Great question, I am almost ready to double down, I missed the
first short entry, so that was luck and dumb, but busy, moving to
Wisconsin, until Winter LOL. What I see.....
There are only 10 and 9 examples of trades in V1 and V2 since
1995, but they have been all winners. I rarely take a
short position, but I am doubling down on this one.
That's a powerful chart, think of the tens of millions in their
60's, needing their retirement accounts to double or triple, but
instead they get pushed into their late 70's or 80's with no gain.
And we had the inverted yield curve record, which
always proceeds a recession. On a financial poll, only
2% expected recession by 2027, 96% expected no recession.
They say there are no old bold traders, perhaps true.
When I was younger, I loved the idea of "being short" along with
Tim Knight....the short positions moved fast when you were right.
But swimming upstream as your MO is not smart. I've
posted this chart trendlines a few times....but with the final
wedge, I took an ES short, it's 50 times leverage, about
$330,000 notional position, quite a lot.
I am predicting a "substantial" move down in SPY, I mean 3 or 4
%, and will drag many tickers with it. Repeated attempts to
get through the former trendline is not a sign that it has weakened
the line, but a sign that it is a strong line.
Very seldom do 6 fire off at the same time, usually its one or
two, and usually just 1 or 2 entries, sometimes 3.
Number 2 and 3 are "painful entries" as you are already in a
losing position from number 1. So think about it
differently.
Lots of fear mongering last few days about how emerging markets
are getting crushed....when the chart says....bullish, and the
talking head are promoting fear....well 2 stars line up.
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Yep, they hate when retail
Bought SOXS 5.29
Posted by steveo on 2nd of Jun 2026 at 04:35 pm
Yep, they hate when retail traders can profit on the downside.....
Great question, I am almost
Just wanted to let you guys know that there are ...
Posted by steveo on 2nd of Jun 2026 at 04:33 pm
Great question, I am almost ready to double down, I missed the first short entry, so that was luck and dumb, but busy, moving to Wisconsin, until Winter LOL. What I see.....
Anyone know if the Exhaustion Short is version 1 or 2
Posted by steveo on 2nd of Jun 2026 at 03:10 pm
There are only 10 and 9 examples of trades in V1 and V2 since 1995, but they have been all winners. I rarely take a short position, but I am doubling down on this one.
That's a powerful chart, think
SPY wave count
Posted by steveo on 13th of May 2026 at 10:04 pm
That's a powerful chart, think of the tens of millions in their 60's, needing their retirement accounts to double or triple, but instead they get pushed into their late 70's or 80's with no gain. And we had the inverted yield curve record, which always proceeds a recession. On a financial poll, only 2% expected recession by 2027, 96% expected no recession.
That is foolishly bullish in my view.
LOL Matt you date yourself with that comment, that show was funny as heck, but couldn't aired now
QQQ daily KISS - 6th STS stop
Posted by steveo on 11th of May 2026 at 04:06 am
Absolutely agree that the charts "create the news", just joking in a way
SPX on Hyperliquid showing a pretty flat open. Decent weekend ...
Posted by steveo on 11th of May 2026 at 04:03 am
I would stay away from that beast, looks super manipulated
RRG
Posted by steveo on 5th of May 2026 at 03:31 am
Trading ES futures in Oahu....Short
Posted by steveo on 28th of Apr 2026 at 02:24 am
They say there are no old bold traders, perhaps true. When I was younger, I loved the idea of "being short" along with Tim Knight....the short positions moved fast when you were right. But swimming upstream as your MO is not smart. I've posted this chart trendlines a few times....but with the final wedge, I took an ES short, it's 50 times leverage, about $330,000 notional position, quite a lot.
Comments?
I am predicting a "substantial"
Posted by steveo on 24th of Apr 2026 at 10:52 pm
I am predicting a "substantial" move down in SPY, I mean 3 or 4 %, and will drag many tickers with it. Repeated attempts to get through the former trendline is not a sign that it has weakened the line, but a sign that it is a strong line.
XLU beaten down lately, but
Posted by steveo on 23rd of Apr 2026 at 10:06 pm
XLU beaten down lately, but now a perfect backtest of the old channel. I have some profit from a much earlier buy, time to set a tight stop methinks?
Any comments?
Matt always say to extend out the former trendlines.....
Futures not down as much as I would have expected
Posted by steveo on 20th of Apr 2026 at 02:54 am
Fukushima was exactly like that
Amazing how the charts set up the you get the news item
Posted by steveo on 19th of Apr 2026 at 05:10 pm
Sheesh!
HIMS fantastic move!
Posted by steveo on 15th of Apr 2026 at 10:10 pm
I intended to buy that and then got busy on business!
LOL Modified Cup and Handle
KOD
Posted by steveo on 9th of Apr 2026 at 02:16 am
LOL Modified Cup and Handle with a Artemis 2 finale
Very seldom do 6 fire
Mean reversion systems
Posted by steveo on 1st of Apr 2026 at 01:11 am
Very seldom do 6 fire off at the same time, usually its one or two, and usually just 1 or 2 entries, sometimes 3. Number 2 and 3 are "painful entries" as you are already in a losing position from number 1. So think about it differently.
179 a few years back,
NKE reports tonight
Posted by steveo on 1st of Apr 2026 at 01:09 am
179 a few years back, now 52. Amazing what even organizations will do to support a belief system
Although a drop to the
I drew this channel quite a while back, and postulated that the market "needed" a 10% drop to flush out the stops (liquidity grab)
Posted by steveo on 30th of Mar 2026 at 03:34 pm
Although a drop to the 38 Fib which also equals the prior highs, is in the cards too.
I drew this channel quite a while back, and postulated that the market "needed" a 10% drop to flush out the stops (liquidity grab)
Posted by steveo on 30th of Mar 2026 at 01:39 pm
So this may be the near term bottom
EFA looks ABC corrected down,
Posted by steveo on 25th of Mar 2026 at 05:24 pm
EFA looks ABC corrected down, and that clean bounce off the 200 looks very supportive, comments?
Lots of fear mongering last
Posted by steveo on 25th of Mar 2026 at 05:13 pm
Lots of fear mongering last few days about how emerging markets are getting crushed....when the chart says....bullish, and the talking head are promoting fear....well 2 stars line up.