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SPX 60 min

Posted by matt on 14th of Jul 2026 at 03:36 pm

_SPX e 60 min e - Chart Linkwondering if that's a micro ab needing a c to complete E?

Update: ETHE, Bitcoin

ETHE, Bitcoin

Posted by matt on 14th of Jul 2026 at 11:56 am

Bitcoin Coin Zoom out - Chart Linklooking good, come on bust through

IBIT - iShares Bitcoin ETF Trust Beneficial Interest - Chart Linkcould probably now move swing stops up to the higher low

ETHE Big coin - Chart Link

USO 2hr

Posted by matt on 14th of Jul 2026 at 11:46 am

also remember earnings dates for trade ideas are generally listed in the trade ideas tables

https://breakpointtrades.com/watchlist/ 

also these days AI works pretty well when simply asking google or Gemini 

SPCX

Posted by matt on 14th of Jul 2026 at 10:11 am

SPCX 60 min - Space Exploration Technologies Corp - Chart Link bounced up nearing that resistance area

BAC - Bank Of America Corp. - Chart Linkbeat earnings, big move.  Banks are loving funding all the AI BS LOL

anyway  back in May to illustrate how low risk of a buy that pullback was:

1. You had an ABC 3-wave pullback

2. that pullback was into the 61.8% Fib

you had two important technical events lining up at the same spot - again very low risk when you have multiple things, NOT just one thing like a stock pattern or trendline - a very good textbook pattern many times is good enough for an objective low risk trade, but when you have other technical factors confirming or lining up, makes it higher probability 

A VERY high probability trading system would be buying abc pullbacks into the 61.8% Fib or 50 day or 200 day MA - however your only problem might be finding enough setups to trade - if one could write a scan for those conditions maybe more of those show up than we know of, if that's the only setups you took, you would kick butt with very tight stops risk as well

AMBP abc of a handle? cup and handle

Posted by matt on 14th of Jul 2026 at 09:54 am

AMBP - Ardagh Metal Packaging SA - Chart Linkwas a nice trade from the trendline break back in early June to the Feb highs.  Been favoring a potential handle of a cup and handle so been watching to buy this back that I sold in late June at resistance.  

could be a 3-wave abc here possibly completing that, too early to say yet, but potential 

GDX chart

Posted by matt on 14th of Jul 2026 at 09:50 am

ETHE, Bitcoin

Posted by matt on 14th of Jul 2026 at 09:48 am

ETHE Big coin - Chart Link

Bitcoin Coin Zoom out - Chart Linkneeds to take out that symmetry resistance 

CPI better than expected

Posted by matt on 14th of Jul 2026 at 08:34 am

US CPI YOY ACTUAL 3.5% (FORECAST 3.8%, PREVIOUS 4.2%)

US CORE CPI YOY ACTUAL 2.6% (FORECAST 2.8%, PREVIOUS 2.9%) 

US CPI MOM ACTUAL -0.4% (FORECAST -0.1%, PREVIOUS 0.5%)

US CORE CPI MOM ACTUAL 0% (FORECAST 0.2%, PREVIOUS 0.2%)

the market may like it as that helps lower expectations of a rate hike 

yes I made my case about SPCX about it will be a while before it's a good long term buy - probably well after the liquidity increase - remember right now only 5% of the float is available, starting in Aug that starts greatly increasing.  Then you have the 6 month lock up removal where all those insiders sitting on 30X to 50X gains can take some damn profits.  then Next year Elon's restriction is fully lifted as well

I was simply taking about it bouncing here in the short term in July as a trade, not as a long term position 

ES futures

Posted by matt on 13th of Jul 2026 at 11:09 pm

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/4WwrYwjU/ 

on the daily price stalled last week on the resistance cycle.  4 hr chart one demand zone is approaching.  2hr, were in in one now

tomorrow morning CPI important 

Monday's Newsletter July 13th

Posted by matt on 13th of Jul 2026 at 06:23 pm

NOG really sweet move today 10%

Posted by matt on 13th of Jul 2026 at 06:04 pm

NOG energy - Chart Linktriggered last week, hope some folks bought last week

SLV chart

Posted by matt on 13th of Jul 2026 at 05:28 pm

SLV - iShares Silver Trust daily - Chart Linkwatch the SLV/GLD ratio

would love a flush down to that demand

Crude Oil weekly

Posted by matt on 13th of Jul 2026 at 05:18 pm

$Commodity Oil 4 Monthly WTIC linear - Chart Link perfect backtest of that wedge 

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