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SPX - pennant on 5

Posted by frtaylor on 31st of Aug 2015 at 01:09 pm

SPX - pennant on 5 min chart.

candle missed my target by 2 ticks, so I flattened. Got a single point - woohoo!

Been watching the bear flag

Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Aug 2015 at 10:18 pm

Been watching the bear flag (5 or 10 min chart). Saw this triangle develop, took a paper trade short on the break. Tight stop, measured move shown.

Steve, have you done any

ES trading down 27 currently

Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Aug 2015 at 08:51 pm

Steve, have you done any tutorial videos in the last 3 months? I have the two previous tutorials (3 and 5 hrs). Thanks.

What jumps to my mind

Dow Weekly Views

Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Aug 2015 at 01:22 pm

What jumps to my mind regarding the sharp bounce off the 200 weekly MA is this:

1) It's the first test since the initial back test in 2011 after price broke above the 200 weekly. That's less bearish than if price had already tested it once or twice recently.

2) With the sell-off and subsequent rebound being so steep, it suggests to me that the odds are against price turning immediately back down and breaking through that MA. Anything can happen of course, and I am in no way taking or suggesting to take a trade or investment position based on my admittedly amateur view. But price had a strong reaction off that level, and I take that to be bullish. I hope someone disagrees with me here, so I can improve my understanding.

if we stay here into

$SPX - Fib

Posted by frtaylor on 28th of Aug 2015 at 03:34 pm

if we stay here into the close, we'll have a very long-tailed hammer on the weekly chart.

cup and handle-y!

VXX 10m

Posted by frtaylor on 28th of Aug 2015 at 02:32 pm

cup and handle-y!

Thanks! I'm not surprised I did not label correctly. Haven't read up on drawing, labeling etc. diagonals/wedges.

Steve, couldn't the DIA intraday

Posted by frtaylor on 28th of Aug 2015 at 12:22 pm

Steve, couldn't the DIA intraday wedge discussed yesterday be a leading diagonal, as shown in the attached chart?

To follow Steve's approach, I'd

VIX wedge

Posted by frtaylor on 28th of Aug 2015 at 10:28 am

To follow Steve's approach, I'd want to see a clear breakout and back test. Like up to around 29 and then back to about 28.

Not what my chart says.

VIX wedge

Posted by frtaylor on 28th of Aug 2015 at 10:27 am

Not what my chart says. The trendline comes in around 28.75 or so. The morning's high so far is 27.71. No break that I see.

Thanks! I pm'd you.

Nice insight, should have thought about that!

Yeah, that's sort of what I figured. I tried paper trading the technique on E-mini futures, 15 minute candles, but it did not give great results. I haven't gone back and reviewed that. I liked your video on it, though. May have another go at the technique.

The part that's still fuzzy for me is: how far away from the 5/9ema is far enough?

Oh, that's right! forgot about

DIA ($INDU)

Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 03:41 pm

Oh, that's right! forgot about that little trick.

What's the time frame? I

DIA ($INDU)

Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 03:18 pm

What's the time frame? I don't have a stockcharts subscription.

Pretty solid bounce off that

SPX 60 View

Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 03:10 pm

Pretty solid bounce off that 3 pm low so far. Price can go a little lower than that low and the VIX will still close inside the BB's.

no symmetry break yet, but

SP3

Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 02:21 pm

no symmetry break yet, but very close. 5 more SPX points....

Well, looks like it's running

SP3

Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 02:13 pm

Well, looks like it's running out of gas after all.

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