Archives -> Thursday November 14th, 2024 Newsletter

Thursday November 14th, 2024 Newsletter

Hello Everyone,

As you were aware from Matt's comments last night, we were quite cautious coming into today's session. First of all the volatility systems for the major indices signaled a short (will review below).  Further supporting a move down, please look at market structure for the SPX/QQQ intraday charts where you will clearly see a corrective (abc) bounce that unfolded from Tuesday's low to Wednesday high which argues for a move back down to test the previous low. Both NQ/QQQ left equal lows below yesterday's closing price which tend to act as magnets - traders look to grab liquidity by taking out equal lows (or highs) which is exactly what transpired today.  Finally, this morning in chat, I posted a triangle pattern regarding ES (which shows contraction and is typically  followed by expansion).  I was looking for a downside break for confirmation to trade short which led to a nice move lower followed by a backtest of the breakdown area which failed and kicked off a trend day lower.  This along with very bullish sentiment sowed the seeds for a nice pullback today and until evidence changes we must remain guarded. 

ES levels posted on trading community. 

Here's a link to Tonight's Newsletter.

Please take a moment to look at the trade ideas.

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