Commodity Weekend Newsletter Dec 16th, 2012 - free

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Table of Contents:

1. Precious Metals: Gold, Silver, GDX Analysis, and Mechanical systems comments

2. US Dollar, Long Term Bonds/Yields

3. Other Commodities: Copper, BPENER and XLE system, Crude Oil, Natural Gas and BOIL ETF, Uranium Follow Up

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happy Holidays and good trading!

Matthew Frailey

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Week of December 17 - December 21

Date	ET	Release	For	Briefing.com Forecast	Briefing.com Consensus	Prior	Revised From
Dec 17	08:30	Empire Manufacturing	Dec	2.0	2.0	-5.2
Dec 17	09:00	Net Long-Term TIC Flows	Oct	NA	NA	$3.3B
Dec 18	08:30	Current Account Balance	Q3	-$103.0B	-$103.6B	-$117.4B
Dec 18	10:00	NAHB Housing Market Index	Dec	47	47	46
Dec 19	07:00	MBA Mortgage Index	12/15	NA	NA	6.2%
Dec 19	08:30	Housing Starts	Nov	850K	873K	894K
Dec 19	08:30	Building Permits	Nov	870K	876K	866K
Dec 19	10:30	Crude Inventories	12/15	NA	NA	0.843M
Dec 20	08:30	Initial Claims	12/15	365K	345K	343K
Dec 20	08:30	Continuing Claims	12/08	3200K	3192K	3198K
Dec 20	08:30	GDP - Third Estimate	Q3	2.7%	2.7%	2.7%
Dec 20	08:30	GDP Deflator - Third Estimate	Q3	2.7%	2.7%	2.7%
Dec 20	10:00	Existing Home Sales	Nov	4.90M	4.90M	4.79M
Dec 20	10:00	Philadelphia Fed	Dec	2.0	1.0	-10.7
Dec 20	10:00	Leading Indicators	Nov	-0.3%	-0.2%	0.2%
Dec 20	10:00	FHFA Housing Price Index	Oct	NA	NA	0.2%
Dec 20	10:30	Natural Gas Inventories	12/15	NA	NA	2
Dec 21	08:30	Personal Income	Nov	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Dec 21	08:30	Personal Spending	Nov	0.4%	0.3%	-0.2%
Dec 21	08:30	PCE Prices - Core	Nov	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Dec 21	08:30	Durable Orders	Nov	-0.2%	0.2%	0.5%	0.0%
Dec 21	08:30	Durable Orders -ex Transportation	Nov	-0.5%	-0.4%	1.8%	1.5%
Dec 21	09:55	Michigan Sentiment - Final	Dec	72.0	74.0	74.5