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Should be working now.

KISS STS tables favorites working

Posted by James_Roe on 21st of Jun 2023 at 02:48 pm

Should be working now.

The favorites section is already

STS tables Beta

Posted by James_Roe on 20th of Jun 2023 at 01:32 pm

The favorites section is already working.

This is from midjourney, although the Adobe stuff is still impressive. 

I would have to agree they're trailing with LLM's, they're probably the most vertically integrated across their product offerings though. Microsoft has been making big inroads on that in the last few months, catching up over a lot of ground very quickly.

Google had a leaked memo last week though suggesting they expect to ultimately lose to open source LLM's, and from what I see in that space that might not be a paranoid bet.

https://www.searchenginejournal.com/leaked-google-memo-admits-defeat-by-open-source-ai/486290/

Even the integrated stuff is

Volatility daily systems

Posted by James_Roe on 12th of May 2023 at 01:51 pm

Even the integrated stuff is bad at the moment, i run a couple thousand or so queries a day through autogpt using the gpt4 model and the results are underwhelming at best. I find i have to give it very short, very specific goals and do a lot of hand holding to advance projects.

I've spent a lot of

Volatility daily systems

Posted by James_Roe on 12th of May 2023 at 01:45 pm

I've spent a lot of time playing with this stuff as it's clear that it's going to change essentially every industry in the next few years, but if you want to get a good grasp of its limitations try asking ChatGPT to design a novel experiment to advance a unified field theory.

What you get back is essentially just experiments that have already been proposed by scientists in literature. It doesn't know more than current humans, it's just better at aggregating data.

I've seen profitable ones, but

Volatility daily systems

Posted by James_Roe on 12th of May 2023 at 01:37 pm

I've seen profitable ones, but they often have undesirable features like holding for years at a time.

The tech is rapidly improving but you have to tell them what you want specifically, just asking for a generally profitable strategy isn't going to get you something compelling.

Essentially everything I've built with them has also had errors so you have to be able to do your own code review.

Auto GPT is very very

Volatility daily systems

Posted by James_Roe on 12th of May 2023 at 01:29 pm

Auto GPT is very very buggy.

It's potentially interesting tech, but it is not useful tech at the moment.

One of the biggest current

Volatility daily systems

Posted by James_Roe on 12th of May 2023 at 01:24 pm

One of the biggest current limitations is that large language model AI is not general intelligence, it's just aware of a lot of the discourse.

As such all of its answers are essentially group think, from playing around with it you mostly get RSI, MACD and moving average cross strategies. These can be OK but we have a lot more complexity in our systems, particularly the swing systems for managing risk.

STS is updated, for some reason the script that imports data didn't run on Friday or Monday, I'll look into our server logs later and make sure it doesn't happen again.

We're tracking something like 700 instruments, maybe it makes sense to do weekly and monthly's for a couple of the ETF's but doesn't seem like it's useful to do that for the entire basket.

There's no set time, they have to be manually updated.

I've updated them though so if you're seeing older stuff try a ctrl refresh.

These don't pick bottoms, they need a reversal and confirmation, they're not reversion to mean they're trend following. 

They're not perfect by any means, they're just intended to work as a tool for managing long term investments across multiple instruments without curve fitting.

It's mostly based on this twitter thread I shared with Matt an hour or so ago.

https://twitter.com/bhargreaves/status/1634244961800429599

Zero hedge has a good write up of the kinds of crap that's coming to the tech sector over the next week or two.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/expect-mass-layoffs-real-world-impact-svbs-failure

The remaining ES longs have exited.

STrap exited its 1st and 2nd Entry at: 3983.

Both Long Bears exited their 1st entry at 3983.

"I will take a half position (of a second entry)"

That's probably what I would do to, but want to leave the actual decision up to Matt, who is I think home and should be weighing in shortly.

The more profitable Bear Long strat won't be taking a second entry until: 3955.

Sorry miss communication between Matt and I, thought he would be back by now.

One of the Bear Long systems has taken a second entry at 3969.50, it's the less profitable version though, and we're only tracking one of the two.

If you think it's going to go higher here you could take a full second entry, or if you thought there was still downside you could either wait for the other system, or take a half entry here.

I've attached stats from both versions to help you decide.

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