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see the yellow stick note above QE Short ES trade

NDX gap below

Posted by bk1976 on 30th of Aug 2022 at 10:48 am

NDX gap below

chart current at 2:15

WOW I can' t imagine my $80/mo gas bill going to $700/mo! If energy has gone up this much obviously consumer goods have to cost a lot more as well.  Our grocery bill has certainly gone up a lot.  Thankfully a recession has been redefined so we can feel better about not being able to pay our gas bill. haha   It is time for people to wake up an see the reality of the world we live in.   This can't be good for the markets.

maybe now for an impulse down

Well said, money without relationships is ... well sad, money is nice but relationships alhtough difficullt at times is what counts in the end.  Recharge and have a great vacaton.

VVIX uncorrelated    seems to

Posted by bk1976 on 12th of Aug 2022 at 02:53 pm

VVIX uncorrelated    seems to be a few days early but a warning?

VIX buy/sell signal        Steve gave a very good explanation in the Aug 3 newsletter if you use the new player version go to chart 25.  SH, SDS SPXS or SPXU  1X, 2X, 3X inverse SPY ETF's

Matt and  Steve, thank you for all the work on the SPY system please keep it the way it is.  I hope you add other ETFs as you have been working on that as well.  You both have helped me a lot in trading and your education piece is extremely helpful.  Keep up the good work. Matt, take sometime for you and your family, I thought you were on vacation. Some down time will help with family life and make your time at BPT even better. R&R for both of you is well deserved.

VIX :15 uncorrelated

Posted by bk1976 on 3rd of Aug 2022 at 03:18 pm

VIX :15 uncorrelated

Matt is there a SPY

Posted by bk1976 on 7th of Jul 2022 at 04:14 pm

Matt is there a SPY short trade?

MES is the micro E-mini SPX futures

Futures are closed as well

TNA 3X LONG    TZA

Posted by bk1976 on 15th of Jun 2022 at 01:15 pm

TNA 3X LONG    TZA 3X SHORT   russell

All the system stats are in the SPY tab


Systems, SPY, system statistics, long, short

The trade was a BEAR LONG.  

Looking back at the posts I can see where you could have misread it.  My experience is this is a great blog with many great people posting. And people are people and misread or make mistakes.  Best to find Matt's posts and use those to the trades. I have learned the hard way.  This trade is a long trade.  Great stats under the systems tab.

Washout? Stats NYSE down vol 96%/

Posted by bk1976 on 13th of Jun 2022 at 05:01 pm

Washout?

Stats NYSE down vol 96%/ up vol 3%,     new lows 762/new highs 1  SPX down 22% from the top

COMPQ down vol 84%/ up vol 15%   new lows 1132/new highs 25   down 33% from top

VIX spiked at 35, near other highs but not in the latest highs is the 37-39 range.

Washout is 90% down and 10% up volume so maybe we are near a washout or had it.  Time will tell.

NDX there are open GAPs

Posted by bk1976 on 25th of May 2022 at 09:30 am

NDX there are open GAPs from Nov 2020 

If it drops it could really unwind

11743- 11700  and 11620 -11290

           FED SPEAKERS THIS WEEK: *FOMC

 Posted by steveon 16th of May 2022 at 08:46 am

                    

            

                                           

FED SPEAKERS THIS WEEK: *FOMC MEMBER WILLIAMS (MON. 8:55AM) *FOMC MEMBER BULLARD (TUES. 8:00AM) *FOMC MEMBER HARKER (TUES. 9:15AM) *FED CHAIR POWELL (TUES. 2:00PM) *FOMC MEMBER MESTER (TUES. 2:30PM) *FOMC MEMBER EVANS (TUES. 6:45PM)

forget the inv H&S now a double bottom will see on the open

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