Posted by frtaylor on 12th of Apr 2018 at 03:11 pm
On this 15 min chart, the intraday low of your symmetry break
pullback coincides with an uptrend line (pink box). Breaking those
could be a good short term short trigger. (Not me, I have an
IRA.)
Posted by frtaylor on 12th of Apr 2018 at 02:32 pm
Good trade setup. I have just a tiny SEP IRA, though, and have
to buy options sometimes. I closed my call for lunch money this
morning on weakness. I figured it was just noise, but did not want
to take a bigger loss, which on a $2.50 option could have been more
than I was willing to take.
Posted by frtaylor on 12th of Apr 2018 at 02:22 pm
And here's the GOOGL hourly chart, showing that it has (so far)
successfully back-tested the triangle. Needs to get above prior
highs of 1048 to get going, though.
Posted by frtaylor on 12th of Apr 2018 at 02:15 pm
Google trying to break a triangle to the upside. Daily chart.
Volume is anemic, though, and I wonder if it might not just hit its
head on the 20ma and go down from there.
Excellent article . Although Carlson is talking about the reason
investing is hard in a volatile market, his point about losses
applies to trading just as much. In a two-word phrase he captures
one of the big reasons why trading is so difficult: "loss
aversion." In trading, we're always checking on our trades , and
that leads to worry over losses (drawdown), which makes staying in
a good trade setup harder.
Here's a simple SPX 1-hr price chart with a support line that we
broke and so far have failed at. Need to clear that for any rally
to start. And we're testing the 200dma right now (2590).
Right, and Idid not say that you said the lows were in. Not a
knock on your analysis! Just pointing out in more detail what the
situation is. I listened to the newsletter, including analysis of
past ABC corrections, and it all makes sense. In fact, at the lows
today I bought a couple far OTM calls for end of April in case we
have a face-ripping rally. My post was only stating that price (the
bulls) have yet to "prove it." Anything's possible, and certainly
an upside rip from here is.
The question remains, Will the Q's reverse here? We don't have a
hammer, doji or evening star yet on the daily or the 2 hr. Came
close to making a new low just now (at about 10:20), and may yet
make a new now. If it keeps going down from here, of course the
symmetry will be lost. I think we're still very much in a
wait-and-see mode. Internals yesterday and so far today have been
pretty negative.
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Ouch! Day's not over yet
View of Bank Stocks That Reported Today
Posted by frtaylor on 13th of Apr 2018 at 11:11 am
Ouch! Day's not over yet though. They could recover I suppose.
On this 15 min chart,
SPX 3 min symmetry
Posted by frtaylor on 12th of Apr 2018 at 03:11 pm
On this 15 min chart, the intraday low of your symmetry break pullback coincides with an uptrend line (pink box). Breaking those could be a good short term short trigger. (Not me, I have an IRA.)
Good trade setup. I have
SQ Updated View
Posted by frtaylor on 12th of Apr 2018 at 02:32 pm
Good trade setup. I have just a tiny SEP IRA, though, and have to buy options sometimes. I closed my call for lunch money this morning on weakness. I figured it was just noise, but did not want to take a bigger loss, which on a $2.50 option could have been more than I was willing to take.
The volume on the breakout
And here's the GOOGL hourly chart, showing that it has ...
Posted by frtaylor on 12th of Apr 2018 at 02:25 pm
The volume on the breakout is really low, though.
And here's the GOOGL hourly
Posted by frtaylor on 12th of Apr 2018 at 02:22 pm
And here's the GOOGL hourly chart, showing that it has (so far) successfully back-tested the triangle. Needs to get above prior highs of 1048 to get going, though.
Google trying to break a
Posted by frtaylor on 12th of Apr 2018 at 02:15 pm
Google trying to break a triangle to the upside. Daily chart. Volume is anemic, though, and I wonder if it might not just hit its head on the 20ma and go down from there.
Don't forget oil....
Slightly confused on Gold. Lately it seems an inverse of ...
Posted by frtaylor on 12th of Apr 2018 at 12:35 pm
Don't forget oil....
Situational Awareness (Ben Carlson) Excellent article
Posted by frtaylor on 8th of Apr 2018 at 03:45 pm
Situational Awareness (Ben Carlson)
Excellent article . Although Carlson is talking about the reason investing is hard in a volatile market, his point about losses applies to trading just as much. In a two-word phrase he captures one of the big reasons why trading is so difficult: "loss aversion." In trading, we're always checking on our trades , and that leads to worry over losses (drawdown), which makes staying in a good trade setup harder.
Agreed! Does NOT look good
SPX 2-hrBPT SPX 2-hr chart: testing the wedge upper trend ...
Posted by frtaylor on 6th of Apr 2018 at 02:54 pm
Agreed! Does NOT look good right now! And thanks for your pm earlier.
SPX 2-hr BPT SPX 2-hr chart:
Posted by frtaylor on 6th of Apr 2018 at 02:48 pm
SPX 2-hr
BPT SPX 2-hr chart: testing the wedge upper trend line.
GOOGL, daily. Descending triangle, starting
Posted by frtaylor on 4th of Apr 2018 at 10:50 am
GOOGL, daily. Descending triangle, starting to look like it will bounce off that bottom line.
Yeah, figured it was news
White House has no plans or ongoing talks about action ...
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Apr 2018 at 04:29 pm
Yeah, figured it was news driven!
Aaaand, broke right back to
QQQ losing a support line. 30 minute chart.
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Apr 2018 at 02:51 pm
Aaaand, broke right back to the upside. Need to go see if this was news driven.
QQQ losing a support line.
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Apr 2018 at 02:33 pm
QQQ losing a support line. 30 minute chart.
On the SPX weekly chart,
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Apr 2018 at 01:23 pm
On the SPX weekly chart, there's also a long term trend line that we've been testing.
One of many things I
Here's a simple SPX 1-hr price chart with a support ...
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Apr 2018 at 01:18 pm
One of many things I learned here, btw (extend your lines).
Here's a simple SPX 1-hr
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Apr 2018 at 01:07 pm
Here's a simple SPX 1-hr price chart with a support line that we broke and so far have failed at. Need to clear that for any rally to start. And we're testing the 200dma right now (2590).
Sure. I get all that.
QQQ symmetry amazing
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Apr 2018 at 12:31 pm
Sure. I get all that.
Right, and Idid not say
QQQ symmetry amazing
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Apr 2018 at 12:20 pm
Right, and Idid not say that you said the lows were in. Not a knock on your analysis! Just pointing out in more detail what the situation is. I listened to the newsletter, including analysis of past ABC corrections, and it all makes sense. In fact, at the lows today I bought a couple far OTM calls for end of April in case we have a face-ripping rally. My post was only stating that price (the bulls) have yet to "prove it." Anything's possible, and certainly an upside rip from here is.
The question remains, Will the
QQQ symmetry amazing
Posted by frtaylor on 3rd of Apr 2018 at 10:39 am
The question remains, Will the Q's reverse here? We don't have a hammer, doji or evening star yet on the daily or the 2 hr. Came close to making a new low just now (at about 10:20), and may yet make a new now. If it keeps going down from here, of course the symmetry will be lost. I think we're still very much in a wait-and-see mode. Internals yesterday and so far today have been pretty negative.