Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Aug 2015 at 01:22 pm
What jumps to my mind regarding the sharp bounce off the 200
weekly MA is this:
1) It's the first test since the initial back test in 2011 after
price broke above the 200 weekly. That's less bearish than if price
had already tested it once or twice recently.
2) With the sell-off and subsequent rebound being so steep, it
suggests to me that the odds are against price turning immediately
back down and breaking through that MA. Anything can happen of
course, and I am in no way taking or suggesting to take a trade or
investment position based on my admittedly amateur view. But price
had a strong reaction off that level, and I take that to be
bullish. I hope someone disagrees with me here, so I can improve my
understanding.
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 05:13 pm
Yeah, that's sort of what I figured. I tried paper trading the
technique on E-mini futures, 15 minute candles, but it did not give
great results. I haven't gone back and reviewed that. I liked your
video on it, though. May have another go at the technique.
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SPX - pennant on 5
Posted by frtaylor on 31st of Aug 2015 at 01:09 pm
SPX - pennant on 5 min chart.
candle missed my target by
Been watching the bear flag (5 or 10 min chart). ...
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Aug 2015 at 10:21 pm
candle missed my target by 2 ticks, so I flattened. Got a single point - woohoo!
Been watching the bear flag
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Aug 2015 at 10:18 pm
Been watching the bear flag (5 or 10 min chart). Saw this triangle develop, took a paper trade short on the break. Tight stop, measured move shown.
Steve, have you done any
ES trading down 27 currently
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Aug 2015 at 08:51 pm
Steve, have you done any tutorial videos in the last 3 months? I have the two previous tutorials (3 and 5 hrs). Thanks.
What jumps to my mind
Dow Weekly Views
Posted by frtaylor on 30th of Aug 2015 at 01:22 pm
What jumps to my mind regarding the sharp bounce off the 200 weekly MA is this:
1) It's the first test since the initial back test in 2011 after price broke above the 200 weekly. That's less bearish than if price had already tested it once or twice recently.
2) With the sell-off and subsequent rebound being so steep, it suggests to me that the odds are against price turning immediately back down and breaking through that MA. Anything can happen of course, and I am in no way taking or suggesting to take a trade or investment position based on my admittedly amateur view. But price had a strong reaction off that level, and I take that to be bullish. I hope someone disagrees with me here, so I can improve my understanding.
if we stay here into
$SPX - Fib
Posted by frtaylor on 28th of Aug 2015 at 03:34 pm
if we stay here into the close, we'll have a very long-tailed hammer on the weekly chart.
cup and handle-y!
VXX 10m
Posted by frtaylor on 28th of Aug 2015 at 02:32 pm
cup and handle-y!
Thanks! I'm not surprised I
Steve, couldn't the DIA intraday wedge discussed yesterday be a ...
Posted by frtaylor on 28th of Aug 2015 at 12:41 pm
Thanks! I'm not surprised I did not label correctly. Haven't read up on drawing, labeling etc. diagonals/wedges.
Steve, couldn't the DIA intraday
Posted by frtaylor on 28th of Aug 2015 at 12:22 pm
Steve, couldn't the DIA intraday wedge discussed yesterday be a leading diagonal, as shown in the attached chart?
To follow Steve's approach, I'd
VIX wedge
Posted by frtaylor on 28th of Aug 2015 at 10:28 am
To follow Steve's approach, I'd want to see a clear breakout and back test. Like up to around 29 and then back to about 28.
Not what my chart says.
VIX wedge
Posted by frtaylor on 28th of Aug 2015 at 10:27 am
Not what my chart says. The trendline comes in around 28.75 or so. The morning's high so far is 27.71. No break that I see.
Thanks! I pm'd you.
Daily RVM trade examples on ES and SPX daily
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 05:36 pm
Thanks! I pm'd you.
Nice insight, should have thought
Daily RVM trade examples on ES and SPX daily
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 05:30 pm
Nice insight, should have thought about that!
Yeah, that's sort of what
Daily RVM trade examples on ES and SPX daily
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 05:13 pm
Yeah, that's sort of what I figured. I tried paper trading the technique on E-mini futures, 15 minute candles, but it did not give great results. I haven't gone back and reviewed that. I liked your video on it, though. May have another go at the technique.
The part that's still fuzzy
Daily RVM trade examples on ES and SPX daily
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 04:52 pm
The part that's still fuzzy for me is: how far away from the 5/9ema is far enough?
Oh, that's right! forgot about
DIA ($INDU)
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 03:41 pm
Oh, that's right! forgot about that little trick.
What's the time frame? I
DIA ($INDU)
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 03:18 pm
What's the time frame? I don't have a stockcharts subscription.
Pretty solid bounce off that
SPX 60 View
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 03:10 pm
Pretty solid bounce off that 3 pm low so far. Price can go a little lower than that low and the VIX will still close inside the BB's.
no symmetry break yet, but
SP3
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 02:21 pm
no symmetry break yet, but very close. 5 more SPX points....
Well, looks like it's running
SP3
Posted by frtaylor on 27th of Aug 2015 at 02:13 pm
Well, looks like it's running out of gas after all.