 12:03 pm
interesting Ditch, cause just noticed the 5min rsi 14 dipped below 70, now if the stoch 60 would just follow and dip below 80. trend up days are so tough to short.
FOMC - treasury purchases
Posted by hazbin1 on 4th of Nov 2010 at 07:44 am
FYI - observations on the FED's prospective treasury purchases. 46% of purchases the next 6 months will be in maturities of 5.5 - 10 years. which is known as a 'duration' match to the majority of issuance of mortgage backed securities. basically they will be trying to keep mortgage rates low or even lower (IMHO targeting 3% mortgages would be within the realm of possibility). only 4 % of their purchases will be in the 17 - 30 years range, which will lead to a further flattening of the yield curve to ~15 years. thus wider spreads from 10 - 30 years on the horizon. keeping long term rates ( 10- 30 years) low will be secondary to the low rates on shorter maturities. this infers 50% of purchases will be in maturities under 5 years. T bill rates of .11% will continue to be the norm as will 1.5% or lower 1 year cd rates. Inflation concerns are booted down stream, FOMC continue to battle fears of deflation or more logically disinflation. bottom line, without any' flight to quality' fears, inverse bond ETF's could well outperform. IMHO. hope you found some of this useful. Bottom line, don't fight the FED.
FOMC
Posted by hazbin1 on 3rd of Nov 2010 at 02:18 pm
75 billion per month until end of 2nd q, total 110 including reinvest princp and int payment
USU
Posted by hazbin1 on 3rd of Nov 2010 at 01:12 pm
had an order sitting there all morning (4.99), wasn't me who got taken, figures
USU
USU Earnings
Posted by hazbin1 on 3rd of Nov 2010 at 10:43 am
thanks, just placed an order a little below that.
ISM services
Posted by hazbin1 on 3rd of Nov 2010 at 09:49 am
FYI 10am est.
KEM
KEM
Posted by hazbin1 on 3rd of Nov 2010 at 09:48 am
looks like stock will triple in just a coupla days (the 3 for 1 reverse stock split should help)
XHB
XHB home builders, nice base
Posted by hazbin1 on 3rd of Nov 2010 at 08:16 am
FWIW - seems McClellan in his latest market report likes home builders too for the intermediate term. (~6 months)
MCP
Posted by hazbin1 on 2nd of Nov 2010 at 03:37 pm
Matt, could you show an updated chart 17 from last nite, trying to figure out where I went wrong this am with entry. held it thru the dip, and then trailed stop for nice profit, but want to see your chart vs mine. thx
AVNR
AVNR
Posted by hazbin1 on 2nd of Nov 2010 at 02:20 pm
all I can do is watch in sadness as my profits evaporate. that's the trouble with doing a trade in an IRA account, can sell until it settles.... at least I didn't add to the position.
oracle bid
ARTG
Posted by hazbin1 on 2nd of Nov 2010 at 09:06 am
oracle bid
nice. for me, perils of
AVNR
Posted by hazbin1 on 1st of Nov 2010 at 09:58 am
nice. for me, perils of holding in cash account. gotta wait another day, missed buy in trading account premarket by 1 cent. oops. looking for entry level, can't decide. thoughts anyone?
AVNR upgrades by street moving
AVNR
Posted by hazbin1 on 1st of Nov 2010 at 09:28 am
AVNR upgrades by street moving tgts from 9 to 15. if only I could believe them, I do expect short squeeze to get traction today, holding full position until tomorrow at least.
Fixdgear, Jgoregon and others, just
AVNR
Posted by hazbin1 on 30th of Oct 2010 at 06:46 pm
Fixdgear, Jgoregon and others, just want to say THANKS for reminding me about AVNR around $2.7 midweek, as always, wished I bought more, but I'll be happy with what I have. now, if only it would do the same levitation trick as DNDN.
FYI - an unusual stat
Posted by hazbin1 on 28th of Oct 2010 at 07:51 pm
fwiw, the McClellan Osc. change from last nite was 0.04. don't recall seeing a change that small recently, small changes often presage a big spx move either next trading day or following date. IMHO
ties in with Steve's posting of Energy Building
Steve, thanks for posting, will look
CSKI Setup
Posted by hazbin1 on 28th of Oct 2010 at 03:32 pm
Steve,
thanks for posting, will look for 1 more day of follow thru, if I'm lucky...
Steve, any update on CSKI?
CSKI Setup
Posted by hazbin1 on 28th of Oct 2010 at 03:04 pm
Steve, any update on CSKI? looks like a breakout?