ZNTL - Chart Link- was you know was a nice long
idea from Steve a couple weeks back
this is showing an example if one rode it up - whenever you see
an extended doji candle, especially a black candle one like that, a
stop can be laced at the low of that candle or just call it a day
and exit
USO - Chart Link- price got between the 61.8
and 50% Fibs. You had a nice MA ribbon pinch which Steve showed
last night
USO - Chart Link- here's where the education
comes in: you had the MA ribbon pinch on the 60 min. What I like to
do is zoom down to a smaller time frame like a 15 min chart. As you
can see the 15 min chart had a nice wedge and found support at the
200 SMA
so this is an example of seeing a potentially bullish setup on a
higher time frame i.e. a 60 min here, then zooming down to a 15 min
time frame for a pattern and trigger
I've been saving a lot of these into a list for educational
purposes. Here's some examples. They are all mostly the
same, you get a big CCI spike down to say -250 - 350, then you get
a positive divergence with the CCI, then you trigger off a doji
candle or hammer that allows you to have a defined entry and stop.
Price is always way extended below the 9 EMA so that's your
first target
Hi guys, as you know Steve and I put out a lot of trade ideas,
and I'd say a good 70% - 90% of them work out since we put out
great ideas. However it's clear that a lot of you are not
either doing them, or you have tried and failed. I want you
to succeed here and make money, and this video discussed a
methodical and systematic approach that you can employ to help
define and limit your losses, and be consistently profitable in the
long term. A lot of this is very simply, T.A. 101, however a
lot of you are probably not employing this simple method, and by
doing so you will become a consistently profitable winning
trader!
CLICK HEREto watch this important video. Also
I'm going to be placing this into the Education Section
here's some examples using a risk of 500 and 250.
Again whatever your risk tolerance is, or the amount that you
feel comfortable losing on a trade, use that to calculate the
'PROPER' number of shares you should be buying based on the
difference between your entry and initial stop
$SPX - Chart Link- remember symmetry is fractal
to the time frame you are watching. On a short term 1 min
chart intra day you had a symmetry break on the 2nd bounce, which
told you to look for a lower high and you got it, if one bought
that high low, in this high volatility environment that was 25
points!
here's a couple examples of my favorite day trade ES setup right
now. eventually I'll make a video about this.
Apparently Tradestation added this custom renko bars a while
back, they used to only be available in Ninja Trader. Anyway
my favorite setup is using a 4 tick box size with a 1 tick offset.
I added a few common indicators, but my main thing is price
action and moving average configuration. I add the 9 EMA in
magenta, the 20 EMA in blue, and the 34 and 50 EMA's in yellow.
I don't pick top and bottoms, instead my favorite setup is to
allow price to trend in a direction (up or down) which causes the
moving averages to expand out. You can see this with the
candles going nicely above the moving averages, but also what
happens is that the 9 EMA expands away from the slower 20 and 50
EMA's. I then wait for price to pullback, and for the 9 EMA
to pull back into the or close to the slower MA's. I think
place a buy a buy stop (if I'm looking for a long) at the price
that would cause an up Renko. candle. What's nice about the
renko bars is that you know the exact price that will trigger a new
bar, so you can set a buy stop at an exact price. Should
price continue lower and you don't get a reversal bar, no big deal,
you cancel the buy stop. My initial stop goes a tick or two
below the reversal bar and I then trial it up over time should
price go up like it is here.
I also like to trade range bars since I can place exact buy
stops for the next candles, I'll post an example of that too
Posted by maroonk65 on 29th of Dec 2016 at 12:31 pm
That would be great Matt. It would be helpful if you also
discuss how you use trailing stops and targets to stay in the
trades. I used to be a member of BPT a while back but I got too
busy at work to follow the site. I am now semi-retired and have
plenty time off. I think you have the best trading service that I
have seen on the Web.
I am creating vertical spread call and put options on extended
prices. Pro: I like that the position can only loose the cost of
the options plus fees. Con: They expire and picking the price and
duration is judgmental.
Do any of you trade these? If so I would like to hear your
thinking.
PS: They might even be a good way to trade the SPY systems using
in the money short term spreads.
Steve or Matt, is there a link you can put on the site or lead
me to it where we can see
this updated regularly? Are the current systems still long
or did they sell?
Answer: BPGDM still long BPENER
reversed short on yesterday close.
Traditional candlestick exited and/or
short on GDX Monday and XLE last Thursday and something we have
been harping on employing recently with prices quite
extended.
Steve, sorry I missed TZA on the watch list. I am not a day
trader, more of a swing or longer teEM trader. I listen to your
newsletters every day and I read the blog and I'm trying to learn.
I'm still not as good as I want to be, but I smell an important
top. Just because I dipped my toe in the pond, no need to squash me
like a bug.
Answer: No problem but give me a call
to discuss so that we can avoid any confusion and help work out a
trading plan that works with your time frames. I sent you a private
message on your inbox with my number.
Because we use these terms daily – and confusedly – Ned Davis
Research (as reported by Jeff Hirsch at the Stock Trader’s Almanac)
has elucidated and clarified the definition of a bull and a bear
market.
A cyclical bull market requires a 30% rise in the DJIA after 50
calendar days or a 13% rise after 155 calendar days. Reversals of
30% in the Value Line Geometric Index since 1965 also qualify. A
bear cyclical market requires a 30% drop in the DJIA after 50
calendar days or a 13% decline after 145 calendar days. Reversals
in the Value Line Geometric Index also qualify.”“Bull and bear markets are measured at peak and trough dates,
so both the time and price criteria must be met as of the peak and
trough dates.”
Newsletter
Subscribe to our email list for regular free market updates
as well as a chance to get coupons!
ZNTL educational example
Posted by matt on 4th of May 2020 at 12:10 pm
ZNTL - Chart Link- was you know was a nice long idea from Steve a couple weeks back
this is showing an example if one rode it up - whenever you see an extended doji candle, especially a black candle one like that, a stop can be laced at the low of that candle or just call it a day and exit
USO follow up and educational setup
Posted by matt on 8th of Apr 2020 at 03:01 pm
USO - Chart Link- price got between the 61.8 and 50% Fibs. You had a nice MA ribbon pinch which Steve showed last night
USO - Chart Link- here's where the education comes in: you had the MA ribbon pinch on the 60 min. What I like to do is zoom down to a smaller time frame like a 15 min chart. As you can see the 15 min chart had a nice wedge and found support at the 200 SMA
so this is an example of seeing a potentially bullish setup on a higher time frame i.e. a 60 min here, then zooming down to a 15 min time frame for a pattern and trigger
Great CCI bounce play educational examples
Posted by matt on 20th of Aug 2018 at 04:47 pm
I've been saving a lot of these into a list for educational purposes. Here's some examples. They are all mostly the same, you get a big CCI spike down to say -250 - 350, then you get a positive divergence with the CCI, then you trigger off a doji candle or hammer that allows you to have a defined entry and stop. Price is always way extended below the 9 EMA so that's your first target
KSHB - Chart Link, GVA - Chart Link, FCFS - Chart Link, BR - Chart Link
UVV - Chart Link, PRGO - Chart Link
Important Education Video to help you trade our trade ideas - reposted from 2018
Posted by matt on 10th of Mar 2018 at 09:20 pm
Hi guys, as you know Steve and I put out a lot of trade ideas, and I'd say a good 70% - 90% of them work out since we put out great ideas. However it's clear that a lot of you are not either doing them, or you have tried and failed. I want you to succeed here and make money, and this video discussed a methodical and systematic approach that you can employ to help define and limit your losses, and be consistently profitable in the long term. A lot of this is very simply, T.A. 101, however a lot of you are probably not employing this simple method, and by doing so you will become a consistently profitable winning trader!
CLICK HERE to watch this important video. Also I'm going to be placing this into the Education Section
here's some examples using a risk of 500 and 250. Again whatever your risk tolerance is, or the amount that you feel comfortable losing on a trade, use that to calculate the 'PROPER' number of shares you should be buying based on the difference between your entry and initial stop
Symmetry is fractal, educational example
Posted by matt on 2nd of Mar 2018 at 12:08 pm
$SPX - Chart Link- remember symmetry is fractal to the time frame you are watching. On a short term 1 min chart intra day you had a symmetry break on the 2nd bounce, which told you to look for a lower high and you got it, if one bought that high low, in this high volatility environment that was 25 points!
$SPX - Chart Link- the longer time frame didn't break symmetry yet.
again just showing that symmetry is fractal, use it to the time frame you can trade
here's a couple examples of
Posted by matt on 12th of Jan 2018 at 10:40 am
here's a couple examples of my favorite day trade ES setup right now. eventually I'll make a video about this.
Apparently Tradestation added this custom renko bars a while back, they used to only be available in Ninja Trader. Anyway my favorite setup is using a 4 tick box size with a 1 tick offset. I added a few common indicators, but my main thing is price action and moving average configuration. I add the 9 EMA in magenta, the 20 EMA in blue, and the 34 and 50 EMA's in yellow. I don't pick top and bottoms, instead my favorite setup is to allow price to trend in a direction (up or down) which causes the moving averages to expand out. You can see this with the candles going nicely above the moving averages, but also what happens is that the 9 EMA expands away from the slower 20 and 50 EMA's. I then wait for price to pullback, and for the 9 EMA to pull back into the or close to the slower MA's. I think place a buy a buy stop (if I'm looking for a long) at the price that would cause an up Renko. candle. What's nice about the renko bars is that you know the exact price that will trigger a new bar, so you can set a buy stop at an exact price. Should price continue lower and you don't get a reversal bar, no big deal, you cancel the buy stop. My initial stop goes a tick or two below the reversal bar and I then trial it up over time should price go up like it is here.
I also like to trade range bars since I can place exact buy stops for the next candles, I'll post an example of that too
Can you post one? I
BB has a nice looking weekly chart
Posted by hirahara on 20th of Dec 2017 at 05:39 pm
Can you post one? I have been in this since the 6's! Thank you
BB has a nice looking
Posted by steve on 20th of Dec 2017 at 04:13 pm
BB has a nice looking weekly chart
Happy birthday Matt
Posted by sabinemarc on 24th of May 2017 at 04:24 pm
can you check?
i am a subscriber for how long?
the last fifteen years?
TLRD
Posted by EdZ on 31st of Jan 2017 at 02:53 pm
Nice breakout on TLRD. Retailers seems to be perking up today.
NVROalso doing well.
That would be great Matt.
AEM educational example
Posted by maroonk65 on 29th of Dec 2016 at 12:31 pm
That would be great Matt. It would be helpful if you also discuss how you use trailing stops and targets to stay in the trades. I used to be a member of BPT a while back but I got too busy at work to follow the site. I am now semi-retired and have plenty time off. I think you have the best trading service that I have seen on the Web.
Thanks
Vertical Spread Options: I am creating
Posted by jroger on 6th of Dec 2016 at 04:18 pm
Vertical Spread Options:
I am creating vertical spread call and put options on extended prices. Pro: I like that the position can only loose the cost of the options plus fees. Con: They expire and picking the price and duration is judgmental.
Do any of you trade these? If so I would like to hear your thinking.
PS: They might even be a good way to trade the SPY systems using in the money short term spreads.
is it a bull flag
SPX 10m
Posted by valgata on 22nd of Sep 2016 at 01:26 pm
is it a bull flag for higher ?
yes indeed you guys are
Tuesday Newsletter
Posted by morton7 on 7th of Sep 2016 at 08:43 am
yes indeed you guys are on a roll!
thanks much!
How about imagining celebrating your
Yellen 1:15 EST Friday May 27th
Posted by bearcat4 on 27th of May 2016 at 03:50 pm
How about imagining celebrating your 25th with her.........OMG.....a good case for Kevorkian !!!
Thanks for posting the excellent
SPX 120m
Posted by onefourdroopy on 19th of May 2016 at 02:48 pm
Thanks for posting the excellent charts
did $BPGDM & $BPENER go into a sell signal?
Posted by maverick on 4th of May 2016 at 07:45 am
Steve or Matt, is there a link you can put on the site or lead me to it where we can see
this updated regularly? Are the current systems still long or did they sell?
Answer: BPGDM still long BPENER reversed short on yesterday close.
Traditional candlestick exited and/or short on GDX Monday and XLE last Thursday and something we have been harping on employing recently with prices quite extended.
TZA
TZA Update
Posted by mdgfain on 23rd of Mar 2016 at 03:33 pm
Steve, sorry I missed TZA on the watch list. I am not a day trader, more of a swing or longer teEM trader. I listen to your newsletters every day and I read the blog and I'm trying to learn. I'm still not as good as I want to be, but I smell an important top. Just because I dipped my toe in the pond, no need to squash me like a bug.
Answer: No problem but give me a call to discuss so that we can avoid any confusion and help work out a trading plan that works with your time frames. I sent you a private message on your inbox with my number.
mulisko, would be interested in
If market closes like it's right now, how would you ...
Posted by maggi3322 on 10th of Mar 2016 at 06:02 pm
mulisko, would be interested in that answer if you received one
Maggi - I provided an answer to Mulisko below so please read it.
Because we use these terms
Posted by polish1 on 12th of Feb 2016 at 09:25 am
Because we use these terms daily – and confusedly – Ned Davis Research (as reported by Jeff Hirsch at the Stock Trader’s Almanac) has elucidated and clarified the definition of a bull and a bear market.
A cyclical bull market requires a 30% rise in the DJIA after 50 calendar days or a 13% rise after 155 calendar days. Reversals of 30% in the Value Line Geometric Index since 1965 also qualify. A bear cyclical market requires a 30% drop in the DJIA after 50 calendar days or a 13% decline after 145 calendar days. Reversals in the Value Line Geometric Index also qualify.” “Bull and bear markets are measured at peak and trough dates, so both the time and price criteria must be met as of the peak and trough dates.”