I think it will go big -- maybe very big. Will you add it to the
systems section when/if it becomes the largest company in the
world? (Peptides are the semis of 2026 forward)
Lots of rotation still - which usually means they'll manage to
keep the indexes elevated while taking the steam out of the
overheated names. The last few years have featured surgical
rotation after surgical rotation.
Impressive strength today in VEA and VWO. That said,
both are potential bull trap areas...if they were going to pull an
epic trap, it would happen right around these levels.
As long as they can keep the counterfeit currency flowing at an
ever increasing pace and keep inflation HOT, hotter the better, the
market should inflate. Maybe a tiny checkback
coming?
And will probably add on this one also. BTC would have to
basically go away or stay down for a many years for STRC to really
run into issues. My P&L percentage hovers around 7 - 10 %
(depending on the account and how close it is to par on a given
day)
If you sell premium often (I do) you know the mechanics to
keep this puppy solvent aren't really that complicated...and
increased vol actually helps.
One worry I have is that the banks want this dead
yesterday...they hate STRC and any product like it. If they
smell blood in the water they will likely try to push it over the
edge...but I said the same thing last time. In reality it's not
that easy with an asset that now has a considerable market cap
(it's legit huge already)
I'm up 20.5% so far but that's because I entered with 5x
leverage. Of course, the best add opportunity since I dipped a toe
in was 4am local. Seems like it's always the case with these
24/7 markets that a lot of the opportunities happen in the
overnight hours for US based traders. I need to have a bot
watching overnight from now on when I'm waiting for an opportunity
to add.
Update: bought the dip just now...tight stop on the latest
chunk.
That's basically what every major IPO does - it would be unusual
if SpaceX doesn't pop 75% or more from the listing price on the day
of the IPO...that's often the top for many months after - sometimes
it has been the forever top. A 100% pop from the listing price on
IPO day would make it a 3.5 Trillion market cap if they go out at a
1.75 trillion valuation (the current plan). Keep in mind that
it doesn't take trillions to create trillions in market cap.
The poor grandma that pushes the shares up from 199 to 200
with her 1 share order that hit the ask just moved the value of
every single share in the float up a dollar...but only $200
actually traded hands. Market caps are very much a house of
cards...
2 weeks till the IPO. I'm going to start layering in and
hopefully catch a big pop which I will attempt to sell into with
pre set orders. Many people will try to do this. However, not that
many people can actually do it because they're either locked up or
they don't know about hyperliquid.
I'm not positive, but I think the dollar value currently
listed represents the market cap e.g. if it's trading at $200, it's
marked at a 2 trillion market cap. $175 = 1.75 trillion market cap.
People are expecting 1.75 trillion when it's priced...but you know
how these oversubscribed things go. There will be a mania in the
couple days leading up to it, then it will pop hard on the IPO day
and briefly probably be worth 4 trillion or more (notionally) and
then it will get destroyed in the coming weeks. Maybe it's
different this time, but I doubt it.
Vol controllers are getting better and better and vol control.
Treasury + Fed open market operations guys absolutely pounce
on anything that moves these days (they watch the "move index" very
closely. Haha).
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
LLY - hung up on a massive cup and handle breakout
Posted by fibbro on 8th of Jun 2026 at 11:11 am
I think it will go big -- maybe very big. Will you add it to the systems section when/if it becomes the largest company in the world? (Peptides are the semis of 2026 forward)
SPX 30 min - demark 9 and hit demand zone
Posted by fibbro on 3rd of Jun 2026 at 01:35 pm
Not a horrible place to take a shot on the long side with a tight stop
BTC - 66.6K interesting potential pivot area. 78.6 fib (ish)
Posted by fibbro on 3rd of Jun 2026 at 12:37 am
Lots of rotation still -
These are the Daily KISS signals I track and often ...
Posted by fibbro on 3rd of Jun 2026 at 12:06 am
Lots of rotation still - which usually means they'll manage to keep the indexes elevated while taking the steam out of the overheated names. The last few years have featured surgical rotation after surgical rotation.
Impressive strength today in VEA and VWO. That said, both are potential bull trap areas...if they were going to pull an epic trap, it would happen right around these levels.
SPX - Last time we had this look, a few years back, it busted out the top
Posted by fibbro on 2nd of Jun 2026 at 09:28 pm
As long as they can keep the counterfeit currency flowing at an ever increasing pace and keep inflation HOT, hotter the better, the market should inflate. Maybe a tiny checkback coming?
STRC - I bought the last 2 dips
Posted by fibbro on 2nd of Jun 2026 at 09:02 pm
And will probably add on this one also. BTC would have to basically go away or stay down for a many years for STRC to really run into issues. My P&L percentage hovers around 7 - 10 % (depending on the account and how close it is to par on a given day)
If you sell premium often (I do) you know the mechanics to keep this puppy solvent aren't really that complicated...and increased vol actually helps.
One worry I have is that the banks want this dead yesterday...they hate STRC and any product like it. If they smell blood in the water they will likely try to push it over the edge...but I said the same thing last time. In reality it's not that easy with an asset that now has a considerable market cap (it's legit huge already)
Long HYPE & BTC | Short Garbage
Posted by fibbro on 30th of May 2026 at 07:34 pm
The performance for this particular algorithmic hedge fund is insane. Lol. Crazy times.
https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/vaults/0xac26cf5f3c46b5e102048c65b977d2551b72a9c7
SpaceX is running
SPCX - Dipped a toe in
Posted by fibbro on 30th of May 2026 at 04:09 pm
I'm up 20.5% so far but that's because I entered with 5x leverage. Of course, the best add opportunity since I dipped a toe in was 4am local. Seems like it's always the case with these 24/7 markets that a lot of the opportunities happen in the overnight hours for US based traders. I need to have a bot watching overnight from now on when I'm waiting for an opportunity to add.
Update: bought the dip just now...tight stop on the latest chunk.
That's basically what every major
SPCX - Dipped a toe in
Posted by fibbro on 30th of May 2026 at 03:09 pm
That's basically what every major IPO does - it would be unusual if SpaceX doesn't pop 75% or more from the listing price on the day of the IPO...that's often the top for many months after - sometimes it has been the forever top. A 100% pop from the listing price on IPO day would make it a 3.5 Trillion market cap if they go out at a 1.75 trillion valuation (the current plan). Keep in mind that it doesn't take trillions to create trillions in market cap. The poor grandma that pushes the shares up from 199 to 200 with her 1 share order that hit the ask just moved the value of every single share in the float up a dollar...but only $200 actually traded hands. Market caps are very much a house of cards...
SPCX - Dipped a toe in
Posted by fibbro on 29th of May 2026 at 09:59 pm
I just put a tiny toe in to buy some SpaceX.
2 weeks till the IPO. I'm going to start layering in and hopefully catch a big pop which I will attempt to sell into with pre set orders. Many people will try to do this. However, not that many people can actually do it because they're either locked up or they don't know about hyperliquid.
I'm not positive, but I think the dollar value currently listed represents the market cap e.g. if it's trading at $200, it's marked at a 2 trillion market cap. $175 = 1.75 trillion market cap. People are expecting 1.75 trillion when it's priced...but you know how these oversubscribed things go. There will be a mania in the couple days leading up to it, then it will pop hard on the IPO day and briefly probably be worth 4 trillion or more (notionally) and then it will get destroyed in the coming weeks. Maybe it's different this time, but I doubt it.
NVDA - didn't expect that
NVDA - I got a sell signal on one of my systems
Posted by fibbro on 29th of May 2026 at 04:04 pm
sell signal to play out so dramatically....but I guess I'll take it.
LOCO going loco
Posted by fibbro on 29th of May 2026 at 03:07 pm
Been in this range since 2015. Looks like it's making another run..
Vol controllers are getting better
VIX Target
Posted by fibbro on 29th of May 2026 at 03:04 pm
Vol controllers are getting better and better and vol control. Treasury + Fed open market operations guys absolutely pounce on anything that moves these days (they watch the "move index" very closely. Haha).
XBI - I'm along for
XBI slow and steady wins the race
Posted by fibbro on 29th of May 2026 at 02:45 pm
XBI - I'm along for the ride also.
IMUX - Just stumbled onto this biotech and added (after asking Claude for a quick rundown).