Ah, I think I am mixed up. SPX is not backtesting the first
break of this trendline - it had already broken it then regained it
once. So, as Rosanna Rosannadana would say, never mind!
Steve: attached is a 2-hr SPX chart. Where I have the circle, we
are almost finished with a 3-bar backtest confirmation of the break
below the uptrend line. My understanding from your approach is that
at 2 pm when the current candle closes, it acts as confirmation if
it's a neutral to bearish type of candle, right? I am looking for
an objective short since the market has broken the uptrend
line.
The first 10 ten days of April are, on average, flat, according
to data I posted a few days ago. That plus your overall analysis
has me very cautious here, and looking for a low risk trade.
Since symmetry breaks are a clue to reversals, and since the up
move broke symmetry to the upside, shouldn't we be looking for a
higher low (arguably we got it)?
Steve, SPX ABC target to the upside met and exceeded on my
chart. I guess we should be watching for a reversal now, if it's an
ABC. Of course, this could be a 3.
Steve, how do you view such moves in terms of a test of support
on the cash index? I.e., do we view the futures plunge and recovery
with about as much weight as a cash move?
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triggered. 130.30 or so is
Possible inverse head and shoulders on 10 min chart?
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 02:15 pm
triggered. 130.30 or so is the target.
Also, conforms to a Bollinger
Possible inverse head and shoulders on 10 min chart?
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 01:56 pm
Also, conforms to a Bollinger Band squeeze breakout and consolidation before moving higher.
Possible inverse head and shoulders
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 01:53 pm
Possible inverse head and shoulders on 10 min chart?
Ah, I think I am
Steve: attached is a 2-hr SPX chart. Where I have ...
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 01:46 pm
Ah, I think I am mixed up. SPX is not backtesting the first break of this trendline - it had already broken it then regained it once. So, as Rosanna Rosannadana would say, never mind!
I think so - because
Steve: attached is a 2-hr SPX chart. Where I have ...
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 01:32 pm
I think so - because it's been too long since the original breakout for this to be the backtest.
Also, I traded the morning
Steve: attached is a 2-hr SPX chart. Where I have ...
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 01:27 pm
Also, I traded the morning high successfully for a short trade, but that was off a 5 minute chart, and I closed that.
Sure. But also trying to
Steve: attached is a 2-hr SPX chart. Where I have ...
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 01:24 pm
Sure. But also trying to make sure I understand the 3-bar back test approach you have taught.
Steve: attached is a 2-hr
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 12:54 pm
Steve: attached is a 2-hr SPX chart. Where I have the circle, we are almost finished with a 3-bar backtest confirmation of the break below the uptrend line. My understanding from your approach is that at 2 pm when the current candle closes, it acts as confirmation if it's a neutral to bearish type of candle, right? I am looking for an objective short since the market has broken the uptrend line.
The first 10 ten days of April are, on average, flat, according to data I posted a few days ago. That plus your overall analysis has me very cautious here, and looking for a low risk trade.
Roger
SPY volume patterns on the
SP3
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 11:31 am
SPY volume patterns on the 15 minute chart are bullish as well.
Since symmetry breaks are a
SP3
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 11:30 am
Since symmetry breaks are a clue to reversals, and since the up move broke symmetry to the upside, shouldn't we be looking for a higher low (arguably we got it)?
ah, right. interesting that the
W5 of 3 on NYSE Posted by: maroonk1 on the 1st of Apr ...
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 11:00 am
ah, right. interesting that the SPX has all the moving averages overhead but the NYSE has cleared them all on this morning's move.
looks like a good call
W5 of 3 on NYSE Posted by: maroonk1 on the 1st of Apr ...
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 10:58 am
looks like a good call -
Lol!
ES Daily
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 10:01 am
Lol!
I love it when you
ES Daily
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 09:54 am
I love it when you say that, gives me goose bumps!
typical: move is to the
ES Daily
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 09:51 am
typical: move is to the upside, and is beginning to look like a 5-wave impulse, unless it's a long C leg.
Steve, SPX ABC target to
ES Daily
Posted by frtaylor on 2nd of Apr 2015 at 09:46 am
Steve, SPX ABC target to the upside met and exceeded on my chart. I guess we should be watching for a reversal now, if it's an ABC. Of course, this could be a 3.
Steve, how do you view
ES 240 and 15 Minute Views
Posted by frtaylor on 1st of Apr 2015 at 09:06 am
Steve, how do you view such moves in terms of a test of support on the cash index? I.e., do we view the futures plunge and recovery with about as much weight as a cash move?
A different count (SPX, not
W5 of 3 on NYSE
Posted by frtaylor on 1st of Apr 2015 at 09:05 am
A different count (SPX, not NYSE, though he does NYSE on some days): http://www.pretzelcharts.com/
Already out! 1/3 yesterday, the
SPY Pro system 1st scaleout achieved
Posted by frtaylor on 31st of Mar 2015 at 10:23 pm
Already out! 1/3 yesterday, the rest today mid-afternoon.
Flat.
SPY not acting well at all. Hit yesterdays open (i.e. ...
Posted by frtaylor on 31st of Mar 2015 at 03:31 pm
Flat.