Posted by frtaylor on 16th of Mar 2016 at 01:04 pm
Research paper on FOMC cycles: the even weeks in the FOMC cycle,
including week zero have positive returns, while the odd weeks have
slightly negative returns. Anyone want to collaborate on
researching various trading strategies? e.g. long/short, long only,
sell option spreads, etc.
Definitely a point of debate, since the DOW is so few stocks. I
think he's just saying more historical data is better, which is
generally true for statistics, but I don't know about this
case.
Just found this article on the "first five days" January market
predictor, and was surprised by it. Depending on how far back you
look, it is not such a good predictor, and even has a period in
which it predicted the opposite (1970 to 2012, when the article was
written). I'm not trying to be controversial or contrary; I love to
look at stats and was surprised when I found this article. Note
that author is looking at the DOW, not S&P, since it has so
many years of data. I'd love to hear anyone's reaction or further
information.
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
XLE - intraday flag
Posted by frtaylor on 22nd of Apr 2016 at 11:04 am
XLE - intraday flag
Haha! You're killing me!
VZ
Posted by frtaylor on 21st of Apr 2016 at 02:24 pm
Haha! You're killing me!
Short term, Jon N is
NFLX
Posted by frtaylor on 20th of Apr 2016 at 08:36 am
Short term, Jon N is long calls on the earnings drop. http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000510872
So, it's a 60 min
IWM Resistance (Seems like)
Posted by frtaylor on 18th of Apr 2016 at 03:48 pm
So, it's a 60 min chart, but an EOD trigger?
Might have just made an
MBLY follow up
Posted by frtaylor on 11th of Apr 2016 at 11:22 am
Might have just made an intraday low on this morning's selloff after breaking out. Or not, we'll see.
I thought I recognized that
Tonight's newsletter ha ha Steve's voice
Posted by frtaylor on 6th of Apr 2016 at 09:06 am
I thought I recognized that voice:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aV2DLkDPwM8
This is what happens to Steve's students when they are unable to follow his tutelage - "You have failed me for the last time!"
for the 2nd set of
NYSI weekly cumulative indicator spells trouble
Posted by frtaylor on 23rd of Mar 2016 at 10:15 pm
for the 2nd set of arrows (March 2009), which point up, I'm guessing that the dialogue box should actually say this:
"Go to cash (close the short) when green crosses above blue, go long when green crosses above red."
Research paper on FOMC cycles:
Posted by frtaylor on 16th of Mar 2016 at 01:04 pm
Research paper on FOMC cycles: the even weeks in the FOMC cycle, including week zero have positive returns, while the odd weeks have slightly negative returns. Anyone want to collaborate on researching various trading strategies? e.g. long/short, long only, sell option spreads, etc.
http://faculty.haas.berkeley.edu/vissing/cycle_paper_cieslak_morse_vissingjorgensen.pdf
The tight neck is probably
Quick Update on my status and Newsletter night
Posted by frtaylor on 22nd of Feb 2016 at 04:28 pm
The tight neck is probably due to lymph system being inundated! Lots of nodes in the neck area. Never mind the newsletter, get well!
Hope you feel better soon!
Sorry been under the weather today but we are seeing ...
Posted by frtaylor on 12th of Feb 2016 at 12:16 pm
Hope you feel better soon!
Send snacks! Lol
Best wishes to all on the East Coast in dealing ...
Posted by frtaylor on 22nd of Jan 2016 at 10:38 am
Send snacks! Lol
The chart is monthly, so
401k system on a sell?
Posted by frtaylor on 21st of Jan 2016 at 09:25 am
The chart is monthly, so maybe it requires a monthly close?
Well said!
after today's wild ride, here's something to lighten things up
Posted by frtaylor on 20th of Jan 2016 at 07:06 pm
Well said!
Internals have been something to
Posted by frtaylor on 20th of Jan 2016 at 11:46 am
Internals have been something to behold - about 40 to 1 negative at the moment. And it was lower than that earlier this morning.
"By God I'm not going
Posted by frtaylor on 13th of Jan 2016 at 08:43 am
"By God I'm not going to give back profits and look like an idiot, okay, . . ." LOL!
Definitely a point of debate,
Just found this article on the "first five days" January ...
Posted by frtaylor on 4th of Jan 2016 at 10:38 am
Definitely a point of debate, since the DOW is so few stocks. I think he's just saying more historical data is better, which is generally true for statistics, but I don't know about this case.
Sorry you're having back/neck problems!
Just found this article on the "first five days" January ...
Posted by frtaylor on 4th of Jan 2016 at 10:34 am
Sorry you're having back/neck problems! God, do I ever hate back pain!
Me too. But for really
Just found this article on the "first five days" January ...
Posted by frtaylor on 4th of Jan 2016 at 10:32 am
Me too. But for really long term data, only the DOW goes back 100+ years.
Just found this article on
Posted by frtaylor on 4th of Jan 2016 at 10:14 am
Just found this article on the "first five days" January market predictor, and was surprised by it. Depending on how far back you look, it is not such a good predictor, and even has a period in which it predicted the opposite (1970 to 2012, when the article was written). I'm not trying to be controversial or contrary; I love to look at stats and was surprised when I found this article. Note that author is looking at the DOW, not S&P, since it has so many years of data. I'd love to hear anyone's reaction or further information.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-first-five-days-of-january-indicator-2012-01-11
Morning star pattern on SPX
Posted by frtaylor on 31st of Dec 2015 at 11:59 am
Morning star pattern on SPX 1 hr.