Posted by elementsix on 15th of Apr 2026 at 04:00 pm
Position size is EVERYTHING with the Systems.
I learned the hard way as well when I ran out of $$ to make
the necessary subsequent entries. I couldn't turn the losing trade
into a winner. I now keep enough liquidity to handle 3 entries on a
minimum of 2 systems. I try to make that for 3 systems whenever
possible (so 9 potential entries).
1st entry the ETF, 2nd the 2x ETF, 3rd the 3x ETF. I shy away
from using options for the Spy System because the decay often
killed the trade, even when it worked using ETFs.
Posted by elementsix on 8th of Apr 2026 at 11:35 am
The inverse relationship makes sense fundamentally. Musk has
said he wants to limit his work at TSLA to 1 day a week (in order
to focus on SpaceX and other things). That doesn't sound like the
commitment I want out of a CEO (of TSLA).
There really aren't many proxies to trade helium but Air
Products seems to be working ok. As referenced previously, and on
Odd Lots Podcast, helium shortage seems quite possible as it is
generally a byproduct of nat gas production (mostly in Qatar). With
production halted due to the war, we could see a shortage in the
coming weeks.
And no, i'm not concerned about the balloons... helium
essential running MRI machines, production of semis and fiber
optics.
Posted by elementsix on 2nd of Apr 2026 at 11:01 am
SATS- Echostar chart looks
great. 3-month consolidation curve reset the MACD nicely. They own
about $11B in SpaceX (at pre-IPO valuation).
IRDM- Iridium chart looks
a bit more aggressive, been in a strong uptrend for months. Also
breaking out after that pullback to long term downtrend line.
Posted by elementsix on 1st of Apr 2026 at 02:48 pm
Oil - I've also heard that the actual "oil shock" is still
traveling across the ocean... yet to hit any shores because it
takes that time for the Oil to be shipped and arrive places.
On the flip side, I'm trying hard not to short oil on the
thought that Trump will say something that causes prices to finally
crash back down. It's a coin flip, who knows...
Posted by elementsix on 30th of Mar 2026 at 02:39 pm
APD- Helium - Agree that
it will not become an issue for the semis... they have endless
funds. But the supply disruption could push producers up. I like
the look of APD here. MAs just below so there's an easy support
levels with a stop just below.
Posted by elementsix on 9th of Feb 2026 at 12:44 pm
SPY Systems - So it was the
QE BTSlong
Thurs PM(closed 1/2 this morning, 1 of 2 versions)and the
RSI 40long F
riday AM. Both have a version still open.
Please keep us posted on when both of these close out. Thanks
Matt!
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WTI Crude
WTI CRUDE OIL
Posted by elementsix on 17th of Apr 2026 at 03:58 pm
Yes and... https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-is-trading-below-90-per-barrel-in-the-futures-market-in-sri-lanka-buyers-are-paying-286-164645258.html
SCO - Do I dare...
Posted by elementsix on 17th of Apr 2026 at 10:51 am
SCO- Do I dare...
SPY System Position Size
I'm never shorting again.
Posted by elementsix on 15th of Apr 2026 at 04:00 pm
Position size is EVERYTHING with the Systems.
I learned the hard way as well when I ran out of $$ to make the necessary subsequent entries. I couldn't turn the losing trade into a winner. I now keep enough liquidity to handle 3 entries on a minimum of 2 systems. I try to make that for 3 systems whenever possible (so 9 potential entries).
1st entry the ETF, 2nd the 2x ETF, 3rd the 3x ETF. I shy away from using options for the Spy System because the decay often killed the trade, even when it worked using ETFs.
Stick with it!
SATS - Setting up for C&H?
Posted by elementsix on 9th of Apr 2026 at 10:19 am
SATS- Setting up for C&H?
APD
Posted by elementsix on 9th of Apr 2026 at 09:55 am
APD- Trying for that breakout again.
SPY - C&H
Posted by elementsix on 8th of Apr 2026 at 02:07 pm
SPY - looking a little C&H here...
TSLA
TSLA
Posted by elementsix on 8th of Apr 2026 at 11:35 am
The inverse relationship makes sense fundamentally. Musk has said he wants to limit his work at TSLA to 1 day a week (in order to focus on SpaceX and other things). That doesn't sound like the commitment I want out of a CEO (of TSLA).
CAR - Wow
Posted by elementsix on 7th of Apr 2026 at 06:31 pm
CAR- Maybe flying cars ARE here...
APD - Trying to breakout
Posted by elementsix on 7th of Apr 2026 at 10:52 am
APD- Trying to breakout
Late Day Ramp
Posted by elementsix on 2nd of Apr 2026 at 03:55 pm
Nice pops across the board. SATS popped $5
APD - Helium Shortage Play
Posted by elementsix on 2nd of Apr 2026 at 11:41 am
APD- Poking above a 9-month resistance line here.
There really aren't many proxies to trade helium but Air Products seems to be working ok. As referenced previously, and on Odd Lots Podcast, helium shortage seems quite possible as it is generally a byproduct of nat gas production (mostly in Qatar). With production halted due to the war, we could see a shortage in the coming weeks.
And no, i'm not concerned about the balloons... helium essential running MRI machines, production of semis and fiber optics.
Odd Lots Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bjc6MgUY0BE
Indexes Flagging
Posted by elementsix on 2nd of Apr 2026 at 11:29 am
SPY & QQQ powered up this AM, now taking a break for the next leg up?
Satellites have been hot. Really lifting off today.
Posted by elementsix on 2nd of Apr 2026 at 11:01 am
SATS- Echostar chart looks great. 3-month consolidation curve reset the MACD nicely. They own about $11B in SpaceX (at pre-IPO valuation).
IRDM- Iridium chart looks a bit more aggressive, been in a strong uptrend for months. Also breaking out after that pullback to long term downtrend line.
Oil - I've also heard
Gulf Oil CEO chief adviser
Posted by elementsix on 1st of Apr 2026 at 02:48 pm
Oil - I've also heard that the actual "oil shock" is still traveling across the ocean... yet to hit any shores because it takes that time for the Oil to be shipped and arrive places.
On the flip side, I'm trying hard not to short oil on the thought that Trump will say something that causes prices to finally crash back down. It's a coin flip, who knows...
APD- Helium - Agree that it
Don't lose sight of the helium shortages that are mounting
Posted by elementsix on 30th of Mar 2026 at 02:39 pm
APD- Helium - Agree that it will not become an issue for the semis... they have endless funds. But the supply disruption could push producers up. I like the look of APD here. MAs just below so there's an easy support levels with a stop just below.
Pretty good for a karaoke
RIME
Posted by elementsix on 13th of Feb 2026 at 04:50 pm
Pretty good for a karaoke company!
To kingpin's note, ADBE at
ADBE - Daily/Monthly ... watching ... another big cap software ...
Posted by elementsix on 12th of Feb 2026 at 02:56 pm
To kingpin's note, ADBE at $155 would be an excellent buy area.
ADBE- I'm watching software too... but
ADBE - Daily/Monthly ... watching ... another big cap software ...
Posted by elementsix on 12th of Feb 2026 at 02:54 pm
ADBE- I'm watching software too... but this chart does not inspire confidence. Big soft volume area just below the current levels.
TLT
Posted by elementsix on 12th of Feb 2026 at 01:33 pm
TLT- I'd keep a close eye on TLT. Looks like it has plenty of room to run.
SPY SYSTEMS
RSI 40 long
Posted by elementsix on 9th of Feb 2026 at 12:44 pm
SPY Systems - So it was the QE BTSlong Thurs PM (closed 1/2 this morning, 1 of 2 versions)and the RSI 40long F riday AM. Both have a version still open.
Please keep us posted on when both of these close out. Thanks Matt!