Posted by rfmathis on 12th of Oct 2020 at 04:15 pm
Hey Matt, thanks for this excellent education piece.
Placing stops have been a little hazy for me; but, this
allows me to "tweak my plan" in this area. Perhaps it may not
signal quite as fast, but I like to give my swings a little more
room. So, I use the 2-Hour timeframe for stops. Maybe I
don't make quite as much; but, I find I don't have to monitor and
update my portfolio quite as often. I typically look at the
9ema, and the 2-hour higher low and take the one that gives the
most room. (Just me....)
Appears this correlation is happening more frequently, as of
late. Past instances were far, and few between (just looking
at the timeframe of this chart). Historically, this could be
common under certain conditions???
Posted by rfmathis on 29th of Jul 2020 at 05:47 pm
Matt -- On a previous post, today, you said you don't
necessarily play a "breakout". Is a breakout "pattern" a near
horizonal line of support/resistance; or do you consider coils,
wedges, etc., a "breakout" as it relates to you waiting for a
retest before playing?
Posted by rfmathis on 11th of Jun 2020 at 06:47 pm
There is always an inclination to try to match today, against
what happened in the past; and this is a credible way of predicting
the future. However, sometimes there are significant changes
from the past to the future. In 1930, there was no Fed, and
you could exchange fiat for gold. Then, fiat was tied to
gold, then fiat was disconnected from gold. The Fed, was
always hesitant about injecting liquidity (printing money), but in
the last 30 years has gradually increased its timing and magnitude
of injecting liquidity; to the point, we have no idea as to how
this latest round will impact the future. As you can see, in
the chart, below, the injection of cash for the 2007-2009 Bear
market was much quicker and stronger than their action in 2002 and
1990, ..... and we recovered nicely from that. So,
their thought is, let's increase it faster and stronger than last
time. Will we recover as nicely as we did in 2009; or is THIS
time different?
Posted by rfmathis on 10th of Jun 2020 at 11:50 am
Matt, maybe I am missing something. I have often seen the
start/end Bull/Bear Cycles on some of your charts; but, I don't see
any of these as overlays in Stockcharts; or, any discussion in BPT
Education section. Are these custom?
For the "big picture view" (since you mentioned your children
and grandchildren), I suggest reading "The Changing World Order" by
Ray Dalio. Read Chapter One, which gives you the overview,
but all of his work is extremely insightful. You can find
this on LinkedIn.
Posted by rfmathis on 26th of May 2020 at 04:59 pm
Matt--I am amazed as to the accuracy of your forecast in your
newsletter mid-day yesterday. You said the S&P would go
to the 3000 target, and the 200 day MA was a magnet. You also
said that you expected/hoped for a "pinocchio" above the 200 day
MA. I don't know how much more accurate you could have
been! Now we will see if the market is ready to head
downwards........
I took some this morning, with a stop back inside the wedge.
Given the more "macro" forecast for next week, I was planning
to take a position today, in any case. Thanks to you both for
pointing out this swing idea.
Newsletter
Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!
The community is delayed by three days for non registered users.
Thanks for the education, Matt!
Can you follow up verb
Posted by rfmathis on 15th of Jul 2021 at 01:54 pm
Thanks for the education, Matt!
Matt - Understand using bull
Can you follow up verb
Posted by rfmathis on 15th of Jul 2021 at 01:35 pm
Matt - Understand using bull flag for entry on 1 min. Do you use higher low for exit?
Thanks for the charts, Matt.
Indicators and negative breadth
Posted by rfmathis on 7th of Jul 2021 at 05:02 pm
Thanks for the charts, Matt. Obviously, storm flags are up in more places than Florida!
No issues with IBKR
AAZZF- just got notice from Tradestation that trading in this ...
Posted by rfmathis on 28th of Jun 2021 at 03:41 pm
No issues with IBKR
Agreed. A good combination. Next
Open SPY Trend/Pullback trade looking to exit today
Posted by rfmathis on 25th of May 2021 at 04:20 pm
Agreed. A good combination. Next time, I will buy a little of both (stock and option).
We have lost the 2-Day,
Posted by rfmathis on 12th of May 2021 at 03:29 pm
We have lost the 2-Day, 1-Day and 2-Hour DVT's for $SPX
Hey Matt, thanks for this
two examples of how to trade our setups, and using stops
Posted by rfmathis on 12th of Oct 2020 at 04:15 pm
Hey Matt, thanks for this excellent education piece. Placing stops have been a little hazy for me; but, this allows me to "tweak my plan" in this area. Perhaps it may not signal quite as fast, but I like to give my swings a little more room. So, I use the 2-Hour timeframe for stops. Maybe I don't make quite as much; but, I find I don't have to monitor and update my portfolio quite as often. I typically look at the 9ema, and the 2-hour higher low and take the one that gives the most room. (Just me....)
Appears this correlation is happening
Follow up on various market sectors
Posted by rfmathis on 5th of Oct 2020 at 04:32 pm
Appears this correlation is happening more frequently, as of late. Past instances were far, and few between (just looking at the timeframe of this chart). Historically, this could be common under certain conditions???
....and in your examples above
Facebook breaking out.
Posted by rfmathis on 6th of Aug 2020 at 03:27 pm
....and in your examples above and below, which time frame do you use for the DVT Stop?
Ok, Thanks!
DOCU follow up
Posted by rfmathis on 29th of Jul 2020 at 06:03 pm
Ok, Thanks!
Matt -- On a previous
DOCU follow up
Posted by rfmathis on 29th of Jul 2020 at 05:47 pm
Matt -- On a previous post, today, you said you don't necessarily play a "breakout". Is a breakout "pattern" a near horizonal line of support/resistance; or do you consider coils, wedges, etc., a "breakout" as it relates to you waiting for a retest before playing?
Great work, Jason! Lots of
Hey guys...I made a google sheet for trade entries/tracking like ...
Posted by rfmathis on 10th of Jul 2020 at 06:02 pm
Great work, Jason! Lots of work went into this. Appreciate your sharing!
Really great info Matt. It
Educational Example for workers, swing traders
Posted by rfmathis on 25th of Jun 2020 at 03:55 pm
Really great info Matt. It helped me define the chart timeframes I should be looking at for swings, AND the patterns to play. Thanks!
There is always an inclination
Posted by rfmathis on 11th of Jun 2020 at 06:47 pm
There is always an inclination to try to match today, against what happened in the past; and this is a credible way of predicting the future. However, sometimes there are significant changes from the past to the future. In 1930, there was no Fed, and you could exchange fiat for gold. Then, fiat was tied to gold, then fiat was disconnected from gold. The Fed, was always hesitant about injecting liquidity (printing money), but in the last 30 years has gradually increased its timing and magnitude of injecting liquidity; to the point, we have no idea as to how this latest round will impact the future. As you can see, in the chart, below, the injection of cash for the 2007-2009 Bear market was much quicker and stronger than their action in 2002 and 1990, ..... and we recovered nicely from that. So, their thought is, let's increase it faster and stronger than last time. Will we recover as nicely as we did in 2009; or is THIS time different?
About 10 points below the
Posted by rfmathis on 11th of Jun 2020 at 02:50 pm
About 10 points below the 3030. I guess it is time to go to cash in 401K's..........
120 min 60 STO =
Posted by rfmathis on 11th of Jun 2020 at 01:01 pm
120 min 60 STO = 48.91
Matt, maybe I am missing
Example of a long setup tonight
Posted by rfmathis on 10th of Jun 2020 at 11:50 am
Matt, maybe I am missing something. I have often seen the start/end Bull/Bear Cycles on some of your charts; but, I don't see any of these as overlays in Stockcharts; or, any discussion in BPT Education section. Are these custom?
For the "big picture view"
So when does all this BS end? A Fed induced ...
Posted by rfmathis on 6th of Jun 2020 at 01:40 pm
For the "big picture view" (since you mentioned your children and grandchildren), I suggest reading "The Changing World Order" by Ray Dalio. Read Chapter One, which gives you the overview, but all of his work is extremely insightful. You can find this on LinkedIn.
Matt--I am amazed as to
Posted by rfmathis on 26th of May 2020 at 04:59 pm
Matt--I am amazed as to the accuracy of your forecast in your newsletter mid-day yesterday. You said the S&P would go to the 3000 target, and the 200 day MA was a magnet. You also said that you expected/hoped for a "pinocchio" above the 200 day MA. I don't know how much more accurate you could have been! Now we will see if the market is ready to head downwards........
I took some this morning,
It seems like things are moving more towards day trading ...
Posted by rfmathis on 1st of May 2020 at 10:06 am
I took some this morning, with a stop back inside the wedge. Given the more "macro" forecast for next week, I was planning to take a position today, in any case. Thanks to you both for pointing out this swing idea.