Unfortunately I will be gone until early afternoon. I will be
leaving at 10 am EST, unfortunately I have to go to an appointment
with my wife that is 1.5 hrs away. At least it's OPEX and futures
moved back, I was worried about trying to monitor all that while in
the car LOL
I need to post my stats sometime again on that - as you know for
man years every year I made a video on that, I have a spreadsheet
with all the data, and also added my own touch to it
Posted by kingpin15 on 19th of Apr 2024 at 09:03 am
May officially marks the beginning of the “Worst Six Months” for
the DJIA and S&P. To wit: “Sell in May and go away.” Our “Best
Six Months Switching Strategy,” created in 1986, proves that there
is merit to this old trader’s tale. A hypothetical $10,000
investment in the DJIA compounded to a gain of $1,180,836 for
November-April in 73 years compared to just $3,323 for May-October
(STA 2024, page 54). The same hypothetical $10,000 investment in
the S&P 500 compounded to $977,443 for November-April in 73
years compared to a gain of just $13,335 for May-October
May has been a tricky month over the years, a well-deserved
reputation following the May 6, 2010 “flash crash”. It used to be
part of what we once called the “May/June disaster area.” From 1965
to 1984 the S&P 500 was down during May fifteen out of twenty
times. Then from 1985 through 1997 May was the best month, gaining
ground every single year (13 straight gains) on the S&P, up
3.3% on average with the DJIA falling once and NASDAQ suffering two
losses.
If you compare the recent price action on SPX to the pullback in
August, you will see they are eerily similar - RSI, MACD, stochs.
If so, then a bounce with a further pullback to come.
Posted by kingpin15 on 19th of Apr 2024 at 08:56 am
Ticker News
ARM Downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Exane BNP
Paribas.
AVAV Awarded contract with Marines worth up to $249 mln.
AXP Beat EPS by 38 cents (3.33 vs. 2.95) on stronger
revenues.
BAC Upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe
Research.
CART Coverage initiated at Buy at Loop Capital.
DASH Coverage initiated at Buy at Loop Capital.
DT Upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Cleveland Research.
FITB Beat EPS by 8 cents (0.76 vs. 0.68) on stronger
revenues; raised guidance.
FSLR Upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo.
HBAN Beat EPS by 4 cents (0.28 vs. 0.24) on stronger revenues
.
ISRG Reported better than expected EPS on stronger revenues;
da Vinci procedures increased 16% y/y.
KBH Announced plans for $1 bln buyback and boosted dividend
to 25 cents per share.
NFLX Reported better than expected EPS on stronger revenues;
subs higher than forecast; guidance mixed.
NSC Outlines plans to reach sub 60% operation ratio
within 4 years.
PARA Apollo Global and Sony Group rumored to be considering a
joint offer for the company.
PG Beat EPS by 10 cents (1.52 vs. 1.42) on weaker revenues;
guided inline.
PPG Reported inline EPS on weaker revenues; lowered guidance;
$2.5 bln buyback (8% of mkt cap).
RF Missed EPS by 8 cents (0.37 vs. 0.45) on inline revenues.
SLB Inline EPS (0.75) on stronger revenues.
TSLA Recalled 3,878 Cybertrucks to repair accelerator pedals
that can become stuck behind interior trim
Posted by mftrader on 19th of Apr 2024 at 06:05 am
Be careful about making emotional trades. Know your risk or wait
til the dust settles. Curious to see if satellite images are
produced to provide evidence of damage.
ES 2 PC move overnight, I knew there was "news" when I saw this,
figured it was Israel bombing Iran.....Silver also made a huge move
up, Gold not as much.
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Thanks be safe
AAPL monthly
Posted by srusso1 on 19th of Apr 2024 at 10:06 am
Thanks be safe
AAPL monthly
Posted by matt on 19th of Apr 2024 at 10:03 am
AAPL - Chart Link I'm taking off, see you guys in about 4 hrs
NFLX- Performed exactly as predicted for
Posted by elementsix on 19th of Apr 2024 at 10:02 am
NFLX- Performed exactly as predicted for once...
Thanks see them now, duh
Steve, 5064 still valid? for resistance or pop? thanks
Posted by ruidoso on 19th of Apr 2024 at 09:50 am
Thanks see them now, duh
Steve, 5064 still valid? for
Posted by ruidoso on 19th of Apr 2024 at 09:49 am
Steve, 5064 still valid? for resistance or pop? thanks
RSG follow up
Posted by matt on 19th of Apr 2024 at 09:48 am
RSG - Chart Link-
FNGD follow up nice
Posted by matt on 19th of Apr 2024 at 09:40 am
FNGD - Chart Link- remember this was basing
TSLA getting close to filling that gap
Posted by matt on 19th of Apr 2024 at 09:39 am
TSLA - Chart Link-
TSLA - Chart Link-
XBI low risk long?
Posted by matt on 19th of Apr 2024 at 09:37 am
XBI - Chart Link- could be low risk long with stop below 200 MA, LABU is the leveraged ETF
I will be gone for much of the day
Posted by matt on 19th of Apr 2024 at 09:21 am
Unfortunately I will be gone until early afternoon. I will be leaving at 10 am EST, unfortunately I have to go to an appointment with my wife that is 1.5 hrs away. At least it's OPEX and futures moved back, I was worried about trying to monitor all that while in the car LOL
Man I nailed some of those trades last night thank god
Posted by matt on 19th of Apr 2024 at 09:19 am
I was long MES yesterday and saw the futures down 80, was monitoring it. I ended up making some well timed buys that help me be up quite a bit today
I also shorted GC gold futures, there was a lower high at 2428 where I placed a stop, wasn't hit so that's up nicely too
here's the chars where I took trades. got lucky too
I need to post my
May officially marks the beginning of the “Worst Six Months” ...
Posted by matt on 19th of Apr 2024 at 09:13 am
I need to post my stats sometime again on that - as you know for man years every year I made a video on that, I have a spreadsheet with all the data, and also added my own touch to it
May officially marks the beginning
Posted by kingpin15 on 19th of Apr 2024 at 09:03 am
May officially marks the beginning of the “Worst Six Months” for the DJIA and S&P. To wit: “Sell in May and go away.” Our “Best Six Months Switching Strategy,” created in 1986, proves that there is merit to this old trader’s tale. A hypothetical $10,000 investment in the DJIA compounded to a gain of $1,180,836 for November-April in 73 years compared to just $3,323 for May-October (STA 2024, page 54). The same hypothetical $10,000 investment in the S&P 500 compounded to $977,443 for November-April in 73 years compared to a gain of just $13,335 for May-October
May has been a tricky month over the years, a well-deserved reputation following the May 6, 2010 “flash crash”. It used to be part of what we once called the “May/June disaster area.” From 1965 to 1984 the S&P 500 was down during May fifteen out of twenty times. Then from 1985 through 1997 May was the best month, gaining ground every single year (13 straight gains) on the S&P, up 3.3% on average with the DJIA falling once and NASDAQ suffering two losses.
Puzzled why you are surprised
News
Posted by brophy on 19th of Apr 2024 at 09:00 am
Puzzled why you are surprised by this. The point of our news media is not to give you information.
If you compare the recent
Posted by kab34 on 19th of Apr 2024 at 08:59 am
If you compare the recent price action on SPX to the pullback in August, you will see they are eerily similar - RSI, MACD, stochs. If so, then a bounce with a further pullback to come.
DJT up again today....nice run
Posted by breakout on 19th of Apr 2024 at 08:56 am
DJT up again today....nice run off 24.22
Ticker
Posted by kingpin15 on 19th of Apr 2024 at 08:56 am
Ticker News
ARM Downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas.
AVAV Awarded contract with Marines worth up to $249 mln.
AXP Beat EPS by 38 cents (3.33 vs. 2.95) on stronger revenues.
BAC Upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research.
CART Coverage initiated at Buy at Loop Capital.
DASH Coverage initiated at Buy at Loop Capital.
DT Upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Cleveland Research.
FITB Beat EPS by 8 cents (0.76 vs. 0.68) on stronger revenues; raised guidance.
FSLR Upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo.
HBAN Beat EPS by 4 cents (0.28 vs. 0.24) on stronger revenues .
ISRG Reported better than expected EPS on stronger revenues; da Vinci procedures increased 16% y/y.
KBH Announced plans for $1 bln buyback and boosted dividend to 25 cents per share.
NFLX Reported better than expected EPS on stronger revenues; subs higher than forecast; guidance mixed.
NSC Outlines plans to reach sub 60% operation ratio within 4 years.
PARA Apollo Global and Sony Group rumored to be considering a joint offer for the company.
PG Beat EPS by 10 cents (1.52 vs. 1.42) on weaker revenues; guided inline.
PPG Reported inline EPS on weaker revenues; lowered guidance; $2.5 bln buyback (8% of mkt cap).
RF Missed EPS by 8 cents (0.37 vs. 0.45) on inline revenues.
SLB Inline EPS (0.75) on stronger revenues.
TSLA Recalled 3,878 Cybertrucks to repair accelerator pedals that can become stuck behind interior trim
VIX up 4.5 percent this
Posted by rbreese on 19th of Apr 2024 at 07:55 am
VIX up 4.5 percent this a.m.
Be careful about making emotional
Posted by mftrader on 19th of Apr 2024 at 06:05 am
Be careful about making emotional trades. Know your risk or wait til the dust settles. Curious to see if satellite images are produced to provide evidence of damage.
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-missiles-hit-site-iran-abc-news-reports-2024-04-19/
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/04/18/world/israel-iran-gaza-war-news#fbeab0e8-0afb-5db0-9d6d-672c4cbfe5a3
reuters.com
reuters.com
ES 2 PC move overnight,
Posted by steveo on 19th of Apr 2024 at 02:10 am
ES 2 PC move overnight, I knew there was "news" when I saw this, figured it was Israel bombing Iran.....Silver also made a huge move up, Gold not as much.