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Commodity Newsletter for Feb 24th, 2013 - free

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Table of Contents:

1. Precious Metals: Gold, Silver in-depth analysis

2. Gold Stocks Analysis: GDX Technical Analysis, BPGDM GDX Swing System, and GDX RSI 2 oversold system

3. XLE / OIH BPENER Swing system

4. Other Commodities: Copper, DBA Agriculture ETF, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Coffee

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Week of February 25 - March 01

Date	ET	Release	For	Briefing.com Forecast	Briefing.com Consensus	Prior	Revised From
Feb 26	09:00	Case-Shiller 20-city Index	Dec	6.0%	6.5%	5.5%
Feb 26	09:00	FHFA Housing Price Index	Dec	NA	NA	0.6%
Feb 26	10:00	New Home Sales	Jan	375K	385K	369K
Feb 26	10:00	Consumer Confidence	Feb	62.5	62.0	58.6
Feb 27	07:00	MBA Mortgage Index	02/23	NA	NA	-1.7%
Feb 27	08:30	Durable Orders	Jan	-5.0%	-4.0%	4.3%	4.6%
Feb 27	08:30	Durable Goods –ex transportation	Jan	-0.5%	0.2%	1.0%	1.3%
Feb 27	10:00	Pending Home Sales	Jan	1.0%	1.0%	-4.3%
Feb 27	10:30	Crude Inventories	02/23	NA	NA	4.143M
Feb 28	08:30	Initial Claims	02/23	365K	360K	362K
Feb 28	08:30	Continuing Claims	02/16	3150K	3150K	3148K
Feb 28	08:30	GDP - Second Estimate	Q4	0.1%	0.5%	-0.1%
Feb 28	08:30	GDP Deflator - Second Estimate	Q4	0.6%	0.6%	0.6%
Feb 28	09:45	Chicago PMI	Feb	54.0	54.0	55.6
Feb 28	10:30	Natural Gas Inventories	02/23	NA	NA	-127 bcf
Mar 01	08:30	Personal Income	Jan	-2.4%	-2.4%	2.6%
Mar 01	08:30	Personal Spending	Jan	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%
Mar 01	08:30	PCE Prices - Core	Jan	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Mar 01	09:55	Michigan Sentiment - Final	Feb	75.0	76.3	76.3
Mar 01	10:00	ISM Index	Feb	52.0	52.4	53.1
Mar 01	10:00	Construction Spending	Jan	0.2%	0.5%	0.9%
Mar 01	14:00	Auto Sales	Feb	NA	NA	5.6M
Mar 01	14:00	Truck Sales	Feb	NA	NA	6.5M

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Stock Earnings Calender:

Click here for a list of Stocks that are reporting Earnings

**Generally we never hold a position into earnings since the risk/reward is too great

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Section 2. Gold Stocks Analysis: GDX Technical Analysis, BPGDM GDX Swing System, and GDX RSI 2 oversold system

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Section 3. XLE / OIH BPENER Swing system

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Again as I've shown before, trading OIH in place of XLE has made about 25% more profit vs trading XLE. Here's the trade statistics - all trades dates are the same. 100K was used for each trade and no compounding was used to keep things simple. XLE made 570% since 2005, whereas OIH would have made $705K.

XLE Detailed System Report (note this file will only open in Internet Explorer)

OIH Detailed System Report (note this file will only open in Internet Explorer)

I don't use compounding, but if compounding is used, 100K on OIH from 2005 turns into $46 million LOL, here's that report

OIH Compounded report